Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $20437.5000 (6.45%) ($19875.0000 - $20774.8800) on Thu. Aug. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.96% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $20437.5000(6.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    XHB(-6%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-49%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.48% (StdDev 4.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19227.5(6.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18795.44(8.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19301.83(5.88%)
To recent high   -45.6%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.17% (three month std-dev: 4.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2014	26035.84	19301.83	18795.44	19227.5	19282.28	19673.42	20437.5(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7645	150	9001	3578	0	38%	-0.36	-13.2	4.96%	0	1.1	48	0
2	Aug_20_2014	26130.87	19311.32	18644.97	18792.5	18958.85	18975.52	19200(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2125	30	2514	956	0	35%	-0.5	-16.8	4.88%	0	-0.1	35	0
3	Aug_19_2014	26262.5	19346.5	18638.32	18502.5	18691.66	18891.14	19112.5(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1094	110	1306	459	0	35%	-0.51	-28	4.88%	0	-0.2	46	0
4	Aug_18_2014	26397.07	19377.47	18767.77	18225	18395.2	18942.19	18550(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	5099	240	6018	2341	0	35%	-0.46	-45.3	4.86%	0	-0.8	47	0
5	Aug_15_2014	26519.64	19412.76	18995.22	18252.5	18170.2	18492.19	18837.5(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5557	110	6553	2567	0	35%	-0.49	-49.7	4.87%	0	-0.6	52	0

6	Aug_14_2014	26650.89	19434	19142.91	18307.5	18179.57	18492.19	18262.5(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1282	-150	-1495	-644	0	35%	-0.56	-46.1	4.89%	0	-1.2	46	0
7	Aug_13_2014	26801.02	19477.44	19423.87	18490	18422.54	17848.2	17750(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7976	-230	-9372	-3788	0	35%	-0.44	-46.4	4.88%	0	-1.8	34	0
8	Aug_12_2014	26920.15	19624.81	19648.1	18792.5	18841.48	18510.94	17725(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6095	-110	-7162	-2895	0.01	35%	-0.46	-30.6	4.89%	0	-1.9	41	0
9	Aug_11_2014	27044.26	19831.09	19828.98	19380	19196.95	18996.88	18687.5(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4199	-100	-4936	-1988	0	36%	-0.29	-10.6	4.87%	0	-1.3	47	0
10	Aug_8_2014	27122.58	19903.72	19867.03	19845	19704.77	19172.03	19112.5(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4456	-210	-5243	-2096	0	36%	-0.28	-4.3	4.86%	0	-0.9	53	0

11	Aug_7_2014	27197.7	19887.93	19890.41	20107.5	20178.2	19397.03	19175(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8747	-260	-10294	-4107	0	39%	-0.28	-6.6	4.86%	0	-0.8	53	0
12	Aug_6_2014	27272.83	19932.67	20063.52	20502.5	20443.75	20237.5	19262.5(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7969	-80	-9386	-3719	0	39%	-0.17	2	4.95%	0	-0.8	55	0
13	Aug_5_2014	27319.26	19931.6	20142.8	20612.5	20788.9	20959.38	20662.5(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4284	80	5029	2048	0	41%	-0.08	-5.4	4.89%	0	0.8	50	0
14	Aug_4_2014	27341.58	19924.45	20047.53	20330	20485.77	20650	21012.5(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2710	80	3184	1289	0	41%	0.01	-14.2	4.89%	0	1.2	45	0
15	Aug_1_2014	27340.18	19940.87	19855.8	19892.5	20020.85	20618.42	20425(-3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	4127	230	4856	1938	0	39%	-0.03	-28.9	4.93%	0	0.5	53	0

16	Jul_31_2014	27347.83	19946.23	19729.15	19645	19718.51	20321.55	21150(6.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8634	230	10161	4054	0	39%	-0.07	-42.4	4.96%	0	1.3	62	0
17	Jul_30_2014	27366.2	19914.62	19498.19	19600	19535.86	19423.28	19812.5(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1506	-50	1777	693	0	36%	-0.2	-53.6	4.9%	0	-0.1	51	0
18	Jul_29_2014	27421.43	19980.35	19563.21	19627.5	19758.52	19115.47	19250(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5611	-210	-6598	-2648	0	36%	-0.24	-60	4.9%	0	-0.8	53	0
19	Jul_28_2014	27486.1	20058.13	19805.69	19725	19947.66	19648.44	18825(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6959	-70	-8187	-3274	0	36%	-0.23	-61	4.9%	0	-1.3	45	0
20	Jul_25_2014	27549.11	20215.86	19935.96	19785	20029.45	20401.56	19187.5(-8.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	2501	170	2944	1172	0	35%	-0.16	-59.4	4.96%	0	-1	43	0

21	Jul_24_2014	27593.11	20355.13	19896.46	19780	19800.55	20246.88	20925(4.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6735	160	7929	3154	0	37%	-0.13	-57.6	4.92%	0	0.5	52	0
22	Jul_23_2014	27628.32	20421.96	19790.36	19382.5	19484.14	19657.34	19950(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2779	80	3280	1277	0	37%	-0.2	-75.4	4.91%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Jul_22_2014	27684.18	20576.54	19708.16	19515	19452.11	19354.22	19737.5(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1399	-40	-1633	-696	0	37%	-0.19	-81.2	4.95%	0	-0.7	46	0
24	Jul_21_2014	27736.73	20662.58	19793.16	19940	19792.19	19310.94	19125(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4123	-190	-4841	-1967	0	37%	-0.26	-97.3	4.94%	0	-1.2	46	0
25	Jul_18_2014	27807.91	20832.41	20035.63	20120	20190.27	19550	19162.5(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6908	-210	-8119	-3275	0	37%		-113	4.95%	0	-1.3	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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