Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $20662.5000 (-1.67%) ($20375.0000 - $21875.0000) on Tue. Aug. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.89% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $20662.5000(-1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    XHB(-6%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.445% (StdDev 4.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $20612.5(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20142.8(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19931.6(3.67%)
To recent high   -45%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 4.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2014	27319.26	19931.6	20142.8	20612.5	20788.9	20959.38	20662.5(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4284	80	5029	2048	0	41%	-0.08	-5.4	4.89%	0	0.8	50	0
2	Aug_4_2014	27341.58	19924.45	20047.53	20330	20485.77	20650	21012.5(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2710	80	3184	1289	0	41%	0.01	-14.2	4.89%	0	1.2	45	0
3	Aug_1_2014	27340.18	19940.87	19855.8	19892.5	20020.85	20618.42	20425(-3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	4127	230	4856	1938	0	39%	-0.03	-28.9	4.93%	0	0.5	53	0
4	Jul_31_2014	27347.83	19946.23	19729.15	19645	19718.51	20321.55	21150(6.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8634	230	10161	4054	0	39%	-0.07	-42.4	4.96%	0	1.3	62	0
5	Jul_30_2014	27366.2	19914.62	19498.19	19600	19535.86	19423.28	19812.5(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1506	-50	1777	693	0	36%	-0.2	-53.6	4.9%	0	-0.1	51	0

6	Jul_29_2014	27421.43	19980.35	19563.21	19627.5	19758.52	19115.47	19250(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5611	-210	-6598	-2648	0	36%	-0.24	-60	4.9%	0	-0.8	53	0
7	Jul_28_2014	27486.1	20058.13	19805.69	19725	19947.66	19648.44	18825(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6959	-70	-8187	-3274	0	36%	-0.23	-61	4.9%	0	-1.3	45	0
8	Jul_25_2014	27549.11	20215.86	19935.96	19785	20029.45	20401.56	19187.5(-8.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	2501	170	2944	1172	0	35%	-0.16	-59.4	4.96%	0	-1	43	0
9	Jul_24_2014	27593.11	20355.13	19896.46	19780	19800.55	20246.88	20925(4.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6735	160	7929	3154	0	37%	-0.13	-57.6	4.92%	0	0.5	52	0
10	Jul_23_2014	27628.32	20421.96	19790.36	19382.5	19484.14	19657.34	19950(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2779	80	3280	1277	0	37%	-0.2	-75.4	4.91%	0	-0.4	48	0

11	Jul_22_2014	27684.18	20576.54	19708.16	19515	19452.11	19354.22	19737.5(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1399	-40	-1633	-696	0	37%	-0.19	-81.2	4.95%	0	-0.7	46	0
12	Jul_21_2014	27736.73	20662.58	19793.16	19940	19792.19	19310.94	19125(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4123	-190	-4841	-1967	0	37%	-0.26	-97.3	4.94%	0	-1.2	46	0
13	Jul_18_2014	27807.91	20832.41	20035.63	20120	20190.27	19550	19162.5(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6908	-210	-8119	-3275	0	37%	-0.25	-113	4.95%	0	-1.3	41	0
14	Jul_17_2014	27876.28	20975.73	20190.47	20000	20324.64	20273.44	18937.5(-8.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4244	30	-4981	-2031	0.01	37%	-0.24	-141.7	4.98%	0	-1.6	41	0
15	Jul_16_2014	27944.01	21322.78	20380.58	20212.5	20222.3	20830.53	20612.5(-5.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6382	210	7520	2966	0	39%	-0.15	-121.2	4.91%	0	-0.4	43	0

16	Jul_15_2014	27986.48	21678.81	20433.08	19905	19750.42	20375.84	21862.5(9.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8034	200	9470	3726	0.01	41%	-0.07	-99.8	4.88%	0	0.1	44	0
17	Jul_14_2014	28006.25	21989.51	20306.32	19670	19480.47	19614.06	20025(7.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2816	20	3335	1259	0	36%	-0.15	-93.1	4.8%	0	-0.7	46	0
18	Jul_11_2014	28047.96	22390.37	20494.7	19995	19760.94	19125	18562.5(-7.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5138	-260	-6024	-2480	0	32%	-0.2	-90	4.69%	0	-1.3	36	0
19	Jul_10_2014	28105.23	22890.37	20851.43	20415	20331.56	19346.88	20000(4.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12544	-350	-14741	-5954	0.01	34%	-0.25	-90.5	4.65%	0	-0.9	43	0
20	Jul_9_2014	28177.04	23428.78	21100.85	20562.5	20865.94	20396.88	19075(-7.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10133	-110	-11900	-4831	0.01	31%	-0.21	-85.5	4.67%	0	-1.2	28	0

21	Jul_8_2014	28235.84	24099.44	21524.89	20997.5	21184.69	21316.25	20687.5(-4.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	39	70	71	-56	0	31%	-0.27	-78.3	4.58%	0	-0.9	27	0
22	Jul_7_2014	28313.66	24788.47	21611.84	21020	21142.5	21335	21650(4.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2283	80	2720	970	0	31%	-0.08	-70.1	4.63%	0	-0.7	28	0
23	Jul_3_2014	28336.1	25405.5	21690.55	21097.5	21192.19	21053.13	20662.5(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-392	-30	-418	-314	0	28%	-0.36	-62.3	4.55%	0	-0.9	25	0
24	Jul_2_2014	28439.03	26085.92	21828.93	21372.5	21426.56	20950	20737.5(-2.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-5940	-150	-6938	-2945	0	26%	-0.26	-60.1	4.56%	0	-1	24	0
25	Jul_1_2014	28514.54	26844.82	22343.54	21735	21844.53	21331.25	21250(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7887	-150	-9226	-3869	0	26%		-58.6	4.63%	0	-1	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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