Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $20800.0000 (-5.62%) ($20637.5000 - $22825.0000) on Mon. Jun. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.65% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $20800.0000(-5.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -14.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    XHB(-6%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-50%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.325% (StdDev 4.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.9%

Resistance Level   $27569.18
5 Day Moving Average   $22140(-6.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23010.91(-9.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27569.18(-24.55%)
To recent high   -44.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 20.42% (three month std-dev: 4.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.11%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -8.15%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 32.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.59%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2014	28621.68	27569.18	23010.91	22140	22314.06	21903.13	20800(-5.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-4796	-110	-5588	-2419	0	26%	-0.51	-56.5	4.65%	0	-1.2	18	0
2	Jun_27_2014	28767.47	28348.04	23784.92	22267.5	22422.01	22357.81	22037.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3348	0	-3879	-1755	0	27%	-0.59	-54.6	4.62%	0	-1.1	17	0
3	Jun_26_2014	28937.5	29020.62	24405.19	22365	22407.16	22725	22037.5(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2278	100	2745	877	0	35%	-0.58	-52.5	4.64%	0	-1.3	19	0
4	Jun_25_2014	29105.99	29762.13	25065.49	22345	22380.59	22486.2	22550(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2608	40	3135	1028	0	35%	-0.5	-50.1	4.89%	0	-1.3	20	0
5	Jun_24_2014	29252.3	30517.33	25910.63	23070	22529.03	22089.31	23275(8.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8518	-210	-9954	-4208	0	42%	-0.51	-45.3	4.88%	0	-1.4	19	0

6	Jun_23_2014	29403.32	31160.93	26843.49	24090	23835.93	22274.99	21437.5(-4.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-14817	-490	-17371	-7156	0	38%	-0.56	-39.6	5.05%	0	-1.9	11	0
7	Jun_20_2014	29567.47	31751.19	28206.29	25567.5	25600	22968.75	22525(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28270	-720	-33205	-13465	0	38%	-0.51	-36.6	5.01%	0	-2	11	0
8	Jun_19_2014	29717.98	32270.46	29424.48	26755	27095.31	25396.88	21937.5(-16.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-31206	-400	-36665	-14828	0.01	43%	-0.45	-33.7	5%	0	-2.5	13	0
9	Jun_18_2014	29852.17	32815.89	30737.31	28117.5	28478.91	28231.25	26175(-7.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-8368	-20	-9801	-4069	0	50%	-0.42	-29	4.79%	0	-2	16	0
10	Jun_17_2014	29977.17	33149.74	31753.98	29137.5	29103.91	28793.75	28375(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-3296	-80	-3838	-1670	0	58%	-0.42	-21.7	4.71%	0	-1.6	17	0

11	Jun_16_2014	30103.44	33357.31	32517.03	30050	29816.41	28726.56	28825(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12989	-280	-15247	-6214	0	58%	-0.27	-11.5	4.83%	0	-1.6	29	0
12	Jun_13_2014	30186.35	33543.34	33289.15	31322.5	31122.66	29414.06	28462.5(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20852	-400	-24508	-9883	0	54%	-0.28	3.4	4.83%	0	-2	44	0
13	Jun_12_2014	30272.58	33713.8	34026.29	32550	32578.91	30906.25	28750(-8.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23150	-360	-27222	-10934	0	50%	-0.38	19.3	4.94%	0	-2.1	46	0
14	Jun_11_2014	30387.88	33809.77	34870.41	33725	33850.77	32831.25	31275(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15993	-200	-18813	-7532	0	53%	-0.2	33.3	4.97%	0	-1.1	54	0
15	Jun_10_2014	30449.62	33804.5	35517.91	34730	34598.42	34251.56	32937.5(-6.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8510	-80	-10020	-3978	0	56%	0.08	49.6	4.92%	0	-0.4	58	0

16	Jun_9_2014	30423.97	33676.98	35832.94	35337.5	35209.35	34870.28	35187.5(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2891	-80	-3418	-1310	0	59%	-0.14	58.1	4.85%	0	0.6	66	0
17	Jun_6_2014	30467.01	33455.79	35574.26	35590	35636.51	34945.28	34600(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6941	-130	-8185	-3209	0	61%	-0.29	64.8	4.9%	0	0.5	65	0
18	Jun_5_2014	30556.83	33258.17	35342.09	35755	35967.81	35548.42	34625(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8810	-60	-10386	-4082	0	61%	-0.34	66	4.93%	0	0.5	68	0
19	Jun_4_2014	30661.86	33059.12	35077.28	36190	36374.84	36327.74	36300(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1907	10	-2270	-816	0	61%	-0.34	73.1	4.92%	0	1.2	79	0
20	Jun_3_2014	30765.34	32679.33	34657.34	36442.5	36647.5	36387.19	35975(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-973	-30	-1176	-365	0	61%	-0.24	75.7	4.93%	0	1.2	72	0

21	Jun_2_2014	30839.69	32294.99	34250.77	36405	36782.84	36421.94	36450(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2054	-40	-2450	-865	0	61%	-0.37	72.1	4.96%	0	1.5	76	0
22	May_30_2014	30954.77	31893.29	33785.19	35545	36379.7	36907.81	35425(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3952	170	4619	1951	0	61%	-0.58	65.6	5%	0	1.4	69	0
23	May_29_2014	31136.86	31636.71	33348.93	34817.5	35217.98	37143.75	36800(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	18480	420	21714	8777	0	61%	-0.46	61.3	5%	0	2.1	75	0
24	May_28_2014	31279.64	31249.28	32628.32	33762.5	33754.7	35851.58	37562.5(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	27998	430	32919	13235	0	61%	-0.35	56.3	5.03%	0	2.9	78	0
25	May_27_2014	31390.34	30786.66	31885.44	32642.5	32503.13	33292.2	35787.5(11.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	17249	160	20277	8163	0	61%		48.6	5%	0	3	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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