Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $37562.5000 (4.96%) ($35912.5000 - $38237.5000) on Wed. May. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.03% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $37562.5000(4.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    VIXM(1%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.515% (StdDev 5.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33762.5(11.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32628.32(15.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31249.28(20.2%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   79.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 7% (three month std-dev: 5.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.59%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.19%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -8.16%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 15.08%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.9%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2014	31279.64	31249.28	32628.32	33762.5	33754.7	35851.58	37562.5(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	27998	430	32919	13235	0	61%	-0.35	56.3	5.03%	0	2.9	78	0
2	May_27_2014	31390.34	30786.66	31885.44	32642.5	32503.13	33292.2	35787.5(11.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	17249	160	20277	8163	0	61%	-0.99	48.6	5%	0	3	80	0
3	May_23_2014	31703.44	30465.85	31267.53	31847.5	31849.23	31657.81	32150(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-40	21	53	0	57%	-0.52	38.3	4.74%	0	1.3	75	0
4	May_22_2014	31867.6	30274.27	31111.98	31787.5	31752.35	31714.06	31787.5(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3242	-10	-3829	-1479	0	57%	-0	25.4	4.77%	0	1.3	71	0
5	May_21_2014	31868.43	30190.29	30980.25	31632.5	31817.2	32040.64	31525(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4027	70	4723	1938	0	57%	-0.76	19.8	4.81%	0	1.2	54	0

6	May_20_2014	32111.08	30065.31	30879.62	31262.5	31477.35	31790.64	31962.5(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5093	90	5978	2437	0	52%	-0.86	6.7	4.81%	0	1.7	62	0
7	May_19_2014	32389.82	29995.13	30556.59	30980	30847.65	31593.75	31812.5(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	5448	160	6398	2597	0	55%	-0.72	8.9	5.01%	0	1.6	64	0
8	May_16_2014	32623.71	29992	30205.93	30597.5	30496.09	31164.06	31850(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11299	140	13286	5338	0	55%	-0.76	10.8	5.09%	0	1.7	57	0
9	May_15_2014	32872.81	29975.87	29870.25	30357.5	30013.28	30101.55	31012.5(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2401	-10	2819	1148	0	55%	-0.06	19.6	5.12%	0	0.9	61	0
10	May_14_2014	32892.19	29963.96	29807.01	30255	29988.12	29828.12	29675(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1793	-60	-2115	-827	0	55%	-0.85	34.4	5.13%	0	-0.3	49	0

11	May_13_2014	33175.39	29990.87	29789.15	30430	30187.98	29925.02	30550(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1562	-80	-1845	-713	0	50%	-0.99	50.9	5.18%	0	0.5	56	0
12	May_12_2014	33507.55	29892.05	29615.16	30050	30135.59	30148.13	29900(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-879	10	-1036	-406	0	53%	-1.01	36	5.43%	0	0	47	0
13	May_9_2014	33850.26	29873.11	29606.07	29717.5	29819.23	30450.94	30650(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5276	160	6209	2478	0	47%	-0.98	27.1	5.77%	0	0.7	45	0
14	May_8_2014	34184.9	29758.38	29370.93	29295	29172.52	30123.06	30500(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	7804	220	9188	3650	0	47%	-0.89	9	5.82%	0	0.6	45	0
15	May_7_2014	34491.41	29584.7	29327.65	29315	28949.16	29187.53	30550(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6434	20	7577	3004	0	44%	-0.8	-1.3	5.86%	0	0.7	49	0

16	May_6_2014	34767.97	29434.15	29167.95	29095	29078.95	28221.97	28650(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4605	-210	-5407	-2198	0	42%	-0.81	-20.6	5.92%	0	-0.6	47	0
17	May_5_2014	35051.04	29483	29380.18	29127.25	29331.25	28710.78	28237.5(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10354	-130	-12173	-4897	0	42%	-0.88	-28.8	5.91%	0	-0.9	52	0
18	May_2_2014	35361.72	29562.07	29762.92	29454.75	29686.64	29935.94	28537.5(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-165	80	-190	-90	0	42%	-0.88	-26	5.86%	0	-0.8	49	0
19	May_1_2014	35676.43	29652.63	30098.33	29407.25	29697.65	29951.72	30600(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5259	90	6188	2471	0	44%	-0.77	-32	5.85%	0	0.7	59	0
20	Apr_30_2014	35952.21	29603.9	30124.35	29347.25	29348.35	29437.34	29450(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-644	20	-760	-296	0	44%	-0.64	-44.4	5.83%	0	-0.1	61	0

21	Apr_29_2014	36184.64	29724.04	30208.06	29272.25	29485.85	29443.58	28811.25(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	823	10	964	401	0	41%	-0.85	-35.1	5.88%	0	-0.6	57	0
22	Apr_28_2014	36494.54	29890.23	30209.57	29685	29603.07	29259.36	29875(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4260	-90	-5017	-1987	0	41%	-0.94	-19.2	5.96%	0	-0	52	0
23	Apr_25_2014	36839.47	29921.24	30181.22	30150	30150.73	29528.13	28300(-6.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6444	-140	-7589	-3007	0	45%	-0.97	1.2	6.06%	0	-1.1	48	0
24	Apr_24_2014	37200.4	30091.42	30220.4	30880.25	30984.32	29946.78	30300(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7195	-220	-8476	-3353	0	46%	-0.79	30.3	6.05%	0	0.1	50	0
25	Apr_23_2014	37497.41	30208.93	29902.44	31020.25	31315.65	30773.34	29075(-5.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9679	-90	-11396	-4527	0	44%		48.9	6.02%	0	-0.7	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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