Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $31012.5000 (4.51%) ($29875.0000 - $31375.0000) on Thu. May. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.12% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $31012.5000(4.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    VIXM(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.56% (StdDev 5.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30357.5(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29870.25(3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29975.87(3.46%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   48.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 3.72% (three month std-dev: 5.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.24%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.18%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.85%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.27%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.71%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2014	32872.81	29975.87	29870.25	30357.5	30013.28	30101.55	31012.5(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2401	-10	2819	1148	0	55%	-0.06	19.6	5.12%	0	0.9	61	INF
2	May_14_2014	32892.19	29963.96	29807.01	30255	29988.12	29828.12	29675(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1793	-60	-2115	-827	0	55%	-0.85	34.4	5.13%	0	-0.3	49	INF
3	May_13_2014	33175.39	29990.87	29789.15	30430	30187.98	29925.02	30550(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1562	-80	-1845	-713	0	50%	-0.99	50.9	5.18%	0	0.5	56	INF
4	May_12_2014	33507.55	29892.05	29615.16	30050	30135.59	30148.13	29900(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-879	10	-1036	-406	0	53%	-1.01	36	5.43%	0	0	47	INF
5	May_9_2014	33850.26	29873.11	29606.07	29717.5	29819.23	30450.94	30650(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5276	160	6209	2478	0	47%	-0.98	27.1	5.77%	0	0.7	45	NAN

6	May_8_2014	34184.9	29758.38	29370.93	29295	29172.52	30123.06	30500(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	7804	220	9188	3650	0	47%	-0.89	9	5.82%	0	0.6	45	NAN
7	May_7_2014	34491.41	29584.7	29327.65	29315	28949.16	29187.53	30550(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6434	20	7577	3004	0	44%	-0.8	-1.3	5.86%	0	0.7	49	NAN
8	May_6_2014	34767.97	29434.15	29167.95	29095	29078.95	28221.97	28650(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4605	-210	-5407	-2198	0	42%	-0.81	-20.6	5.92%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
9	May_5_2014	35051.04	29483	29380.18	29127.25	29331.25	28710.78	28237.5(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10354	-130	-12173	-4897	0	42%	-0.88	-28.8	5.91%	0	-0.9	52	NAN
10	May_2_2014	35361.72	29562.07	29762.92	29454.75	29686.64	29935.94	28537.5(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-165	80	-190	-90	0	42%	-0.88	-26	5.86%	0	-0.8	49	NAN

11	May_1_2014	35676.43	29652.63	30098.33	29407.25	29697.65	29951.72	30600(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5259	90	6188	2471	0	44%	-0.77	-32	5.85%	0	0.7	59	NAN
12	Apr_30_2014	35952.21	29603.9	30124.35	29347.25	29348.35	29437.34	29450(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-644	20	-760	-296	0	44%	-0.64	-44.4	5.83%	0	-0.1	61	NAN
13	Apr_29_2014	36184.64	29724.04	30208.06	29272.25	29485.85	29443.58	28811.25(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	823	10	964	401	0	41%	-0.85	-35.1	5.88%	0	-0.6	57	NAN
14	Apr_28_2014	36494.54	29890.23	30209.57	29685	29603.07	29259.36	29875(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4260	-90	-5017	-1987	0	41%	-0.94	-19.2	5.96%	0	-0	52	NAN
15	Apr_25_2014	36839.47	29921.24	30181.22	30150	30150.73	29528.13	28300(-6.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6444	-140	-7589	-3007	0	45%	-0.97	1.2	6.06%	0	-1.1	48	NAN

16	Apr_24_2014	37200.4	30091.42	30220.4	30880.25	30984.32	29946.78	30300(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7195	-220	-8476	-3353	0	46%	-0.79	30.3	6.05%	0	0.1	50	NAN
17	Apr_23_2014	37497.41	30208.93	29902.44	31020.25	31315.65	30773.34	29075(-5.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9679	-90	-11396	-4527	0	44%	-0.98	48.9	6.02%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
18	Apr_22_2014	37867.07	30237.42	29770.41	31245.25	31521.16	32021.86	30875(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2126	140	2495	1020	0	47%	-0.84	70.2	6.06%	0	0.4	46	NAN
19	Apr_21_2014	38186.34	30186.35	29624.48	30765.25	31291.48	31857.95	32200(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10099	180	11880	4757	0	47%	-0.55	83.1	6.11%	0	1.2	48	NAN
20	Apr_17_2014	38395.98	29903.05	29340.63	30220.25	30268.84	31020.47	31951.25(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4730	180	5567	2219	0	44%	-0.64	79	6.15%	0	1.1	54	NAN

21	Apr_16_2014	38644.66	29635.44	29134.37	29485	29621.65	30725	31000(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11778	270	13864	5520	0	44%	-0.69	79.7	6.23%	0	0.7	47	NAN
22	Apr_15_2014	38914.45	29420.68	28980.44	28645	28757.59	29517.2	30200(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10245	200	12067	4777	0	44%	-0.6	65.8	6.23%	0	0.3	41	NAN
23	Apr_14_2014	39150.13	29126.15	29125.19	28090	27917.74	28518.3	28475(-3.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3934	130	4644	1805	0	46%	-0.64	48.4	6.19%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
24	Apr_11_2014	39400.39	28881.27	29485.49	28305	27826.22	27997.97	29475(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3793	-10	4475	1748	0	44%	-0.56	39	6.3%	0	0.2	51	NAN
25	Apr_10_2014	39622.66	28489.1	29585.55	28350	28020.98	27317.19	28275(5.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4099	-210	-4813	-1956	0	42%		30.1	6.32%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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