Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $32300.0000 (5.69%) ($30245.0000 - $32950.0000) on Mon. Mar. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.58% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $32300.0000(5.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 17.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    XHB(-6%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.29% (StdDev 6.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31392.5(2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29168.65(10.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26519.89(21.8%)
To recent high   -41.3%
To recent low   54.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 13.1% (three month std-dev: 6.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2014	40805.87	26519.89	29168.65	31392.5	31634.74	31464.94	32300(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-508	-10	-646	-95	0	43%	-0.23	50.5	6.58%	0	1.7	65	0
2	Mar_28_2014	40900.92	26122.42	28244.67	30910	31031.94	31912.3	30562.5(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3207	210	3729	1642	0	45%	-0.29	52.4	6.62%	0	1.4	62	0
3	Mar_27_2014	41020.72	25872.08	27316.7	30070	30390.48	31804.55	31700(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16877	360	19819	8049	0	45%	-0.19	50.5	6.67%	0	1.9	65	0
4	Mar_26_2014	41099.62	25545.17	26266.98	29025	28741.34	30151.58	32975(12.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11732	310	13774	5605	0.01	45%	-0.19	47.9	6.66%	0	2.7	71	0
5	Mar_25_2014	41179.83	25131.02	25211.15	27737.5	27645.16	28976.42	29425(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14597	330	17153	6930	0	42%	-0.25	40	6.45%	0	2	63	0

6	Mar_24_2014	41282.43	24875.07	24736.21	26615	26702.19	27331.09	29887.5(13.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11559	170	13586	5478	0.01	40%	-0.33	27.7	6.51%	0	2.6	60	0
7	Mar_21_2014	41419.67	24547.11	24232.86	25207.5	25453.05	26313.91	26362.5(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	5603	270	6587	2651	0	36%	-0.3	4.5	6.27%	0	1.2	55	0
8	Mar_20_2014	41545.07	24426.48	24062.23	24110	24480.47	26073.28	26475(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	15964	500	18785	7502	0	36%	-0.19	-23.4	6.32%	0	1.4	51	0
9	Mar_19_2014	41623.84	24301.12	23740.82	23050	22994.61	24592.19	26537.5(11.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	14755	480	17371	6906	0.01	36%	-0.24	-59.1	6.32%	0	1.4	51	0
10	Mar_18_2014	41722.8	24299.1	23484.73	22332.5	22178.2	22887.66	23812.5(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10479	200	12347	4875	0.01	33%	-0.24	-77.8	6.15%	0	-0.3	45	0

11	Mar_17_2014	41821.11	24350.97	23623.93	22615	22130.55	21397.03	22850(9.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3675	-300	-4307	-1780	0.01	33%	-0.28	-90.7	6.16%	0	-1	45	0
12	Mar_14_2014	41936.47	24477.24	23826.13	23162.5	22893.75	21468.75	20875(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-14862	-470	-17471	-7033	0.01	30%	-0.34	-110.5	5.98%	0	-2.4	42	0
13	Mar_13_2014	42081.52	24786.12	24363.43	23987.5	24048.44	22864.06	21175(-7.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-13124	-340	-15434	-6193	0.01	30%	-0.45	-146	6.03%	0	-2.7	41	0
14	Mar_12_2014	42269.66	25254.98	24857.2	24452.5	24725	24318.75	22950(-9.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6650	-80	-7822	-3132	0.01	31%	-0.32	-132.4	5.97%	0	-1.4	47	0
15	Mar_11_2014	42404.04	25513.17	25136.4	24737.5	24757.34	25232.81	25225(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	941	140	1108	441	0	36%	-0.39	-148.4	5.91%	0	-0.2	42	0

16	Mar_10_2014	42569.4	25808.94	25094.29	24777.5	24708.13	25131.25	25587.5(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5677	110	6679	2670	0	34%	-0.45	-126.3	6.09%	0	-0.1	54	0
17	Mar_7_2014	42761.98	26237.45	24922.69	24637.5	24768.3	24281.88	25000(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	541	-120	639	246	0.01	34%	-0.44	-96.8	6.22%	0	-0.4	50	0
18	Mar_6_2014	42952.73	26865.66	24841.18	24857.5	24630.02	24285.02	23500(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8941	-130	-10514	-4220	0	32%	-0.67	-69.9	6.19%	0	-0.9	39	0
19	Mar_5_2014	43244.54	27578.42	24931.48	25330	25182.05	25254.73	24375(-4.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1377	0	1628	624	0	32%	-0.59	-55.8	6.19%	0	-0.7	32	0
20	Mar_4_2014	43499.36	28176.27	25183.13	25570	25311.73	24975.03	25425(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-925	-120	-1081	-458	0	30%	-0.67	-52.7	6.27%	0	-0.6	44	0

21	Mar_3_2014	43790.77	28775.59	25124.7	25440	25314.06	25109.36	24887.5(-4.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3621	-70	-4245	-1748	0	30%	-0.68	-52	6.33%	0	-0.7	35	0
22	Feb_28_2014	44091.16	29387.27	25165.77	25222.5	25311.79	25648.42	26100(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2985	100	3535	1335	0	36%	-0.57	-51.1	6.73%	0	-0.6	32	0
23	Feb_27_2014	44344.28	29927.09	25214.86	24825	24736.02	25518.75	25862.5(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4554	210	5392	2041	0	36%	-0.52	-51.5	6.78%	0	-0.7	28	0
24	Feb_26_2014	44576.18	30388.45	25641.46	24487.5	24424.3	24975.16	25575(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6551	150	7748	2960	0.01	36%	-0.54	-56.6	6.77%	0	-0.9	28	0
25	Feb_25_2014	44819.8	31020.3	25875.6	24780	24378.2	23953.28	24775(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1252	-170	-1428	-725	0	36%		-54.4	6.84%	0	-1.1	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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