Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $25425.0000 (2.16%) ($24950.2500 - $26187.5000) on Tue. Mar. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.27% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $25425.0000(2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    PEJ(-9%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.135% (StdDev 6.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $28176.27
5 Day Moving Average   $25570(-0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25183.13(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28176.27(-9.76%)
To recent high   -59.6%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 17.4% (three month std-dev: 6.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.07%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 32.52%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 21.95%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2014	43499.36	28176.27	25183.13	25570	25311.73	24975.03	25425(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-925	-120	-1081	-458	0	30%	-0.67	-52.7	6.27%	0	-0.6	44	NAN
2	Mar_3_2014	43790.77	28775.59	25124.7	25440	25314.06	25109.36	24887.5(-4.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3621	-70	-4245	-1748	0	30%	-0.68	-52	6.33%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
3	Feb_28_2014	44091.16	29387.27	25165.77	25222.5	25311.79	25648.42	26100(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2985	100	3535	1335	0	36%	-0.57	-51.1	6.73%	0	-0.6	32	NAN
4	Feb_27_2014	44344.28	29927.09	25214.86	24825	24736.02	25518.75	25862.5(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4554	210	5392	2041	0	36%	-0.52	-51.5	6.78%	0	-0.7	28	NAN
5	Feb_26_2014	44576.18	30388.45	25641.46	24487.5	24424.3	24975.16	25575(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6551	150	7748	2960	0.01	36%	-0.54	-56.6	6.77%	0	-0.9	28	NAN

6	Feb_25_2014	44819.8	31020.3	25875.6	24780	24378.2	23953.28	24775(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1252	-170	-1428	-725	0	36%	-0.46	-54.4	6.84%	0	-1.1	30	NAN
7	Feb_24_2014	45028.14	31807.94	26530.58	24792.5	24836.72	23873.44	23800(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7208	-270	-8431	-3539	0	36%	-0.53	-52.9	6.82%	0	-1.4	26	NAN
8	Feb_21_2014	45267.98	32488.75	27610.91	25090	25203.13	24803.13	24112.5(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7216	-100	-8441	-3541	0	36%	-0.51	-58.7	6.84%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
9	Feb_20_2014	45500.53	33157.71	29006.54	25642.5	25464.84	25800	24175(-10.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1979	70	-2283	-1065	0.01	39%	-0.48	-65.7	6.87%	0	-1.7	28	NAN
10	Feb_19_2014	45719.93	33970.67	30413.71	26957.5	26312.5	25603.13	27037.5(8.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-178	-260	-172	-195	0.01	41%	-0.42	-68.6	6.92%	0	-1.4	38	NAN

11	Feb_18_2014	45913.55	34510.72	31381.81	27177.5	27140.63	25129.69	24837.5(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15837	-520	-18594	-7565	0	39%	-0.31	-76.1	6.81%	0	-2	28	NAN
12	Feb_14_2014	46055.55	35270.39	32725.16	28560	28204.69	27021.88	25287.5(-5.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20224	-330	-23759	-9617	0.01	39%	-0.38	-85	6.84%	0	-2.3	26	NAN
13	Feb_13_2014	46229.14	36189.75	33997.61	30520	30067.97	29151.56	26875(-12.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8877	-260	-10417	-4255	0.01	39%	-0.3	-91.5	6.87%	0	-2.3	37	NAN
14	Feb_12_2014	46369.34	37097.61	35096.48	32885	32055.46	29387.5	30750(9.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18556	-660	-21813	-8786	0.01	41%	-0.26	-89.5	6.7%	0	-1.7	42	NAN
15	Feb_11_2014	46489.7	37867.4	35586.76	34445	34262.49	30984.38	28137.5(-11.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31555	-690	-37108	-14895	0.01	38%	-0.31	-79.4	6.65%	0	-2.4	32	NAN

16	Feb_10_2014	46633.39	38650.61	36680.14	36195	36253.12	34723.42	31750(-9.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23536	-290	-27681	-11100	0	41%	-0.18	-87.5	6.5%	0	-2	43	NAN
17	Feb_7_2014	46716.64	39438.58	37600.71	37460	37553.08	37540.61	35087.5(-9.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1819	10	-2138	-863	0	43%	0.03	-79.1	6.39%	0	-1.2	44	NAN
18	Feb_6_2014	46700.66	40294.09	37824.56	37947.5	37603.87	37782.81	38700(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2573	10	3032	1197	0	45%	0.18	-56.6	6.34%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
19	Feb_5_2014	46617.41	40848.88	37644.2	37662.5	37325.74	37565.55	38550(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	469	20	562	188	0	45%	-0.08	-56.5	6.36%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
20	Feb_4_2014	46655.04	41313.48	37759.45	36970	37442.15	37424.92	36887.5(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3877	40	4578	1772	0	45%	-0.17	-66.1	6.35%	0	-0.9	35	NAN

21	Feb_3_2014	46735.71	41888.54	37818.79	37277.5	37037.5	37085.94	38075(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4846	-10	-5681	-2339	0	45%	-0.12	-68.5	6.44%	0	-0.7	43	NAN
22	Jan_31_2014	46793.29	42435.68	37929.59	37812.5	37633.59	37459.38	37525(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	973	-50	1167	391	0	53%	-0.17	-70	6.61%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
23	Jan_30_2014	46873.96	42972.72	38460.8	37697.5	38160.55	36989.06	37275(6.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4299	-180	-5031	-2104	0	53%	-0.04	-77.5	6.8%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
24	Jan_29_2014	46892.28	43835.06	39167.91	37625	37936.34	37807.81	35087.5(-8.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10379	0	-12180	-4974	0	53%	-0.1	-84.4	6.8%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
25	Jan_28_2014	46941.25	45005.49	40274.2	38617.5	38155.09	39332.03	38425(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7971	180	9405	3667	0	55%		-81	6.78%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.