Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $26100.0000 (0.92%) ($25287.5000 - $26549.8800) on Fri. Feb. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.73% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $26100.0000(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    PEJ(-9%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.365% (StdDev 6.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

Resistance Level   $29387.27
5 Day Moving Average   $25222.5(3.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25165.77(3.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29387.27(-11.19%)
To recent high   -59.6%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 18.68% (three month std-dev: 6.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2014	44091.16	29387.27	25165.77	25222.5	25311.79	25648.42	26100(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2985	100	3535	1335	0	36%	-0.57	-51.1	6.73%	0	-0.6	32	NAN
2	Feb_27_2014	44344.28	29927.09	25214.86	24825	24736.02	25518.75	25862.5(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4554	210	5392	2041	0	36%	-0.52	-51.5	6.78%	0	-0.7	28	NAN
3	Feb_26_2014	44576.18	30388.45	25641.46	24487.5	24424.3	24975.16	25575(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6551	150	7748	2960	0.01	36%	-0.54	-56.6	6.77%	0	-0.9	28	NAN
4	Feb_25_2014	44819.8	31020.3	25875.6	24780	24378.2	23953.28	24775(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1252	-170	-1428	-725	0	36%	-0.46	-54.4	6.84%	0	-1.1	30	NAN
5	Feb_24_2014	45028.14	31807.94	26530.58	24792.5	24836.72	23873.44	23800(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7208	-270	-8431	-3539	0	36%	-0.53	-52.9	6.82%	0	-1.4	26	NAN

6	Feb_21_2014	45267.98	32488.75	27610.91	25090	25203.13	24803.13	24112.5(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7216	-100	-8441	-3541	0	36%	-0.51	-58.7	6.84%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
7	Feb_20_2014	45500.53	33157.71	29006.54	25642.5	25464.84	25800	24175(-10.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1979	70	-2283	-1065	0.01	39%	-0.48	-65.7	6.87%	0	-1.7	28	NAN
8	Feb_19_2014	45719.93	33970.67	30413.71	26957.5	26312.5	25603.13	27037.5(8.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-178	-260	-172	-195	0.01	41%	-0.42	-68.6	6.92%	0	-1.4	38	NAN
9	Feb_18_2014	45913.55	34510.72	31381.81	27177.5	27140.63	25129.69	24837.5(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15837	-520	-18594	-7565	0	39%	-0.31	-76.1	6.81%	0	-2	28	NAN
10	Feb_14_2014	46055.55	35270.39	32725.16	28560	28204.69	27021.88	25287.5(-5.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20224	-330	-23759	-9617	0.01	39%	-0.38	-85	6.84%	0	-2.3	26	NAN

11	Feb_13_2014	46229.14	36189.75	33997.61	30520	30067.97	29151.56	26875(-12.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8877	-260	-10417	-4255	0.01	39%	-0.3	-91.5	6.87%	0	-2.3	37	NAN
12	Feb_12_2014	46369.34	37097.61	35096.48	32885	32055.46	29387.5	30750(9.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18556	-660	-21813	-8786	0.01	41%	-0.26	-89.5	6.7%	0	-1.7	42	NAN
13	Feb_11_2014	46489.7	37867.4	35586.76	34445	34262.49	30984.38	28137.5(-11.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31555	-690	-37108	-14895	0.01	38%	-0.31	-79.4	6.65%	0	-2.4	32	NAN
14	Feb_10_2014	46633.39	38650.61	36680.14	36195	36253.12	34723.42	31750(-9.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23536	-290	-27681	-11100	0	41%	-0.18	-87.5	6.5%	0	-2	43	NAN
15	Feb_7_2014	46716.64	39438.58	37600.71	37460	37553.08	37540.61	35087.5(-9.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1819	10	-2138	-863	0	43%	0.03	-79.1	6.39%	0	-1.2	44	NAN

16	Feb_6_2014	46700.66	40294.09	37824.56	37947.5	37603.87	37782.81	38700(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2573	10	3032	1197	0	45%	0.18	-56.6	6.34%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
17	Feb_5_2014	46617.41	40848.88	37644.2	37662.5	37325.74	37565.55	38550(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	469	20	562	188	0	45%	-0.08	-56.5	6.36%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
18	Feb_4_2014	46655.04	41313.48	37759.45	36970	37442.15	37424.92	36887.5(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3877	40	4578	1772	0	45%	-0.17	-66.1	6.35%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
19	Feb_3_2014	46735.71	41888.54	37818.79	37277.5	37037.5	37085.94	38075(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4846	-10	-5681	-2339	0	45%	-0.12	-68.5	6.44%	0	-0.7	43	NAN
20	Jan_31_2014	46793.29	42435.68	37929.59	37812.5	37633.59	37459.38	37525(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	973	-50	1167	391	0	53%	-0.17	-70	6.61%	0	-0.9	37	NAN

21	Jan_30_2014	46873.96	42972.72	38460.8	37697.5	38160.55	36989.06	37275(6.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4299	-180	-5031	-2104	0	53%	-0.04	-77.5	6.8%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
22	Jan_29_2014	46892.28	43835.06	39167.91	37625	37936.34	37807.81	35087.5(-8.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10379	0	-12180	-4974	0	53%	-0.1	-84.4	6.8%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
23	Jan_28_2014	46941.25	45005.49	40274.2	38617.5	38155.09	39332.03	38425(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7971	180	9405	3667	0	55%	0.06	-81	6.78%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
24	Jan_27_2014	46912.64	45801.52	40747.28	38397.5	38141.8	38064.86	40750(10.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7056	-30	8333	3226	0	55%	0.14	-78.8	6.74%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
25	Jan_24_2014	46848.21	46544.38	41368.96	38120	38081.25	36978.14	36950(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11527	-210	-13527	-5526	0	49%		-80.7	6.64%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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