Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $40050.0000 (7.3%) ($38175.0000 - $40749.8800) on Wed. Jan. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.82% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $40050.0000(7.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-3%)    PEJ(-9%)    XBI(-11%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    GLD(-74%)    GDXJ(-52%)    PCY(-25%)    TIP(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.41% (StdDev 6.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.7%

Resistance Level   $48809.71
5 Day Moving Average   $40972.5(-2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44301.07(-9.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48809.71(-17.95%)
To recent high   -38%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 12.05% (three month std-dev: 6.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.17%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.55%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.1%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2014	46799.37	48809.71	44301.07	40972.5	40622.65	39184.36	40050(7.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10301	-270	-12094	-4921	0	50%	0.15	-73.8	6.82%	0	-1.5	32	0
2	Jan_21_2014	46729.91	49928.92	45143.9	42230	42357.02	39792.19	37325(-5.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-19372	-410	-22765	-9192	0	48%	0.07	-66.8	6.96%	0	-2.1	24	0
3	Jan_17_2014	46698.72	51211.63	46335.08	43402.5	43855.46	42060.94	39362.5(-9.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22172	-260	-26060	-10508	0	45%	0.14	-55.2	6.93%	0	-1.9	34	0
4	Jan_16_2014	46632.87	52267.17	47386.81	45052.5	45104.67	44921.86	43312.5(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9154	-20	-10747	-4376	0	47%	0.21	-48.5	7.12%	0	-1.4	36	0
5	Jan_15_2014	46533.78	52987.23	47922.99	47007.5	46438.98	45649.99	44812.5(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3034	-160	-3548	-1492	0	47%	0.3	-38.8	7.14%	0	-1.3	36	0

6	Jan_14_2014	46393.44	53574.15	48916.87	48175	47885.86	45287.49	46337.5(7.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16302	-400	-19158	-7735	0	47%	0.42	-37.8	7.21%	0	-1.2	33	0
7	Jan_13_2014	46200.01	54182.19	50117.14	48567.5	49255.39	47227.97	43187.5(-9.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22926	-250	-26950	-10854	0	45%	0.34	-41.8	7.15%	0	-2	27	0
8	Jan_10_2014	46044.86	55003.25	51292.83	49645	50249.93	50484.23	47612.5(-10.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4021	70	-4708	-1960	0	47%	0.38	-45.2	7.1%	0	-1.5	30	0
9	Jan_9_2014	45872.44	55511.02	52133.68	49980	50032.81	51282.81	53087.5(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11139	180	13128	5171	0	50%	0.47	-47.9	7%	0	-0.5	41	0
10	Jan_8_2014	45657.62	55480.77	52455.91	49010	49082.81	50015.63	50650(4.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8193	140	9665	3777	0	50%	0.5	-64.9	6.98%	0	-1	43	0

11	Jan_7_2014	45429.27	55890.12	53562.01	49892.5	48887.51	48782.81	48300(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3490	-80	-4084	-1708	0	50%	0.37	-64.2	7.05%	0	-1.6	41	0
12	Jan_6_2014	45261.42	56632.99	54990.08	52032.5	50899.23	48150	48575(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13538	-440	-15911	-6417	0	50%	0.42	-47.1	7.07%	0	-1.9	39	0
13	Jan_3_2014	45073.79	57366.95	56416.95	53217.5	53243.76	48992.2	49287.5(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34261	-560	-40296	-16157	0	50%	0.47	-35.1	7.07%	0	-1.9	38	0
14	Jan_2_2014	44861.74	57883.94	57538.35	54562.5	54978.13	53648.45	48237.5(-12.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-28208	-150	-33178	-13296	0	50%	0.38	-26.5	7.07%	0	-2.5	40	0
15	Dec_31_2013	44693.95	58722.11	58546.26	56287.5	56383.59	57495.31	55062.5(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5731	140	6743	2693	0	54%	0.38	-1.6	6.89%	0	-1.1	59	0

16	Dec_30_2013	44526.01	59052.51	58693.76	57762.5	56812.5	56307.81	59000(8.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1573	-110	1849	744	0	54%	0.3	23.6	6.87%	0	-0	52	0
17	Dec_27_2013	44392.21	58755.06	58603.21	58522.5	58114.84	55271.88	54500(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19116	-360	-22490	-8992	0	51%	0.13	29.9	6.81%	0	-1.2	41	0
18	Dec_26_2013	44336.72	58861.66	59076.95	60177.5	59809.38	57317.19	56012.5(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29908	-310	-35189	-14063	0	51%	-0.71	53.6	6.8%	0	-0.8	42	0
19	Dec_24_2013	44654.41	58932.69	59239.56	60960	61717.03	60957.81	56862.5(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6671	-50	-7853	-3124	0	51%	0.01	79.9	6.78%	0	-0.6	50	0
20	Dec_23_2013	44649.04	58774.43	58830.52	61007.5	61252.19	62301.56	62437.5(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3994	130	4699	1880	0	55%	0.16	88	6.67%	0	1	48	0

21	Dec_20_2013	44578.65	58288.29	58398.13	59685	59917.81	62476.25	62800(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19881	310	23393	9343	0	60%	0.24	89.4	6.7%	0	1.2	52	0
22	Dec_19_2013	44470.51	57700.93	58315.33	58737.5	58483.44	60202.81	62775(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22387	190	26340	10528	0	60%	0.35	93.1	7.05%	0	1.3	63	0
23	Dec_18_2013	44316.15	57018.83	58232.36	57932.5	57033.59	57359.38	59925(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	872	-10	1028	405	0	51%	0.3	89.3	7.11%	0	0.7	56	0
24	Dec_17_2013	44183.95	56268.2	58096.4	57362.5	57782.81	56764.06	57100(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2604	-100	3066	1219	0	51%	0.25	72.5	7.94%	0	0.2	53	0
25	Dec_16_2013	44071.64	55676.44	58792.77	56295	57066.41	56707.81	55825(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7806	-0	-9183	-3674	0	51%		61.9	7.98%	0	0	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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