Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $47612.5000 (-10.31%) ($47287.6200 - $50798.7500) on Fri. Jan. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.1% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $47612.5000(-10.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -9.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-3%)    XLE(-3%)    PEJ(-9%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    GLD(-74%)    GDXJ(-52%)    PCY(-25%)    TIP(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.55% (StdDev 7.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.9%

Resistance Level   $55003.25
5 Day Moving Average   $49645(-4.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51292.83(-7.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55003.25(-13.44%)
To recent high   -26.3%
To recent low   43.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 9.12% (three month std-dev: 7.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.66%(36%) Average negative next day return: -4.53%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 4.2%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -8.57%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 8.62%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.19%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2014	46044.86	55003.25	51292.83	49645	50249.93	50484.23	47612.5(-10.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4021	70	-4708	-1960	0	47%	0.38	-45.2	7.1%	0	-1.5	30	NAN
2	Jan_9_2014	45872.44	55511.02	52133.68	49980	50032.81	51282.81	53087.5(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11139	180	13128	5171	0	50%	0.47	-47.9	7%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
3	Jan_8_2014	45657.62	55480.77	52455.91	49010	49082.81	50015.63	50650(4.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8193	140	9665	3777	0	50%	0.5	-64.9	6.98%	0	-1	43	NAN
4	Jan_7_2014	45429.27	55890.12	53562.01	49892.5	48887.51	48782.81	48300(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3490	-80	-4084	-1708	0	50%	0.37	-64.2	7.05%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
5	Jan_6_2014	45261.42	56632.99	54990.08	52032.5	50899.23	48150	48575(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13538	-440	-15911	-6417	0	50%	0.42	-47.1	7.07%	0	-1.9	39	NAN

6	Jan_3_2014	45073.79	57366.95	56416.95	53217.5	53243.76	48992.2	49287.5(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34261	-560	-40296	-16157	0	50%	0.47	-35.1	7.07%	0	-1.9	38	NAN
7	Jan_2_2014	44861.74	57883.94	57538.35	54562.5	54978.13	53648.45	48237.5(-12.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-28208	-150	-33178	-13296	0	50%	0.38	-26.5	7.07%	0	-2.5	40	NAN
8	Dec_31_2013	44693.95	58722.11	58546.26	56287.5	56383.59	57495.31	55062.5(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5731	140	6743	2693	0	54%	0.38	-1.6	6.89%	0	-1.1	59	NAN
9	Dec_30_2013	44526.01	59052.51	58693.76	57762.5	56812.5	56307.81	59000(8.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1573	-110	1849	744	0	54%	0.3	23.6	6.87%	0	-0	52	NAN
10	Dec_27_2013	44392.21	58755.06	58603.21	58522.5	58114.84	55271.88	54500(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19116	-360	-22490	-8992	0	51%	0.13	29.9	6.81%	0	-1.2	41	NAN

11	Dec_26_2013	44336.72	58861.66	59076.95	60177.5	59809.38	57317.19	56012.5(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29908	-310	-35189	-14063	0	51%	-0.71	53.6	6.8%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
12	Dec_24_2013	44654.41	58932.69	59239.56	60960	61717.03	60957.81	56862.5(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6671	-50	-7853	-3124	0	51%	0.01	79.9	6.78%	0	-0.6	50	NAN
13	Dec_23_2013	44649.04	58774.43	58830.52	61007.5	61252.19	62301.56	62437.5(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3994	130	4699	1880	0	55%	0.16	88	6.67%	0	1	48	NAN
14	Dec_20_2013	44578.65	58288.29	58398.13	59685	59917.81	62476.25	62800(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19881	310	23393	9343	0	60%	0.24	89.4	6.7%	0	1.2	52	NAN
15	Dec_19_2013	44470.51	57700.93	58315.33	58737.5	58483.44	60202.81	62775(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22387	190	26340	10528	0	60%	0.35	93.1	7.05%	0	1.3	63	NAN

16	Dec_18_2013	44316.15	57018.83	58232.36	57932.5	57033.59	57359.38	59925(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	872	-10	1028	405	0	51%	0.3	89.3	7.11%	0	0.7	56	NAN
17	Dec_17_2013	44183.95	56268.2	58096.4	57362.5	57782.81	56764.06	57100(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2604	-100	3066	1219	0	51%	0.25	72.5	7.94%	0	0.2	53	NAN
18	Dec_16_2013	44071.64	55676.44	58792.77	56295	57066.41	56707.81	55825(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7806	-0	-9183	-3674	0	51%	0.26	61.9	7.98%	0	0	57	NAN
19	Dec_13_2013	43958.45	55041.3	59374.75	56842.5	56018.75	58801.56	58062.5(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4516	300	5309	2137	0	51%	0.27	58.4	7.96%	0	0.5	59	NAN
20	Dec_12_2013	43839.32	54192.91	58889.45	57827.5	56903.13	57425	58750(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21536	20	25330	10155	0	55%	0.25	56.2	7.98%	0	0.6	61	NAN

21	Dec_11_2013	43730.73	53457.24	58629.86	58667.5	57146.09	53235.94	57075(10.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22727	-560	-26749	-10662	0	55%	0.35	61.8	8.2%	0	0.5	62	NAN
22	Dec_10_2013	43578.4	52835.71	58648.46	59015	59214.84	56381.25	51762.5(-11.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31261	-320	-36795	-14659	0	56%	0.13	65.1	8.12%	0	-0.1	64	NAN
23	Dec_9_2013	43523.09	52375.4	58894.95	61575	61379.69	61056.25	58562.5(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7180	-50	-8475	-3296	0	59%	0.03	75.1	8.08%	0	0.8	72	NAN
24	Dec_6_2013	43508.01	51534.91	58352.28	62167.5	62007.96	62048.44	62987.5(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	4148	-0	4844	2058	0	59%	-0.05	76.2	8.02%	0	1.4	79	NAN
25	Dec_5_2013	43529.53	50466.55	57148.24	60035	61290.77	61703.13	62950(7.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	6495	110	7605	3164	0	59%		73	8.05%	0	1.6	81	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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