Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $62800.0000 (0.04%) ($60350.0000 - $62850.0000) on Fri. Dec. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.7% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $62800.0000(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    DIA(-0%)    UUP(-0%)    GDX(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-74%)    PCY(-25%)    TIP(-24%)    LQD(-24%)    EEM(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.35% (StdDev 6.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $59685(5.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58398.13(7.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58288.29(7.74%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   88.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.6% (three month std-dev: 6.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.7%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.13%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.63%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 13.06%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.89%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2013	44578.65	58288.29	58398.13	59685	59917.81	62476.25	62800(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19881	310	23393	9343	0	60%	0.24	89.4	6.7%	0	1.2	52	NAN
2	Dec_19_2013	44470.51	57700.93	58315.33	58737.5	58483.44	60202.81	62775(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22387	190	26340	10528	0	60%	0.35	93.1	7.05%	0	1.3	63	NAN
3	Dec_18_2013	44316.15	57018.83	58232.36	57932.5	57033.59	57359.38	59925(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	872	-10	1028	405	0	51%	0.3	89.3	7.11%	0	0.7	56	NAN
4	Dec_17_2013	44183.95	56268.2	58096.4	57362.5	57782.81	56764.06	57100(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2604	-100	3066	1219	0	51%	0.25	72.5	7.94%	0	0.2	53	NAN
5	Dec_16_2013	44071.64	55676.44	58792.77	56295	57066.41	56707.81	55825(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7806	-0	-9183	-3674	0	51%	0.26	61.9	7.98%	0	0	57	NAN

6	Dec_13_2013	43958.45	55041.3	59374.75	56842.5	56018.75	58801.56	58062.5(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4516	300	5309	2137	0	51%	0.27	58.4	7.96%	0	0.5	59	NAN
7	Dec_12_2013	43839.32	54192.91	58889.45	57827.5	56903.13	57425	58750(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21536	20	25330	10155	0	55%	0.25	56.2	7.98%	0	0.6	61	NAN
8	Dec_11_2013	43730.73	53457.24	58629.86	58667.5	57146.09	53235.94	57075(10.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22727	-560	-26749	-10662	0	55%	0.35	61.8	8.2%	0	0.5	62	NAN
9	Dec_10_2013	43578.4	52835.71	58648.46	59015	59214.84	56381.25	51762.5(-11.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31261	-320	-36795	-14659	0	56%	0.13	65.1	8.12%	0	-0.1	64	NAN
10	Dec_9_2013	43523.09	52375.4	58894.95	61575	61379.69	61056.25	58562.5(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7180	-50	-8475	-3296	0	59%	0.03	75.1	8.08%	0	0.8	72	NAN

11	Dec_6_2013	43508.01	51534.91	58352.28	62167.5	62007.96	62048.44	62987.5(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	4148	-0	4844	2058	0	59%	-0.05	76.2	8.02%	0	1.4	79	NAN
12	Dec_5_2013	43529.53	50466.55	57148.24	60035	61290.77	61703.13	62950(7.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	6495	110	7605	3164	0	59%	-0.03	73	8.05%	0	1.6	81	NAN
13	Dec_4_2013	43544.56	49263.98	55741.43	58610	58811.09	61967.48	58812.5(-8.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9581	390	11235	4617	0	59%	-0.01	73.9	8.1%	0	1.3	70	NAN
14	Dec_3_2013	43550.3	48341.86	54324.64	58227.5	57593.12	60878.42	64562.5(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33804	370	39732	16019	0	62%	-0.15	78.4	8.01%	0	2.2	75	NAN
15	Dec_2_2013	43614.19	47026.22	52250.85	55880	55693.73	55654.69	61525(17.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	10368	-10	12164	4981	0	62%	-0.19	82.4	8.01%	0	2.2	76	NAN

16	Nov_29_2013	43696.01	46035.59	50256.46	54075	54692.95	54307.81	52325(-6.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6308	-20	-7453	-2874	0	58%	-1.24	95.3	7.75%	0	1.1	71	NAN
17	Nov_27_2013	44245.3	45339.48	49087.45	53772.5	54243.73	55732.77	55825(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7700	220	9027	3717	0	61%	-0.66	92.7	7.69%	0	1.8	75	NAN
18	Nov_26_2013	44540.18	44245.14	47823.28	52370	53022.63	55078.08	56900(7.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	19568	310	22991	9299	0	61%	-0.71	85.5	7.82%	0	2.2	80	NAN
19	Nov_25_2013	44856.61	43168.28	46470.15	49770	50905.47	52754.69	52825(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18403	320	21625	8735	0	61%	-0.68	77.2	7.79%	0	1.8	72	NAN
20	Nov_22_2013	45165.3	42182.54	45287.87	48030	48271.88	50967.19	52500(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16623	410	19535	7886	0	61%	0.16	62.3	7.89%	0	2.1	74	NAN

21	Nov_21_2013	45091.21	41234.33	44126.86	45875.25	46322.16	49056.25	50812.5(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27074	440	31837	12783	0	64%	-0.56	43.1	7.92%	0	2.1	62	NAN
22	Nov_20_2013	45344.87	40409.18	43188.1	43697.75	43719.9	45576.56	48812.5(11.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15563	300	18300	7352	0	60%	-0.69	23.3	8.05%	0	2.1	67	NAN
23	Nov_19_2013	45661.86	39885.32	42203.1	42640.25	42125.29	43588.08	43900(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9613	210	11300	4551	0	58%	-0.59	1.8	8.09%	0	1.1	69	NAN
24	Nov_18_2013	45934.96	39478.74	41873.93	42695.25	41952.63	41863.23	44125(5.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6327	-70	7431	3013	0	58%	-0.7	-14.6	8.1%	0	1.4	64	NAN
25	Nov_15_2013	46260.4	39290.11	41386.29	42132.75	41948.44	40662.5	41726.25(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8712	-230	-10263	-4058	0	53%		-34.8	8.1%	0	0.7	66	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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