Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $64562.5000 (4.94%) ($60733.1200 - $64769.2500) on Tue. Dec. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.01% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $64562.5000(4.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 16.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWI(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-74%)    PCY(-25%)    TIP(-24%)    LQD(-24%)    EEM(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.005% (StdDev 8.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $58227.5(10.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54324.64(18.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48341.86(33.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   110.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 15.29% (three month std-dev: 8.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.43%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.92%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.7%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 13.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.59%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2013	43550.3	48341.86	54324.64	58227.5	57593.12	60878.42	64562.5(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33804	370	39732	16019	0	62%	-0.15	78.4	8.01%	0	2.2	75	NAN
2	Dec_2_2013	43614.19	47026.22	52250.85	55880	55693.73	55654.69	61525(17.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	10368	-10	12164	4981	0	62%	-0.19	82.4	8.01%	0	2.2	76	NAN
3	Nov_29_2013	43696.01	46035.59	50256.46	54075	54692.95	54307.81	52325(-6.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6308	-20	-7453	-2874	0	58%	-1.24	95.3	7.75%	0	1.1	71	NAN
4	Nov_27_2013	44245.3	45339.48	49087.45	53772.5	54243.73	55732.77	55825(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7700	220	9027	3717	0	61%	-0.66	92.7	7.69%	0	1.8	75	NAN
5	Nov_26_2013	44540.18	44245.14	47823.28	52370	53022.63	55078.08	56900(7.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	19568	310	22991	9299	0	61%	-0.71	85.5	7.82%	0	2.2	80	NAN

6	Nov_25_2013	44856.61	43168.28	46470.15	49770	50905.47	52754.69	52825(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18403	320	21625	8735	0	61%	-0.68	77.2	7.79%	0	1.8	72	NAN
7	Nov_22_2013	45165.3	42182.54	45287.87	48030	48271.88	50967.19	52500(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16623	410	19535	7886	0	61%	0.16	62.3	7.89%	0	2.1	74	NAN
8	Nov_21_2013	45091.21	41234.33	44126.86	45875.25	46322.16	49056.25	50812.5(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27074	440	31837	12783	0	64%	-0.56	43.1	7.92%	0	2.1	62	NAN
9	Nov_20_2013	45344.87	40409.18	43188.1	43697.75	43719.9	45576.56	48812.5(11.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15563	300	18300	7352	0	60%	-0.69	23.3	8.05%	0	2.1	67	NAN
10	Nov_19_2013	45661.86	39885.32	42203.1	42640.25	42125.29	43588.08	43900(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9613	210	11300	4551	0	58%	-0.59	1.8	8.09%	0	1.1	69	NAN

11	Nov_18_2013	45934.96	39478.74	41873.93	42695.25	41952.63	41863.23	44125(5.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6327	-70	7431	3013	0	58%	-0.7	-14.6	8.1%	0	1.4	64	NAN
12	Nov_15_2013	46260.4	39290.11	41386.29	42132.75	41948.44	40662.5	41726.25(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8712	-230	-10263	-4058	0	53%	-1.17	-34.8	8.1%	0	0.7	66	NAN
13	Nov_14_2013	46810.08	39366.79	41498.16	42072.5	42420.23	42042.03	39925(-8.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7703	-40	-9081	-3570	0	49%	-1.35	-46.7	8.41%	0	0.2	63	NAN
14	Nov_13_2013	47452.88	39511.16	41394.73	42500	42978.13	43234.38	43525(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3851	80	4509	1878	0	49%	-0.94	-42.1	8.59%	0	0.9	66	NAN
15	Nov_12_2013	47904.65	39823.54	40491.32	41650	42414.84	42798.44	44175(6.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3263	120	3822	1587	0	46%	-0.9	-41.2	8.64%	0	0.9	57	NAN

16	Nov_11_2013	48337.73	39984.29	39674.42	40950	41442.97	42721.88	41312.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4589	250	5383	2205	0	46%	-0.74	-39.5	8.84%	0	0.2	60	NAN
17	Nov_8_2013	48697.26	40511.53	38909.31	40542.5	41008.59	42031.25	41425(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10833	210	12734	5129	0	41%	-0.78	-31.4	8.88%	0	0.2	51	NAN
18	Nov_7_2013	49080.28	41053.71	38174.7	40870	40350.77	40164.06	42062.5(7.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	279	-70	322	150	0	41%	-0.47	-24.5	9.44%	0	0.2	48	NAN
19	Nov_6_2013	49314.12	41418.32	37430.99	40137.5	40547.65	39985.92	39275(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1316	-70	-1549	-618	0	44%	-0.41	-24.6	9.4%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
20	Nov_5_2013	49519.1	41841.27	37383.51	39090	40115.62	40537.49	40675(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1273	150	1505	576	0	44%	-0.29	-26.7	9.61%	0	-0.2	40	NAN

21	Nov_4_2013	49663.93	42228.46	36873.9	38162.5	38682.03	41109.38	39275(-8.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9964	480	11738	4643	0	44%	-0.32	-28.5	9.6%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
22	Nov_1_2013	49825.86	42510.96	36983.67	36957.5	37287.5	39693.75	43062.5(12.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20860	480	24564	9748	0	46%	-0.19	-32	9.57%	0	0.1	41	NAN
23	Oct_31_2013	49922.45	42676.9	36941.01	35130	35186.71	36254.69	38400(12.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7993	220	9434	3670	0	44%	-0.32	-36	9.53%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
24	Oct_30_2013	50082.99	43087.74	37354.46	34410	34480.46	34881.25	34037.5(-5.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3114	90	3698	1361	0	41%	-0.43	-36.9	9.4%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
25	Oct_29_2013	50299.47	43692.75	39006.72	35449.75	34590.62	34118.74	36037.5(8.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1892	-170	-2195	-984	0	41%		-32.1	9.37%	0	-1.2	38	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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