Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $46825.0000 (0.83%) ($45575.0000 - $47875.0000) on Fri. Oct. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.02% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $46825.0000(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 9.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWI(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -5.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-74%)    TIP(-25%)    PCY(-25%)    LQD(-24%)    EEM(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.01% (StdDev 10.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45340(3.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43691.24(7.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41637.55(12.46%)
To recent high   -47.1%
To recent low   69.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 10.38% (three month std-dev: 10.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.3%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.92%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 10.26%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.81%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.78%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2013	52343.28	41637.55	43691.24	45340	45472.66	46023.44	46825(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7534	90	8847	3593	0	40%	-0.37	68.3	10.02%	0	1.2	55	0
2	Oct_3_2013	52538.88	41027.26	42989.04	44365	44467.19	44854.69	46437.5(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2352	70	2755	1144	0	40%	-0.39	64.9	10.1%	0	1.3	56	0
3	Oct_2_2013	52745.32	40510.09	41748.32	43502.5	43428.91	44921.88	45237.5(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5431	240	6384	2573	0	43%	-0.26	60.8	10.11%	0	1.1	52	0
4	Oct_1_2013	52882.44	39903.23	40351.32	42550	42682.81	44079.69	45625(7.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11991	240	14107	5644	0	43%	-0.21	56	10.25%	0	1.3	61	0
5	Sep_30_2013	52994.3	39287.49	39921.79	41910	41436.72	41935.94	42575(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2347	50	2761	1103	0	43%	-0.19	60.2	10.24%	0	0.8	57	0

6	Sep_27_2013	53097.04	38879.33	40052.99	41810	41577.66	41285.94	41950(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1495	-70	1756	712	0	40%	-0.2	66.8	10.54%	0	0.7	62	0
7	Sep_26_2013	53202.65	38442.19	40164.12	41385	41542.19	40937.5	42125(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1504	-90	-1775	-691	0	43%	-0.15	65.5	10.57%	0	0.8	63	0
8	Sep_25_2013	53283.01	38022.76	40411.66	39667.5	40617.19	41869.38	40475(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3965	290	4660	1880	0	43%	-0.36	55.5	10.79%	0	0.5	59	0
9	Sep_24_2013	53475.87	37578.87	40283.78	37697.5	38482.03	42146.88	42425(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14759	730	17361	6953	0.01	45%	-0.24	43.6	10.78%	0	1	65	0
10	Sep_23_2013	53602.21	36858.82	40004.93	37652.5	36880.16	39365	42075(5.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16576	410	19496	7816	0	45%	-0.25	36.7	10.91%	0	1.1	64	0

11	Sep_20_2013	53734.29	36175.27	39382.3	38180	37368.75	34817.19	39825(18.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1795	-540	-2119	-823	0.01	48%	-0.29	36.9	10.89%	0	0.7	61	0
12	Sep_19_2013	53892.9	35732.64	38894.11	38947	38839.92	34395.31	33537.5(9.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28852	-810	-33953	-13547	0.01	47%	-0.4	43.9	10.98%	0	-0.4	56	0
13	Sep_18_2013	54110.51	35696.9	39256.66	41309.5	42054.61	39920.31	30625(-27.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-17238	-300	-20298	-8059	0.01	47%	-0.39	56.1	10.98%	0	-1	51	0
14	Sep_17_2013	54322.82	35655.14	39647.52	42995	43874.14	43284.53	42200(-5.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1621	-30	-1932	-689	0	50%	-0.22	52.9	10.49%	0	1.2	72	0
15	Sep_16_2013	54441.68	35123.79	38785.32	42522.5	43043.05	44188.91	44712.5(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	1668	220	1935	867	0	50%	-0.22	45.9	10.46%	0	1.9	81	0

16	Sep_13_2013	54559.49	34373.04	37710.95	40710	41913.27	44463.75	43660(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16449	510	19325	7819	0	50%	-0.13	22.6	10.48%	0	2	78	0
17	Sep_12_2013	54629.86	33598.99	36612.27	38878	39443.22	41897.19	45350(16.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16149	480	18976	7668	0.01	50%	-0.15	-9.1	10.47%	0	2.8	72	0
18	Sep_11_2013	54712.2	33001.52	35366.02	37058	37047.91	39362.8	39052.5(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12757	440	14989	6061	0	49%	-0.49	-65.7	10.29%	0	1.8	63	0
19	Sep_10_2013	54984.3	33051.5	34574.75	35822.5	35864.94	36989.25	39837.5(11.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12420	220	14594	5897	0	49%	-0.4	-94.1	10.34%	0	1.9	70	0
20	Sep_9_2013	55207.55	32920.58	33351.59	34517.5	34597.68	34733.02	35650(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1350	30	1576	670	0	48%	-0.53	-124.1	10.24%	0	0.8	57	0

21	Sep_6_2013	55500.22	33348.6	32621.54	34247.5	34047.55	34740.63	34500(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1286	120	1503	636	0	49%	-0.6	-106.4	10.35%	0	0.3	59	0
22	Sep_5_2013	55832.67	33988.54	32251.68	33942.5	33993.42	34462.34	36250(10.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5193	100	6099	2476	0	49%	-0.68	-88.5	10.34%	0	0.4	64	0
23	Sep_4_2013	56216.51	35312.79	31800.49	33432.5	33738.73	33354.47	32875(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	692	-50	806	349	0	49%	-0.57	-50.2	10.26%	0	-0.3	48	0
24	Sep_3_2013	56536.85	36801.16	31380.91	33097.5	33180.22	33524.5	33312.5(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	345	80	406	163	0	49%	-0.39	-36.3	10.29%	0	-0.3	41	0
25	Aug_30_2013	56758.07	37875.33	31219.74	31950	32045.88	34123	34300(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9435	460	11106	4421	0.01	47%		-32.8	10.28%	0	-0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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