Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $50718.7500 (12.38%) ($48137.5000 - $52025.0000) on Fri. Jun. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.83% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $50718.7500(12.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -14.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BNDX(-5%)    PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-26%)    TIP(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.415% (StdDev 8.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

Resistance Level   $56711.9
5 Day Moving Average   $47118.75(7.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51370.08(-1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56711.9(-10.57%)
To recent high   -31.6%
To recent low   65.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 14.74% (three month std-dev: 8.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2013	42052.27	56711.9	51370.08	47118.75	47672.47	47985.94	50718.75(12.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9566	80	11283	4414	0	57%	0.73	-25.2	8.83%	0	-0.7	33	NAN
2	Jun_6_2013	41746.08	56852.67	52312.61	46865	46799.88	46517.2	45131.25(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6483	-50	-7596	-3144	0	52%	0.61	-27.9	8.71%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
3	Jun_5_2013	41494.73	57203.17	54025.54	47213.75	47601.84	47359	46912.5(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-627	-10	-707	-388	0	52%	0.66	-30.5	8.85%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
4	Jun_4_2013	41220.95	57876.51	55814.74	49068.75	48268.63	47082.57	47681.25(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12465	-220	-14638	-5945	0	54%	0.68	-21.6	8.85%	0	-1.3	46	NAN
5	Jun_3_2013	40943.51	58309.38	57211.02	52537.5	51312.18	47844.67	45150(-8.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20147	-540	-23682	-9540	0	54%	0.62	-9.6	8.89%	0	-1.8	46	NAN

6	May_31_2013	40690.48	58896.94	60102.05	56295	55642.03	49454.69	49450(5.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34767	-810	-40894	-16384	0	54%	0.74	4.1	8.88%	0	-1.4	53	NAN
7	May_30_2013	40392.22	59265.67	61835.48	58592.5	58868.98	54779.69	46875(-16.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40911	-470	-48130	-19252	0	54%	0.64	18.1	8.93%	0	-1.9	51	NAN
8	May_29_2013	40136.68	59758.76	63954.73	61675	61442.81	61829.38	56187.5(-13.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6300	30	-7423	-2932	0	57%	0.89	36.6	8.72%	0	-0.6	62	NAN
9	May_28_2013	39781.46	59583.01	64353.34	63423.75	61717.03	62958.28	65025(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8575	60	10073	4079	0	61%	1.62	33.1	8.51%	0	0.9	57	NAN
10	May_24_2013	39147.85	59019.68	63578.74	62636.25	62030.47	61056.25	63937.5(4.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1004	-140	-1195	-429	0	62%	1.13	24.1	8.42%	0	0.8	61	NAN

11	May_23_2013	38709.8	58618.64	62552.12	64688.75	63331.25	60475.78	60937.5(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21273	-380	-25045	-9955	0	62%	1.13	27.6	8.47%	0	0.4	59	NAN
12	May_22_2013	38278.48	58125.63	61805.97	65700	66186.33	63004.69	62287.5(-4.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20684	-310	-24354	-9672	0	62%	0.65	19.8	8.53%	0	0.7	59	NAN
13	May_21_2013	38030.97	57679.66	60682.26	66576.25	67806.64	66186.72	64931.25(6.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15065	-110	-17745	-7025	0	62%	1.24	8.4	8.5%	0	1.2	62	NAN
14	May_20_2013	37564.6	57631.7	60079.99	65325	67533.59	69367.97	61087.5(-17.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7217	290	8468	3463	0	63%	1.09	3.9	8.51%	0	0.6	63	NAN
15	May_17_2013	37159.06	57619.54	59484.66	64425.01	65034.77	69426.56	74200(12.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31245	500	36737	14769	0	67%	1.49	-1.1	8.27%	0	2.7	71	NAN

16	May_16_2013	36612.35	56993.07	57424.92	60113.76	61124.61	65699.22	65993.75(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	36010	570	42352	16983	0	66%	1.27	-10.6	8.22%	0	1.6	61	NAN
17	May_15_2013	36154.36	56942.07	56274.39	57375.01	57950.39	60642.98	66668.75(13.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30746	360	36164	14493	0	67%	0.89	-3.3	8.28%	0	1.5	68	NAN
18	May_14_2013	35836.5	57157.7	54979.34	54041.26	54794.92	56550.01	58675(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9779	270	11503	4606	0	65%	1.08	6.2	8.21%	0	0.2	58	NAN
19	May_13_2013	35453.17	57393.86	54245.04	54181.26	53800.35	55257.81	56587.56(7.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9070	170	10674	4259	0	65%	1.02	28.2	8.22%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
20	May_10_2013	35094.25	57690.86	53946.64	53825	54572.61	53039.84	52643.75(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3729	-150	4394	1734	0	66%	0.91	42.3	8.1%	0	-0.8	44	NAN

21	May_9_2013	34777.06	57577.66	54301.33	54300	54547.23	52342.89	52300(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22113	-270	-26007	-10432	0	66%	0.92	46.7	8.16%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
22	May_8_2013	34459.74	57149.51	54188.75	54913.75	55349.45	56105.39	50000(-15.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4348	120	-5102	-2084	0	66%	0.88	46.7	8.22%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
23	May_7_2013	34160.26	56776.26	54588.08	55886.5	55669.4	56751.57	59375(8.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14344	120	16893	6696	0	70%	1.21	44	7.91%	0	0.3	37	NAN
24	May_6_2013	33753.23	55690.69	55052.45	54297.75	54814.01	54593.5	54806.25(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	438	0	536	143	0	69%	1.07	36.3	7.87%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
25	May_3_2013	33394.51	55060.87	55682.2	54106.25	54684	54587.24	55018.75(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1784	20	-2077	-906	0	69%		37.9	7.76%	0	-0	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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