Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $48793.7500 (17.93%) ($44093.7500 - $48800.0000) on Fri. Apr. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.09% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $48793.7500(17.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 4.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 12.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.045% (StdDev 6.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10%

5 Day Moving Average   $41269.75(18.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39849.81(22.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36320.1(34.34%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   144.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 12.74% (three month std-dev: 6.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.57%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.23%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2013	27244.35	36320.1	39849.81	41269.75	40731.88	43417.19	48793.75(17.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35600	420	41845	16865	0	75%	0.84	43.8	6.09%	0	2.7	74	NAN
2	Apr_11_2013	27017.51	35517.1	38135.76	39342.25	39055.79	39328.13	41375(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11908	30	13976	5702	0	72%	0.88	39.1	5.76%	0	1.6	71	NAN
3	Apr_10_2013	26781.26	35167.17	37183.11	38801.25	38509.3	38046.57	39868.75(11.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8354	-110	-9858	-3842	0	69%	0.79	39.6	5.76%	0	1.4	62	NAN
4	Apr_9_2013	26570.15	34775	36528.23	39287.5	39173.08	38783.45	35766.25(-11.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3639	-80	-4316	-1609	0	67%	0.66	36.7	5.7%	0	0.3	57	NAN
5	Apr_8_2013	26396.77	34725.6	36243.84	39591.75	39678.31	38972.03	40545(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	-120	81	162	0	72%	0.78	34.4	5.46%	0	1.8	65	NAN

6	Apr_5_2013	26191.95	34400.7	35312.36	38099	38681.75	39562.71	39156.25(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	210	-30	85	0	72%	0.7	22.2	5.43%	0	1.7	62	NAN
7	Apr_4_2013	26009.38	34162.4	34457.66	36666.5	37320.02	40384.59	38670(-8.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	30268	630	35591	14297	0	72%	0.75	9.4	5.48%	0	1.7	61	NAN
8	Apr_3_2013	25814.7	33897.48	33881.52	35257.5	35127.73	37800.78	42300(13.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	36667	520	43129	17282	0	78%	1.01	-2.9	5.34%	0	3.4	65	NAN
9	Apr_2_2013	25555.82	33645.52	32867.1	33456.25	33363.23	34255.46	37287.5(12.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17469	180	20552	8220	0	76%	0.84	-11	5.31%	0	1.9	64	NAN
10	Apr_1_2013	25343.71	33665.98	32415.77	32491.25	32728.86	32454.67	33081.25(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	320	-40	384	129	0	74%	1.08	-8.6	5.16%	0	-0.3	45	NAN

11	Mar_28_2013	25072.38	33776.18	32459.4	32136.25	32636.28	32471.01	31993.75(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3051	10	-3579	-1466	0	69%	0.66	-9.2	5.32%	0	-0.9	42	NAN
12	Mar_27_2013	24908.31	33913.37	32649.99	31868.75	32384.72	33003.04	31625(-5.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2921	180	3449	1337	0	69%	0.62	-9.5	5.32%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
13	Mar_26_2013	24754.94	33970.21	32981.47	32213.75	32108.2	32801.56	33293.75(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8414	140	9909	3930	0	69%	0.65	-9.7	5.28%	0	-0.3	49	NAN
14	Mar_25_2013	24594.45	33855.98	32886.18	32181.25	32089.45	31766.41	32462.5(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1772	-80	2100	786	0	69%	0.64	-9.3	5.28%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
15	Mar_22_2013	24437.94	33843.13	33119.55	32362.5	32305.47	31414.84	31306.25(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9943	-200	-11679	-4733	0	69%	0.68	-1.1	5.28%	0	-1.2	31	NAN

16	Mar_21_2013	24273.42	33963.25	33471.06	32846.25	32697.27	32412.5	30656.25(-8.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8872	-70	-10421	-4224	0	69%	0.68	21.4	5.32%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
17	Mar_20_2013	24108.65	34103.71	33927.77	33512.5	33237.89	33196.09	33350(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-30	-55	-66	0	73%	0.41	49.1	5.2%	0	-0.4	49	NAN
18	Mar_19_2013	24011.37	34170.93	33988.53	33851.25	33603.52	32982.03	33131.25(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3051	-150	-3579	-1466	0	73%	0.41	72	5.2%	0	-0.5	56	NAN
19	Mar_18_2013	23914.35	34052.23	34514.24	33685	33728.16	33279.69	33368.75(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7618	-90	-8958	-3597	0	73%	0.76	78.4	5.2%	0	-0.3	61	NAN
20	Mar_15_2013	23734.3	33865.52	35014.99	33998.75	33704.73	34225	33725(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-784	80	-926	-358	0	73%	0.8	83.9	5.17%	0	-0.1	58	NAN

21	Mar_14_2013	23546.73	33534.32	35193.94	34203.75	33944.57	34176.64	33987.5(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7373	30	8667	3489	0	73%	0.74	76	5.21%	0	0.2	54	NAN
22	Mar_13_2013	23373.66	33198.91	35276.7	34411.25	34092.61	33184.45	35043.75(8.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4682	-210	-5518	-2175	0	75%	0.84	74.2	5.19%	0	0.6	57	NAN
23	Mar_12_2013	23179.91	32747.36	35036.28	34177.5	34167.57	33712.5	32300(-7.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15362	-90	-18079	-7210	0	69%	0.78	66.4	5.17%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
24	Mar_11_2013	23000.98	32475.77	34939.68	35467.5	35133.65	35000.77	34937.5(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-593	-50	-712	-237	0	73%	0.88	75.6	5.19%	0	0.6	63	NAN
25	Mar_8_2013	22801.4	31986.49	34657.39	36206.25	35885.61	34622.65	34750(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7395	-270	-8722	-3414	0	73%		77	5.19%	0	0.7	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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