Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $34593.7500 (7.08%) ($32756.2500 - $34906.2500) on Thu. Feb. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.91% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $34593.7500(7.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 12.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.455% (StdDev 4.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $32526.25(6.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31684.33(9.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28605.9(20.93%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   85.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 12.85% (three month std-dev: 4.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.57%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2013	21512.83	28605.9	31684.33	32526.25	32094.92	32815.63	34593.75(7.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	12583	120	14760	6053	0	81%	0.94	55.7	4.91%	0	1.6	77	0
2	Feb_27_2013	21312.37	28127.71	30900.69	32202.5	31901.18	31482.81	32306.25(5.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-848	-120	-1045	-258	0	81%	0.82	63.1	4.87%	0	1.2	74	0
3	Feb_26_2013	21139.9	27753.1	30248.95	32675	32250.79	31374.22	30556.25(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10887	-230	-12862	-4961	0	80%	0.79	78.3	4.91%	0	0.8	69	0
4	Feb_25_2013	20974.54	27533.91	29843.04	32608.75	32780.47	32319.54	31818.75(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4785	-80	-5688	-2077	0	80%	0.88	89.3	4.87%	0	1.3	74	0
5	Feb_22_2013	20792.49	27204.22	29150.8	32052.5	32358.6	33127.35	33356.25(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	5223	190	6089	2625	0	80%	0.98	96.4	4.86%	0	2	77	0

6	Feb_21_2013	20589.7	26695.77	28231.08	30642.5	31185.16	33241.41	32975(-4.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23808	510	27966	11332	0	80%	0.91	95.4	4.9%	0	2.2	69	0
7	Feb_20_2013	20404.59	26112.56	27349.22	29373.76	29372.93	31589.84	34668.75(14.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	30753	530	36147	14569	0	80%	1.05	90.4	4.9%	0	3.2	76	0
8	Feb_19_2013	20193.22	25358.3	26299.21	27528.76	27574.89	29128.91	30225(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23961	400	28170	11334	0	72%	1.11	83.7	4.57%	0	2.3	71	0
9	Feb_15_2013	19972.44	24887.51	25714.43	26716.26	26573.87	27156.02	29037.5(10.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13598	140	15987	6429	0	74%	0.76	77.9	4.69%	0	2	59	0
10	Feb_14_2013	19820.86	24481.77	25269.24	25841.26	25968.79	26020.87	26306.25(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2520	30	2962	1192	0	74%	0.55	69.6	4.62%	0	0.9	54	0

11	Feb_13_2013	19712.44	24211.98	25233.22	25425.01	25562.29	25991.73	26631.31(4.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2533	130	2978	1198	0	74%	0.56	57.5	4.92%	0	1.2	65	0
12	Feb_12_2013	19602.96	23903.36	25094.57	24977.5	25200.17	25916.72	25443.75(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8558	230	10065	4038	0	74%	0.54	46.7	4.9%	0	0.7	69	0
13	Feb_11_2013	19497.04	23675.99	25048.12	24857.5	24862.91	25132.85	26162.5(6.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	7284	80	8560	3456	0	74%	0.65	41.7	4.89%	0	1.1	77	0
14	Feb_8_2013	19370.4	23398.67	25044.61	24568.75	24550.41	24483.63	24662.5(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1444	-20	-1713	-635	0	73%	0.56	37.7	4.87%	0	0.6	68	0
15	Feb_7_2013	19263.03	23198.06	25133.72	24621.25	24646.09	24592.96	24225(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-975	-10	-1169	-393	0	73%	0.55	36.8	4.89%	0	0.5	66	0

16	Feb_6_2013	19157.04	23089.78	25093.59	25010	24795.2	24617.19	24393.75(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2419	-80	-2876	-1047	0	70%	0.54	50.1	4.92%	0	0.6	68	0
17	Feb_5_2013	19053.55	22954.96	24850.6	25218.75	25129.57	24699.21	24843.75(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2208	-130	-2632	-934	0	70%	0.56	58.3	4.97%	0	0.8	71	0
18	Feb_4_2013	18947.96	22801.11	24409.5	25252.5	25108.87	24973.2	24718.75(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5446	-50	-6442	-2456	0	70%	0.55	60.9	4.98%	0	0.9	68	0
19	Feb_1_2013	18844.87	22603.94	24059.53	25587.49	25199.48	25559.93	24925(-4.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1639	50	1889	889	0	73%	0.49	66.1	5.19%	0	1.1	69	0
20	Jan_31_2013	18753.03	22401.9	23686	25712.49	25398.03	25244.53	26168.75(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4923	-80	5748	2446	0	68%	0.4	69	5.15%	0	1.8	75	0

21	Jan_30_2013	18677.83	22023.56	23140.25	25188.74	25088.47	24839.03	25437.5(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3483	-80	-4134	-1530	0	68%	0.35	55.9	5.33%	0	1.7	63	0
22	Jan_29_2013	18612.76	21727.75	22629.09	24406.24	24637.68	25551.52	25012.5(-5.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6868	290	8052	3316	0	68%	0.31	41.5	5.37%	0	1.7	63	0
23	Jan_28_2013	18555.46	21544.51	22191.56	23394.99	23555.28	25337.9	26393.69(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19371	550	22771	9170	0	68%	0.45	27	5.35%	0	2.6	67	0
24	Jan_25_2013	18472.83	21256.38	21575.25	22302.5	22187.76	23723.84	25550(8.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	20092	470	23629	9480	0	64%	0.3	10.8	5.35%	0	3	69	0
25	Jan_24_2013	18417.17	21030.34	21032.9	21396.25	21228.77	21772.66	23550(9.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	10761	160	12660	5064	0	63%		-8.2	5.41%	0	2.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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