Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $25443.7500 (-2.75%) ($25275.0000 - $26840.0000) on Tue. Feb. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.9% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $25443.7500(-2.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-10%)    XLK(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    TIP(-24%)    REMX(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.45% (StdDev 4.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $24977.5(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25094.57(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23903.36(6.44%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   48.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.85% (three month std-dev: 4.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.86%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.24%(50%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.21%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2013	19602.96	23903.36	25094.57	24977.5	25200.17	25916.72	25443.75(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8558	230	10065	4038	0	74%	0.54	46.7	4.9%	0	0.7	69	0
2	Feb_11_2013	19497.04	23675.99	25048.12	24857.5	24862.91	25132.85	26162.5(6.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	7284	80	8560	3456	0	74%	0.65	41.7	4.89%	0	1.1	77	0
3	Feb_8_2013	19370.4	23398.67	25044.61	24568.75	24550.41	24483.63	24662.5(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1444	-20	-1713	-635	0	73%	0.56	37.7	4.87%	0	0.6	68	0
4	Feb_7_2013	19263.03	23198.06	25133.72	24621.25	24646.09	24592.96	24225(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-975	-10	-1169	-393	0	73%	0.55	36.8	4.89%	0	0.5	66	0
5	Feb_6_2013	19157.04	23089.78	25093.59	25010	24795.2	24617.19	24393.75(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2419	-80	-2876	-1047	0	70%	0.54	50.1	4.92%	0	0.6	68	0

6	Feb_5_2013	19053.55	22954.96	24850.6	25218.75	25129.57	24699.21	24843.75(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2208	-130	-2632	-934	0	70%	0.56	58.3	4.97%	0	0.8	71	0
7	Feb_4_2013	18947.96	22801.11	24409.5	25252.5	25108.87	24973.2	24718.75(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5446	-50	-6442	-2456	0	70%	0.55	60.9	4.98%	0	0.9	68	0
8	Feb_1_2013	18844.87	22603.94	24059.53	25587.49	25199.48	25559.93	24925(-4.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1639	50	1889	889	0	73%	0.49	66.1	5.19%	0	1.1	69	0
9	Jan_31_2013	18753.03	22401.9	23686	25712.49	25398.03	25244.53	26168.75(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4923	-80	5748	2446	0	68%	0.4	69	5.15%	0	1.8	75	0
10	Jan_30_2013	18677.83	22023.56	23140.25	25188.74	25088.47	24839.03	25437.5(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3483	-80	-4134	-1530	0	68%	0.35	55.9	5.33%	0	1.7	63	0

11	Jan_29_2013	18612.76	21727.75	22629.09	24406.24	24637.68	25551.52	25012.5(-5.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6868	290	8052	3316	0	68%	0.31	41.5	5.37%	0	1.7	63	0
12	Jan_28_2013	18555.46	21544.51	22191.56	23394.99	23555.28	25337.9	26393.69(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19371	550	22771	9170	0	68%	0.45	27	5.35%	0	2.6	67	0
13	Jan_25_2013	18472.83	21256.38	21575.25	22302.5	22187.76	23723.84	25550(8.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	20092	470	23629	9480	0	64%	0.3	10.8	5.35%	0	3	69	0
14	Jan_24_2013	18417.17	21030.34	21032.9	21396.25	21228.77	21772.66	23550(9.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	10761	160	12660	5064	0	63%	0.09	-8.2	5.41%	0	2.5	63	0
15	Jan_23_2013	18399.74	20927.41	20845.03	20836.25	20815.88	20651.68	21525(7.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-122	-60	-143	-58	0	63%	-0.03	-20.5	5.32%	0	0.7	68	0

16	Jan_22_2013	18405.4	20948.02	20848.82	20602.5	20786.58	20684.88	19956.25(-4.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2223	-10	-2616	-1044	0	61%	-0.1	-19.1	5.34%	0	-1.2	55	0
17	Jan_18_2013	18424.74	21059.3	21044.11	20765	20759.64	20980.07	20931.25(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1263	70	1483	601	0	63%	-0.23	-4.5	5.3%	0	-0.2	47	0
18	Jan_17_2013	18466.91	21101.46	21036.39	20700	20650.86	20888.28	21018.75(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3145	70	3699	1484	0	63%	-0.19	7.6	5.4%	0	-0.1	51	0
19	Jan_16_2013	18502.83	21112.96	21036.29	20600	20567.05	20539.22	20750(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	798	-10	939	375	0	61%	-0.16	7	5.42%	0	-0.4	48	0
20	Jan_15_2013	18533.03	21097.06	20855.44	20867.5	20606.12	20413.45	20356.25(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3219	-100	-3785	-1522	0	61%	-0.18	14.6	5.48%	0	-0.8	45	0

21	Jan_14_2013	18565.79	21105.96	20806.5	21142.5	20994.32	20594.89	20768.75(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3362	-150	-3952	-1593	0	61%	-0.11	18.5	5.47%	0	-0.4	45	0
22	Jan_11_2013	18586.38	21097.45	20895.16	21368.75	21374.39	20798.79	20606.25(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5587	-190	-6570	-2636	0	62%	-0.13	18.8	5.5%	0	-0.5	44	0
23	Jan_10_2013	18610.2	21033.24	20951.81	21410	21587.11	21393.75	20518.75(-7.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4771	-40	-5610	-2254	0	62%	-0.13	4.8	5.5%	0	-0.6	46	0
24	Jan_9_2013	18635	21050.25	21055.55	21508.03	21688.28	21950	22087.5(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3611	110	4250	1694	0	67%	-0.14	8.5	5.42%	0	1	55	0
25	Jan_8_2013	18660.92	20967	21013.36	20824.28	21205.24	21780.47	21731.25(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	6677	240	7861	3126	0	67%		-11.6	5.49%	0	0.8	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.