Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $20493.7500 (7.58%) ($19893.7500 - $20962.4400) on Thu. Dec. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.51% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $20493.7500(7.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.755% (StdDev 5.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20427.5(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20666.19(-0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20080.61(2.06%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   45%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.97% (three month std-dev: 5.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.96%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.34%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.45%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2012	20274.58	20080.61	20666.19	20427.5	20312.1	19976.55	20493.75(7.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1997	-130	-2362	-903	0	58%	-0.69	59.5	5.51%	0	0.3	64	0
2	Dec_12_2012	20414.53	20061.56	20519.07	20700	20543.21	20097.65	19050(-8.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6580	-170	-7756	-3053	0	56%	-0.93	83.4	5.77%	0	-0.8	54	0
3	Dec_11_2012	20605.51	20012.43	20545.41	21322.5	21116.26	20647.66	20775(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3308	-180	-3912	-1497	0	59%	-0.83	96.9	5.67%	0	0.6	55	0
4	Dec_10_2012	20778.51	19840.84	20425.01	21258.75	21287.35	20988.77	20487.5(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4741	-90	-5598	-2171	0	60%	-0.72	85.2	5.67%	0	0.5	57	0
5	Dec_7_2012	20928.96	19656.16	20210.15	21305	21351.81	21584.86	21331.25(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1465	80	1707	739	0	58%	-0.69	75.5	5.68%	0	1.1	50	0

6	Dec_6_2012	21074.19	19391.5	19894.4	20917.49	21028.13	21585.93	21856.25(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6298	200	7401	2987	0	56%	-0.71	63.9	5.78%	0	1.4	49	0
7	Dec_5_2012	21224.77	19112.36	19585.97	20309.74	20382.81	21118.77	22162.5(8.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7457	260	8772	3511	0	56%	-0.63	57	5.86%	0	1.8	57	0
8	Dec_4_2012	21358.6	18842.42	19316.18	19674.74	19752.27	20470.33	20456.25(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7175	270	8443	3371	0	54%	-0.65	50.6	5.77%	0	1	63	0
9	Dec_3_2012	21498.29	18708.95	19185.86	19484.74	19501.48	19646.86	20718.75(6.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5633	50	6627	2649	0	54%	-0.62	54.3	5.77%	0	1.3	66	0
10	Nov_30_2012	21632.44	18539.27	19185.08	18967.24	19249.73	19034.2	19393.69(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1377	-30	-1621	-644	0	49%	-0.75	45.8	5.92%	0	0.6	65	0

11	Nov_29_2012	21796.04	18355.57	19398.96	18712.25	19034.11	19356.09	18817.5(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-358	170	-429	-146	0	49%	-0.74	34.8	5.91%	0	0.3	66	0
12	Nov_28_2012	21959.13	18171.68	19535.19	18735	18936.53	19465.25	18987.5(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5895	230	6921	2815	0	49%	-0.64	30.9	5.93%	0	0.4	64	0
13	Nov_27_2012	22100.5	18047.98	19432.89	18900	18823.04	18712.13	19506.25(7.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1454	-50	1693	735	0	49%	-0.48	34	5.92%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Nov_26_2012	22206.55	17878.26	19218.38	18857.77	18996.28	18407.81	18131.25(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5051	-190	-5958	-2328	0	47%	-0.52	32.7	5.86%	0	0.1	53	0
15	Nov_23_2012	22322.08	17856.11	19098.15	19449.02	19281.13	18933.96	18118.75(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8134	-150	-9591	-3764	0	47%	-0.41	48.8	5.86%	0	0.1	55	0

16	Nov_21_2012	22413.83	17794.71	18913.98	20187.77	20067.46	19584.75	18931.25(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2166	-190	-2579	-928	0	46%	-0.32	65.5	5.85%	0	0.6	66	0
17	Nov_20_2012	22485.16	17626.85	18669.66	20436.52	20496.96	19628.3	19812.5(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5890	-290	-6966	-2661	0	46%	-0.43	68.4	5.85%	0	1.2	71	0
18	Nov_19_2012	22581.81	17439	18379.86	20015.3	20320.39	20550.16	19295.12(-8.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3816	120	-4524	-1692	0	46%	-0.45	61.9	5.84%	0	1	61	0
19	Nov_16_2012	22684.37	17287.2	18230.57	19583.78	19843.36	21365.62	21087.5(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14714	580	17276	7028	0	45%	-0.51	58.5	5.76%	0	2.1	68	0
20	Nov_15_2012	22801.13	16973.35	17836.72	18672.53	18654.7	20090.63	21812.5(8.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18269	540	21468	8671	0	45%	-0.39	48	5.88%	0	3	61	0

21	Nov_14_2012	22890.75	16635	17180.14	17479.06	17400.77	18321.11	20175(13.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	11210	360	13177	5308	0	43%	-0.44	32.7	5.78%	0	3	61	0
22	Nov_13_2012	22993	16426.47	16632.42	16692.81	16702.42	17218.77	17706.38(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6877	220	8088	3242	0	39%	-0.49	26	5.5%	0	1.4	60	0
23	Nov_12_2012	23107.11	16353.61	16494.42	16531.69	16450.85	16480.44	17137.5(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1751	-0	2059	826	0	39%	-0.6	31.7	5.5%	0	0.9	55	0
24	Nov_9_2012	23246.16	16276.24	16385.86	16681.69	16563.4	16186.08	16531.25(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3437	-180	-4045	-1612	0	39%	-0.57	45.8	5.48%	0	0.3	52	0
25	Nov_8_2012	23379.79	16238.3	16489.4	16862.94	16909.5	16421.27	15845.19(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4756	-190	-5604	-2211	0	39%		53.1	5.45%	0	-0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.