Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $20718.7500 (6.83%) ($19256.2500 - $20725.0000) on Mon. Dec. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.77% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $20718.7500(6.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.885% (StdDev 5.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $19484.74(6.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19185.86(7.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18708.95(10.74%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   46.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.56% (three month std-dev: 5.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 10.31%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 17.06%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.8%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2012	21498.29	18708.95	19185.86	19484.74	19501.48	19646.86	20718.75(6.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5633	50	6627	2649	0	54%	-0.62	54.3	5.77%	0	1.3	66	NAN
2	Nov_30_2012	21632.44	18539.27	19185.08	18967.24	19249.73	19034.2	19393.69(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1377	-30	-1621	-644	0	49%	-0.75	45.8	5.92%	0	0.6	65	NAN
3	Nov_29_2012	21796.04	18355.57	19398.96	18712.25	19034.11	19356.09	18817.5(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-358	170	-429	-146	0	49%	-0.74	34.8	5.91%	0	0.3	66	NAN
4	Nov_28_2012	21959.13	18171.68	19535.19	18735	18936.53	19465.25	18987.5(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5895	230	6921	2815	0	49%	-0.64	30.9	5.93%	0	0.4	64	NAN
5	Nov_27_2012	22100.5	18047.98	19432.89	18900	18823.04	18712.13	19506.25(7.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1454	-50	1693	735	0	49%	-0.48	34	5.92%	0	0.8	62	NAN

6	Nov_26_2012	22206.55	17878.26	19218.38	18857.77	18996.28	18407.81	18131.25(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5051	-190	-5958	-2328	0	47%	-0.52	32.7	5.86%	0	0.1	53	NAN
7	Nov_23_2012	22322.08	17856.11	19098.15	19449.02	19281.13	18933.96	18118.75(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8134	-150	-9591	-3764	0	47%	-0.41	48.8	5.86%	0	0.1	55	NAN
8	Nov_21_2012	22413.83	17794.71	18913.98	20187.77	20067.46	19584.75	18931.25(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2166	-190	-2579	-928	0	46%	-0.32	65.5	5.85%	0	0.6	66	NAN
9	Nov_20_2012	22485.16	17626.85	18669.66	20436.52	20496.96	19628.3	19812.5(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5890	-290	-6966	-2661	0	46%	-0.43	68.4	5.85%	0	1.2	71	NAN
10	Nov_19_2012	22581.81	17439	18379.86	20015.3	20320.39	20550.16	19295.12(-8.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3816	120	-4524	-1692	0	46%	-0.45	61.9	5.84%	0	1	61	NAN

11	Nov_16_2012	22684.37	17287.2	18230.57	19583.78	19843.36	21365.62	21087.5(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14714	580	17276	7028	0	45%	-0.51	58.5	5.76%	0	2.1	68	NAN
12	Nov_15_2012	22801.13	16973.35	17836.72	18672.53	18654.7	20090.63	21812.5(8.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18269	540	21468	8671	0	45%	-0.39	48	5.88%	0	3	61	NAN
13	Nov_14_2012	22890.75	16635	17180.14	17479.06	17400.77	18321.11	20175(13.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	11210	360	13177	5308	0	43%	-0.44	32.7	5.78%	0	3	61	NAN
14	Nov_13_2012	22993	16426.47	16632.42	16692.81	16702.42	17218.77	17706.38(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6877	220	8088	3242	0	39%	-0.49	26	5.5%	0	1.4	60	NAN
15	Nov_12_2012	23107.11	16353.61	16494.42	16531.69	16450.85	16480.44	17137.5(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1751	-0	2059	826	0	39%	-0.6	31.7	5.5%	0	0.9	55	NAN

16	Nov_9_2012	23246.16	16276.24	16385.86	16681.69	16563.4	16186.08	16531.25(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3437	-180	-4045	-1612	0	39%	-0.57	45.8	5.48%	0	0.3	52	NAN
17	Nov_8_2012	23379.79	16238.3	16489.4	16862.94	16909.5	16421.27	15845.19(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4756	-190	-5604	-2211	0	39%	-0.43	53.1	5.45%	0	-0.5	56	NAN
18	Nov_7_2012	23479.91	16253.59	16592.47	16796.4	17062.15	16940.71	16243.75(-3.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2045	-0	-2417	-930	0	39%	-0.38	58.6	5.46%	0	-0	56	NAN
19	Nov_6_2012	23569.14	16198.38	16531.39	16515.15	16741.45	17397.74	16900.75(-5.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4007	320	4708	1904	0	37%	-0.34	51.6	5.46%	0	0.8	53	NAN
20	Nov_5_2012	23650.32	16092.13	16457.61	16423.75	16241.8	17183.59	17887.5(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10072	370	11844	4754	0	39%	-0.36	46.6	5.47%	0	2.1	56	NAN

21	Nov_2_2012	23735.7	15911.15	16290.12	16065	15914.45	16085.16	17437.5(12.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	6700	50	7880	3160	0	39%	-0.38	35.3	5.49%	0	1.9	58	NAN
22	Nov_1_2012	23825.13	15810.63	16048.1	16121.25	15780.86	15300	15512.5(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5707	-280	-6716	-2680	0	34%	-0.47	35	5.23%	0	-0.4	51	NAN
23	Oct_31_2012	23937.05	15781.81	16055.43	16385	16210.94	15743.75	14837.5(-9.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-5915	-230	-6962	-2772	0	34%	-0.81	36.6	5.23%	0	-1.2	46	NAN
24	Oct_26_2012	24133.21	15782.44	16222.79	16513.75	16560.8	16261.72	16443.75(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3034	-120	-3578	-1403	0	36%	-0.48	36.3	5.11%	0	0.8	59	NAN
25	Oct_25_2012	24248.67	15701.99	16213.53	16460.25	16476.42	16678.13	16093.75(-9.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1671	90	-1977	-753	0	34%		38	5.13%	0	0.5	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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