Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $17887.5000 (2.58%) ($17062.5000 - $17925.0000) on Mon. Nov. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.47% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $17887.5000(2.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.735% (StdDev 5.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $16423.75(8.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16457.61(8.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16092.13(11.16%)
To recent high   -40.1%
To recent low   26.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.32% (three month std-dev: 5.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.27%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.14%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2012	23650.32	16092.13	16457.61	16423.75	16241.8	17183.59	17887.5(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10072	370	11844	4754	0	39%	-0.36	46.6	5.47%	0	2.1	56	NAN
2	Nov_2_2012	23735.7	15911.15	16290.12	16065	15914.45	16085.16	17437.5(12.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	6700	50	7880	3160	0	39%	-0.38	35.3	5.49%	0	1.9	58	NAN
3	Nov_1_2012	23825.13	15810.63	16048.1	16121.25	15780.86	15300	15512.5(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5707	-280	-6716	-2680	0	34%	-0.47	35	5.23%	0	-0.4	51	NAN
4	Oct_31_2012	23937.05	15781.81	16055.43	16385	16210.94	15743.75	14837.5(-9.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-5915	-230	-6962	-2772	0	34%	-0.81	36.6	5.23%	0	-1.2	46	NAN
5	Oct_26_2012	24133.21	15782.44	16222.79	16513.75	16560.8	16261.72	16443.75(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3034	-120	-3578	-1403	0	36%	-0.48	36.3	5.11%	0	0.8	59	NAN

6	Oct_25_2012	24248.67	15701.99	16213.53	16460.25	16476.42	16678.13	16093.75(-9.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1671	90	-1977	-753	0	34%	-0.38	38	5.13%	0	0.5	60	NAN
7	Oct_24_2012	24341.48	15632.06	16171.89	16517.75	16511.27	16859.88	17718.75(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6305	150	7402	3012	0	36%	-0.32	41.5	5.13%	0	2.5	70	NAN
8	Oct_23_2012	24419.95	15531.9	15959.98	15980.25	16222.98	16274.72	16831.25(8.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	2690	70	3155	1293	0	37%	-0.37	39.6	5.08%	0	1.8	57	NAN
9	Oct_22_2012	24511.05	15490.39	15874.2	15706.52	15876.64	16162.66	15481.25(-4.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	86	160	92	66	0	33%	-0.48	43.4	5.03%	0	-0	56	NAN
10	Oct_19_2012	24629.23	15485.84	15840.69	15890.27	15846.18	16171.25	16176.25(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4625	140	5429	2213	0	33%	-0.71	51.4	5.01%	0	1	61	NAN

11	Oct_18_2012	24805.61	15386.51	15700.64	15935.02	15907.04	15590.63	16381.25(8.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	521	-140	600	283	0	33%	-0.66	48.4	5.02%	0	1.4	60	NAN
12	Oct_17_2012	24969.5	15289.44	15497.22	15780.02	15923.06	15521.12	15031.25(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6299	-150	-7421	-2932	0	29%	-0.71	31.6	4.9%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
13	Oct_16_2012	25149.29	15252.93	15555.99	15923.77	15964.06	16223.45	15462.62(-5.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-965	120	-1147	-419	0	29%	-0.39	6.6	4.92%	0	0.3	47	NAN
14	Oct_15_2012	25248.14	15210.06	15497.76	16050	15982.41	16325	16400(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	6972	140	8191	3313	0	31%	-0.59	-16.9	4.9%	0	1.6	50	NAN
15	Oct_12_2012	25399.09	15125.56	15317.24	15772.5	15679.68	15704.66	16400(5.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1742	-10	2044	837	0	31%	-0.62	-59.5	4.91%	0	1.9	56	NAN

16	Oct_11_2012	25556.87	15045.22	15150.27	15433.75	15454.68	15639.82	15606.25(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1094	90	1284	523	0	28%	-0.67	-97.7	4.86%	0	0.8	61	NAN
17	Oct_10_2012	25728.23	15065.42	15052.47	15171.25	15223.05	15654.69	15750(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4867	210	5726	2289	0	33%	-0.84	-83.1	4.94%	0	0.6	59	NAN
18	Oct_9_2012	25947.11	15204.34	15059.77	15136.25	14922.27	15269.53	16093.75(7.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4279	120	5031	2022	0	33%	-0.78	-74.6	5.11%	0	0.7	62	NAN
19	Oct_8_2012	26150.3	15336.25	15049.37	14877.5	14863.29	14791.41	15012.5(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2273	-40	2671	1079	0	29%	-0.97	-74	5.02%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
20	Oct_5_2012	26407.19	15544.22	15083.87	14800	14777.35	14575.01	14706.25(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2931	-100	-3452	-1369	0	33%	-1.01	-76	5.14%	0	-0.5	51	NAN

21	Oct_4_2012	26675.87	15725.92	15040.88	14822.5	14768.36	14935.16	14293.75(-8.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-601	70	-709	-277	0	33%	-1.26	-79.6	5.17%	0	-0.7	48	NAN
22	Oct_3_2012	27014.97	16009.68	15072.71	14891.25	14816.02	14979.69	15575(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3285	60	3865	1544	0	33%	-1.22	-75.1	5.12%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
23	Oct_2_2012	27347.24	16298.25	14933.7	14977.5	14786.2	14601.56	14800(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2560	-130	-3003	-1232	0	30%	-1.04	-69.1	5.24%	0	-0.6	29	NAN
24	Oct_1_2012	27635.31	16641.1	14915.04	15263.75	15224.88	14652.34	14625(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3860	-270	-4526	-1861	0	30%	-0.9	-68.7	5.23%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
25	Sep_28_2012	27886.01	16985.7	14938.01	15415	15482.34	14970.84	14818.75(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6864	-220	-8054	-3295	0	28%		-65.4	5.34%	0	-0.8	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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