Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $15012.5000 (2.08%) ($14818.7500 - $15343.7500) on Mon. Oct. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.02% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $15012.5000(2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.51% (StdDev 5.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $15336.25
5 Day Moving Average   $14877.5(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15049.37(-0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15336.25(-2.11%)
To recent high   -60%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 10.6% (three month std-dev: 5.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.58%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.96%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2012	26150.3	15336.25	15049.37	14877.5	14863.29	14791.41	15012.5(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2273	-40	2671	1079	0	29%	-0.97	-74	5.02%	0	-0.2	55	0
2	Oct_5_2012	26407.19	15544.22	15083.87	14800	14777.35	14575.01	14706.25(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2931	-100	-3452	-1369	0	33%	-1.01	-76	5.14%	0	-0.5	51	0
3	Oct_4_2012	26675.87	15725.92	15040.88	14822.5	14768.36	14935.16	14293.75(-8.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-601	70	-709	-277	0	33%	-1.26	-79.6	5.17%	0	-0.7	48	0
4	Oct_3_2012	27014.97	16009.68	15072.71	14891.25	14816.02	14979.69	15575(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3285	60	3865	1544	0	33%	-1.22	-75.1	5.12%	0	-0.2	46	0
5	Oct_2_2012	27347.24	16298.25	14933.7	14977.5	14786.2	14601.56	14800(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2560	-130	-3003	-1232	0	30%	-1.04	-69.1	5.24%	0	-0.6	29	0

6	Oct_1_2012	27635.31	16641.1	14915.04	15263.75	15224.88	14652.34	14625(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3860	-270	-4526	-1861	0	30%	-0.9	-68.7	5.23%	0	-0.8	28	0
7	Sep_28_2012	27886.01	16985.7	14938.01	15415	15482.34	14970.84	14818.75(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6864	-220	-8054	-3295	0	28%	-0.82	-65.4	5.34%	0	-0.8	27	0
8	Sep_27_2012	28116.5	17464.14	14949.81	15277.5	15538.98	15797.41	14637.5(-8.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-364	170	-399	-259	0	28%	-0.83	-56.1	5.41%	0	-0.9	33	0
9	Sep_26_2012	28350.81	17935.63	15097.05	15242.5	15283.63	15993.83	16006.25(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7869	330	9295	3592	0	30%	-0.85	-51.4	5.34%	0	-0.6	32	0
10	Sep_25_2012	28594.37	18299.79	15348.86	14872.5	14819.57	15280.55	16231.25(5.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6900	210	8162	3113	0	30%	-0.71	-52.9	5.38%	0	-0.6	28	0

11	Sep_24_2012	28798.39	18648.89	15602.93	14538.75	14535.94	14573.44	15381.25(8.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1900	20	2287	739	0	27%	-0.7	-56.2	5.36%	0	-0.9	23	0
12	Sep_21_2012	29002.08	19016.13	15987.07	14425	14485.94	14358.59	14131.25(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-2220	-50	-2555	-1214	0	31%	-0.75	-61	5.25%	0	-1.3	15	0
13	Sep_20_2012	29221.47	19463.62	16428.17	14583.75	14699.22	14498.44	14462.5(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1690	-70	-1929	-972	0	31%	-0.61	-65.7	5.63%	0	-1.4	13	0
14	Sep_19_2012	29400.43	19897.73	16996.72	14931.25	14868.36	14613.28	14156.25(-2.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-6234	-130	-7274	-3115	0	31%	-0.56	-73	5.63%	0	-1.7	13	0
15	Sep_18_2012	29566.31	20428.53	17759.33	15905	15751.56	14900	14562.5(-1.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-6759	-410	-7897	-3345	0	31%	-0.55	-75.9	5.63%	0	-1.8	19	0

16	Sep_17_2012	29729.76	21001.15	18508.61	16843.75	16857.5	15123.44	14812.5(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-15899	-720	-18656	-7629	0	31%	-0.51	-76.4	5.66%	0	-1.9	20	0
17	Sep_14_2012	29882.51	21588.71	19222.14	17795	17907.5	16603.13	14925(-7.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19314	-490	-22679	-9217	0	31%	-0.54	-76.1	5.66%	0	-2.2	25	0
18	Sep_13_2012	30044.88	22155.09	20221.69	18518.75	18869.61	18591.56	16200(-14.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5638	-50	-6597	-2759	0	32%	-0.49	-82.9	5.59%	0	-2.2	27	0
19	Sep_12_2012	30194.18	22788.16	21054.71	19331.25	19062.19	19211.88	19025(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1295	10	-1495	-696	0	34%	-0.48	-78.3	5.29%	0	-1.4	34	0
20	Sep_11_2012	30341.05	23283.43	21515.96	19905	19430.86	19147.66	19256.25(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1710	-170	-1986	-881	0	34%	-0.48	-69.5	5.36%	0	-1.4	30	0

21	Sep_10_2012	30486.52	23747.6	21947.87	20466.25	20175.86	18912.5	19568.75(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9720	-480	-11411	-4646	0	34%	-0.39	-66.4	5.39%	0	-1.5	27	0
22	Sep_7_2012	30607.31	24152.79	22286.99	20911.25	20888.76	19714.06	18543.75(-8.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-19194	-400	-22556	-9109	0	36%	-0.39	-71.3	5.34%	0	-2	20	0
23	Sep_6_2012	30728.68	24647.27	22760.89	22190	22024.7	21439.21	20262.5(-7.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9538	-210	-11202	-4547	0	39%	-0.34	-74.5	5.4%	0	-1.7	27	0
24	Sep_5_2012	30832.12	25095.91	23052.21	23023.75	22998.14	22063.46	21893.75(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-6635	-290	-7785	-3185	0	41%	-0.25	-75	5.33%	0	-1.3	24	0
25	Sep_4_2012	30909.67	25437.19	23317.36	23368.75	23469.16	22610.19	22062.5(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12243	-240	-14379	-5833	0	41%		-77.8	5.33%	0	-1.3	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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