Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $19568.7500 (5.53%) ($18625.0000 - $19737.5000) on Mon. Sep. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.39% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $19568.7500(5.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    QQQ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.695% (StdDev 5.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.7%

Resistance Level   $23747.6
5 Day Moving Average   $20466.25(-4.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21947.87(-10.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23747.6(-17.6%)
To recent high   -47.9%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 12.12% (three month std-dev: 5.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 15.56%(43%) Average negative next day return: -6.53%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 12.6%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -4.37%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.54%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.84%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2012	30486.52	23747.6	21947.87	20466.25	20175.86	18912.5	19568.75(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9720	-480	-11411	-4646	0	34%	-0.39	-66.4	5.39%	0	-1.5	27	NAN
2	Sep_7_2012	30607.31	24152.79	22286.99	20911.25	20888.76	19714.06	18543.75(-8.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-19194	-400	-22556	-9109	0	36%	-0.39	-71.3	5.34%	0	-2	20	NAN
3	Sep_6_2012	30728.68	24647.27	22760.89	22190	22024.7	21439.21	20262.5(-7.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9538	-210	-11202	-4547	0	39%	-0.34	-74.5	5.4%	0	-1.7	27	NAN
4	Sep_5_2012	30832.12	25095.91	23052.21	23023.75	22998.14	22063.46	21893.75(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-6635	-290	-7785	-3185	0	41%	-0.25	-75	5.33%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
5	Sep_4_2012	30909.67	25437.19	23317.36	23368.75	23469.16	22610.19	22062.5(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12243	-240	-14379	-5833	0	41%	-0.2	-77.8	5.33%	0	-1.3	23	NAN

6	Aug_31_2012	30972.9	25825.68	23687.71	23650	23818.75	23932.81	21793.75(-12.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2811	50	-3284	-1392	0	35%	-0.19	-68.8	5.81%	0	-1.4	25	NAN
7	Aug_30_2012	31033.12	26327.45	24142.14	23836.25	23795.31	24328.13	24937.5(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6668	150	7868	3066	0	39%	-0.2	-61.8	5.62%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
8	Aug_29_2012	31095.37	26738.86	24211.4	23422.5	23361.72	23704.68	24431.25(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5050	90	5970	2289	0	39%	-0.18	-58.8	5.62%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
9	Aug_28_2012	31152.13	27152.9	24604.82	23111.25	22981.25	23262.49	23618.75(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1331	70	1597	533	0	39%	-0.25	-61.5	5.64%	0	-1.1	26	NAN
10	Aug_27_2012	31228.83	27558.31	25124.9	23297.5	23086.72	23018.75	23468.75(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1007	-50	1214	385	0	39%	-0.25	-69.1	5.68%	0	-1.2	29	NAN

11	Aug_24_2012	31308.02	27903.31	25626.02	23776.25	23386.72	22700	22725(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-7224	-250	-8470	-3484	0	39%	-0.29	-76.8	5.67%	0	-1.6	22	NAN
12	Aug_23_2012	31399.73	28345.23	26127.73	24505	24227.73	23154.69	22868.75(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-10962	-340	-12868	-5243	0	35%	-0.26	-80.7	5.67%	0	-1.8	19	NAN
13	Aug_22_2012	31480.21	28817.42	26679.68	25109.87	25126.95	24073.44	22875(-6.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-12532	-290	-14715	-5983	0	35%	-0.14	-83.5	5.88%	0	-2	17	NAN
14	Aug_21_2012	31525.3	29385.77	27332.68	26302.37	25962.44	25300.78	24550(-5.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-11572	-220	-13588	-5523	0	34%	-0.01	-74.4	5.85%	0	-1.6	22	NAN
15	Aug_20_2012	31528.93	30023.76	27768.97	27217.37	27143.7	26180.47	25862.5(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5937	-260	-6961	-2864	0	34%	-0.01	-61.9	5.95%	0	-1.3	32	NAN

16	Aug_17_2012	31532.7	30594.86	28173.7	27763.62	27783.54	26624.1	26368.75(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12510	-290	-14697	-5950	0	32%	-0.02	-54.9	5.95%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
17	Aug_16_2012	31539.65	31033.41	28719.72	27999.87	28226.51	28106.92	25893.12(-10.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6514	-10	-7645	-3121	0	32%	-0.04	-52.7	6.16%	0	-1.6	36	NAN
18	Aug_15_2012	31553.24	31518.42	29491.33	28455	28401.72	28942.98	28837.5(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4570	130	5392	2105	0	39%	0.1	-50.8	6.04%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
19	Aug_14_2012	31521.61	31891.11	29888.79	28521.25	28310.7	28346.09	29125(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3414	-10	4032	1560	0	42%	0.14	-48.5	6.24%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
20	Aug_13_2012	31476.26	32192.94	30145.05	28435	28281.64	27860.47	28593.75(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3987	-120	-4670	-1936	0	42%	0.08	-47.4	6.36%	0	-1.2	28	NAN

21	Aug_10_2012	31450.62	32476.84	30319.09	28691.25	28579.69	28275.31	27550(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-5480	-90	-6423	-2652	0	42%	-0.01	-41.5	6.37%	0	-1.7	24	NAN
22	Aug_9_2012	31452.28	32809.67	30717.66	29576.25	29229.09	28702.81	28168.75(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4712	-160	-5520	-2287	0	41%	0.06	-29.7	6.37%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
23	Aug_8_2012	31432.51	33179.91	31122.65	30692.5	30096.67	28884.06	29168.75(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10639	-340	-12495	-5069	0	44%	0.1	-6.4	6.39%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
24	Aug_7_2012	31400.5	33470.3	31608.19	31472.5	31304.25	29755.37	28693.75(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14148	-360	-16626	-6715	0	44%	0.07	19.3	6.52%	0	-2	32	NAN
25	Aug_6_2012	31377.15	33703.51	32473.68	32085	32326.51	31309.27	29875(-6.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10417	-200	-12240	-4947	0	44%		35.5	6.51%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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