Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $24431.2500 (3.44%) ($23493.7500 - $24587.5000) on Wed. Aug. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.62% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $24431.2500(3.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    QQQ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    PCY(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.81% (StdDev 5.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

Resistance Level   $26738.86
5 Day Moving Average   $23422.5(4.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24211.4(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26738.86(-8.63%)
To recent high   -35%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 12.27% (three month std-dev: 5.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2012	31095.37	26738.86	24211.4	23422.5	23361.72	23704.68	24431.25(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5050	90	5970	2289	0	39%	-0.18	-58.8	5.62%	0	-0.7	34	0
2	Aug_28_2012	31152.13	27152.9	24604.82	23111.25	22981.25	23262.49	23618.75(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1331	70	1597	533	0	39%	-0.25	-61.5	5.64%	0	-1.1	26	0
3	Aug_27_2012	31228.83	27558.31	25124.9	23297.5	23086.72	23018.75	23468.75(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1007	-50	1214	385	0	39%	-0.25	-69.1	5.68%	0	-1.2	29	0
4	Aug_24_2012	31308.02	27903.31	25626.02	23776.25	23386.72	22700	22725(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-7224	-250	-8470	-3484	0	39%	-0.29	-76.8	5.67%	0	-1.6	22	0
5	Aug_23_2012	31399.73	28345.23	26127.73	24505	24227.73	23154.69	22868.75(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-10962	-340	-12868	-5243	0	35%	-0.26	-80.7	5.67%	0	-1.8	19	0

6	Aug_22_2012	31480.21	28817.42	26679.68	25109.87	25126.95	24073.44	22875(-6.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-12532	-290	-14715	-5983	0	35%	-0.14	-83.5	5.88%	0	-2	17	0
7	Aug_21_2012	31525.3	29385.77	27332.68	26302.37	25962.44	25300.78	24550(-5.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-11572	-220	-13588	-5523	0	34%	-0.01	-74.4	5.85%	0	-1.6	22	0
8	Aug_20_2012	31528.93	30023.76	27768.97	27217.37	27143.7	26180.47	25862.5(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5937	-260	-6961	-2864	0	34%	-0.01	-61.9	5.95%	0	-1.3	32	0
9	Aug_17_2012	31532.7	30594.86	28173.7	27763.62	27783.54	26624.1	26368.75(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12510	-290	-14697	-5950	0	32%	-0.02	-54.9	5.95%	0	-1.3	40	0
10	Aug_16_2012	31539.65	31033.41	28719.72	27999.87	28226.51	28106.92	25893.12(-10.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6514	-10	-7645	-3121	0	32%	-0.04	-52.7	6.16%	0	-1.6	36	0

11	Aug_15_2012	31553.24	31518.42	29491.33	28455	28401.72	28942.98	28837.5(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4570	130	5392	2105	0	39%	0.1	-50.8	6.04%	0	-0.9	40	0
12	Aug_14_2012	31521.61	31891.11	29888.79	28521.25	28310.7	28346.09	29125(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3414	-10	4032	1560	0	42%	0.14	-48.5	6.24%	0	-0.9	35	0
13	Aug_13_2012	31476.26	32192.94	30145.05	28435	28281.64	27860.47	28593.75(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3987	-120	-4670	-1936	0	42%	0.08	-47.4	6.36%	0	-1.2	28	0
14	Aug_10_2012	31450.62	32476.84	30319.09	28691.25	28579.69	28275.31	27550(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-5480	-90	-6423	-2652	0	42%	-0.01	-41.5	6.37%	0	-1.7	24	0
15	Aug_9_2012	31452.28	32809.67	30717.66	29576.25	29229.09	28702.81	28168.75(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4712	-160	-5520	-2287	0	41%	0.06	-29.7	6.37%	0	-1.7	34	0

16	Aug_8_2012	31432.51	33179.91	31122.65	30692.5	30096.67	28884.06	29168.75(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10639	-340	-12495	-5069	0	44%	0.1	-6.4	6.39%	0	-1.6	35	0
17	Aug_7_2012	31400.5	33470.3	31608.19	31472.5	31304.25	29755.37	28693.75(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14148	-360	-16626	-6715	0	44%	0.07	19.3	6.52%	0	-2	32	0
18	Aug_6_2012	31377.15	33703.51	32473.68	32085	32326.51	31309.27	29875(-6.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10417	-200	-12240	-4947	0	44%	0.13	35.5	6.51%	0	-1.7	39	0
19	Aug_3_2012	31337.29	33742.96	33224.6	32133.75	32409.36	32853.13	31975(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1955	120	-2287	-957	0	49%	0.21	37	6.45%	0	-0.8	47	0
20	Aug_2_2012	31272.63	33644.77	33534	31993.75	32083.57	33343.75	33750(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10708	280	12609	5003	0	50%	0.26	25.4	6.57%	0	0	52	0

21	Aug_1_2012	31190.04	33342.3	33681.68	31648.75	31619.82	31965.59	33068.75(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7473	70	8805	3476	0	50%	0.33	15.7	6.59%	0	-0.1	45	0
22	Jul_31_2012	31087.87	33021.83	34003.43	31848.75	31588.97	30823.4	31756.25(5.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6458	-190	-7586	-3074	0	50%	0.3	9.3	6.63%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Jul_30_2012	30994.76	32919.97	34360.93	33012.5	32512.03	31274.06	30118.75(-3.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13133	-310	-15445	-6196	0	50%	0.28	19.9	6.6%	0	-0.9	47	0
24	Jul_27_2012	30907.26	32910.57	34806.92	34500	34106.17	32354.53	31275(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14432	-390	-16982	-6780	0	50%	0.32	31.2	6.59%	0	-0.5	59	0
25	Jul_26_2012	30808.53	32977.98	35107.07	35261.25	35509.38	33750	32025(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15967	-330	-18795	-7482	0	50%		42.8	6.59%	0	-0.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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