Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $29125.0000 (1.86%) ($28006.2500 - $29312.5000) on Tue. Aug. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.24% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $29125.0000(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    QQQ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    PCY(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.12% (StdDev 6.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $31891.11
5 Day Moving Average   $28521.25(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29888.79(-2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31891.11(-8.67%)
To recent high   -39.5%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 9.74% (three month std-dev: 6.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.19%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.55%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 6.38%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -3.4%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 10.5%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.86%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2012	31521.61	31891.11	29888.79	28521.25	28310.7	28346.09	29125(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3414	-10	4032	1560	0	42%	0.14	-48.5	6.24%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
2	Aug_13_2012	31476.26	32192.94	30145.05	28435	28281.64	27860.47	28593.75(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3987	-120	-4670	-1936	0	42%	0.08	-47.4	6.36%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
3	Aug_10_2012	31450.62	32476.84	30319.09	28691.25	28579.69	28275.31	27550(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-5480	-90	-6423	-2652	0	42%	-0.01	-41.5	6.37%	0	-1.7	24	NAN
4	Aug_9_2012	31452.28	32809.67	30717.66	29576.25	29229.09	28702.81	28168.75(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4712	-160	-5520	-2287	0	41%	0.06	-29.7	6.37%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
5	Aug_8_2012	31432.51	33179.91	31122.65	30692.5	30096.67	28884.06	29168.75(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10639	-340	-12495	-5069	0	44%	0.1	-6.4	6.39%	0	-1.6	35	NAN

6	Aug_7_2012	31400.5	33470.3	31608.19	31472.5	31304.25	29755.37	28693.75(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14148	-360	-16626	-6715	0	44%	0.07	19.3	6.52%	0	-2	32	NAN
7	Aug_6_2012	31377.15	33703.51	32473.68	32085	32326.51	31309.27	29875(-6.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10417	-200	-12240	-4947	0	44%	0.13	35.5	6.51%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
8	Aug_3_2012	31337.29	33742.96	33224.6	32133.75	32409.36	32853.13	31975(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1955	120	-2287	-957	0	49%	0.21	37	6.45%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
9	Aug_2_2012	31272.63	33644.77	33534	31993.75	32083.57	33343.75	33750(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10708	280	12609	5003	0	50%	0.26	25.4	6.57%	0	0	52	NAN
10	Aug_1_2012	31190.04	33342.3	33681.68	31648.75	31619.82	31965.59	33068.75(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7473	70	8805	3476	0	50%	0.33	15.7	6.59%	0	-0.1	45	NAN

11	Jul_31_2012	31087.87	33021.83	34003.43	31848.75	31588.97	30823.4	31756.25(5.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6458	-190	-7586	-3074	0	50%	0.3	9.3	6.63%	0	-0.4	44	NAN
12	Jul_30_2012	30994.76	32919.97	34360.93	33012.5	32512.03	31274.06	30118.75(-3.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13133	-310	-15445	-6196	0	50%	0.28	19.9	6.6%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
13	Jul_27_2012	30907.26	32910.57	34806.92	34500	34106.17	32354.53	31275(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14432	-390	-16982	-6780	0	50%	0.32	31.2	6.59%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
14	Jul_26_2012	30808.53	32977.98	35107.07	35261.25	35509.38	33750	32025(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15967	-330	-18795	-7482	0	50%	0.32	42.8	6.59%	0	-0.3	63	NAN
15	Jul_25_2012	30710.25	32918.84	35466.53	35940	36123.83	35857.81	34068.75(-9.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9976	-40	-11757	-4634	0	48%	0.38	56.4	6.55%	0	0.3	74	NAN

16	Jul_24_2012	30593.16	32726.37	35547.71	36418.75	36338.28	37268.75	37575(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	6694	170	7844	3242	0	50%	0.55	68.8	6.51%	0	1.4	86	NAN
17	Jul_23_2012	30426.33	32277.05	35062.55	35932.5	36101.95	36389.84	37556.25(7.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8646	70	10139	4166	0	52%	0.59	73.5	6.51%	0	1.6	70	NAN
18	Jul_20_2012	30246.8	31906.69	34306.89	35222.49	35539.84	35407.81	35081.25(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1085	0	-1307	-419	0	50%	0.55	80.4	6.51%	0	1	67	NAN
19	Jul_19_2012	30082.07	31619.99	33770.47	34952.49	35146.89	35814.06	35418.75(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2185	150	2543	1111	0	50%	0.55	86.1	6.51%	0	1.3	57	NAN
20	Jul_18_2012	29918.61	31135.17	32974.66	34921.24	34832.04	35671.87	36462.5(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7965	160	9345	3826	0	50%	0.65	82.1	6.5%	0	1.7	63	NAN

21	Jul_17_2012	29726.43	30557.28	31938.08	34556.24	34794.94	34479.72	35143.75(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4031	-40	4721	1961	0	50%	0.56	76.7	6.49%	0	1.5	62	NAN
22	Jul_16_2012	29560.48	30041	31326.74	34067.49	34587.13	33992.22	34006.19(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4248	-70	-5017	-1939	0	50%	0.54	65.8	6.5%	0	1.3	63	NAN
23	Jul_13_2012	29402.06	29644.84	30834.88	33225	33812.5	35110.16	33731.25(-4.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3706	320	4345	1788	0	50%	0.55	57.1	6.53%	0	1.3	57	NAN
24	Jul_12_2012	29240.65	29257.17	30648.9	32346.25	32748.83	35182.03	35262.5(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24643	560	28979	11635	0	48%	0.6	47.3	6.51%	0	2	62	NAN
25	Jul_11_2012	29067.43	28791.32	30116.56	30697.5	30909.38	32514.84	34637.5(5.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21257	380	25000	10029	0	48%		36.6	6.66%	0	2.2	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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