Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $36462.5000 (3.75%) ($35475.0000 - $36956.1900) on Wed. Jul. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.5% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $36462.5000(3.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-10%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    SHY(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    REMX(-25%)    PCY(-25%)    VWO(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.25% (StdDev 6.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $34921.24(4.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32974.66(10.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31135.17(17.11%)
To recent high   -24.3%
To recent low   47.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 9.92% (three month std-dev: 6.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.67%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.17%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.38%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.09%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.22%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2012	29918.61	31135.17	32974.66	34921.24	34832.04	35671.87	36462.5(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7965	160	9345	3826	0	50%	0.65	82.1	6.5%	0	1.7	63	NAN
2	Jul_17_2012	29726.43	30557.28	31938.08	34556.24	34794.94	34479.72	35143.75(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4031	-40	4721	1961	0	50%	0.56	76.7	6.49%	0	1.5	62	NAN
3	Jul_16_2012	29560.48	30041	31326.74	34067.49	34587.13	33992.22	34006.19(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4248	-70	-5017	-1939	0	50%	0.54	65.8	6.5%	0	1.3	63	NAN
4	Jul_13_2012	29402.06	29644.84	30834.88	33225	33812.5	35110.16	33731.25(-4.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3706	320	4345	1788	0	50%	0.55	57.1	6.53%	0	1.3	57	NAN
5	Jul_12_2012	29240.65	29257.17	30648.9	32346.25	32748.83	35182.03	35262.5(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24643	560	28979	11635	0	48%	0.6	47.3	6.51%	0	2	62	NAN

6	Jul_11_2012	29067.43	28791.32	30116.56	30697.5	30909.38	32514.84	34637.5(5.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21257	380	25000	10029	0	48%	0.54	36.6	6.66%	0	2.2	69	NAN
7	Jul_10_2012	28910.55	28355.99	29606.71	28940	29028.7	30315.63	32700(9.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10302	320	12116	4860	0	48%	0.14	22.1	6.64%	0	1.8	68	NAN
8	Jul_9_2012	28871.48	28116.51	29185.22	28237.5	28034.95	29303.91	29793.75(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10588	300	12453	4994	0	45%	0.31	20.9	6.55%	0	0.8	65	NAN
9	Jul_6_2012	28782.37	27985.94	29247.55	28127.5	27919.76	27741.78	29337.5(8.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5863	-70	6890	2781	0	45%	0.33	20.3	6.55%	0	0.6	60	NAN
10	Jul_5_2012	28688.94	27904.92	29260.91	28742.5	28040.27	26766	27018.75(4.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14140	-390	-16649	-6612	0	43%	0.43	16.5	6.51%	0	-0.4	56	NAN

11	Jul_3_2012	28566.99	27836.4	29179.72	29439.87	29431.88	28097.74	25850(-11.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11192	-320	-13184	-5214	0	49%	0.17	9.8	6.64%	0	-0.9	53	NAN
12	Jul_2_2012	28518.45	27841.37	29167.17	30288.62	30320.12	29314.53	29187.5(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9833	-230	-11590	-4562	0	51%	0.3	5.6	6.58%	0	0.6	61	NAN
13	Jun_29_2012	28434.02	27676.12	28767.19	30206.12	30443.12	30766.02	29243.75(-9.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4154	100	-4905	-1899	0	51%	0.33	-6.8	6.57%	0	0.7	53	NAN
14	Jun_28_2012	28339.56	27565.47	28476.79	30482.37	30583.95	31325.7	32412.5(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10265	180	12056	4890	0	55%	0.45	-11.1	6.45%	0	2	65	NAN
15	Jun_27_2012	28211.57	27565.78	27819.38	29898.62	30002.29	30120.23	30505.62(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3919	40	4595	1891	0	55%	0.4	-15.5	6.45%	0	1.2	58	NAN

16	Jun_26_2012	28098.37	27627.03	27384.96	28908.75	29480.06	29842.19	30093.75(4.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4078	150	4786	1952	0	55%	0.4	-32.2	6.46%	0	0.9	65	NAN
17	Jun_25_2012	27986.06	27722.49	26988.74	27870	28381.78	29884.34	28775(-6.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9837	430	11567	4647	0	55%	0.36	-47.3	6.48%	0	0.4	62	NAN
18	Jun_22_2012	27884.79	27819.77	26918.02	27070	27162.64	29117.93	30625(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18609	510	21889	8769	0	55%	0.47	-66.3	6.48%	0	1	66	NAN
19	Jun_21_2012	27755.27	27845.05	26536.72	26178.75	26168.13	26879.22	29493.75(15.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13017	190	15315	6122	0	55%	0.39	-85.1	6.5%	0	0.6	57	NAN
20	Jun_20_2012	27646.6	27958.22	26326.17	25502.5	25638.05	25207.34	25556.25(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2539	-100	-2977	-1226	0	51%	0.24	-105.3	6.22%	0	-0.8	28	NAN

21	Jun_19_2012	27579.19	28507.53	26319.68	25665	25838.67	25457.03	24900(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5328	-80	-6252	-2556	0	51%	0.22	-100.3	6.21%	0	-1	30	NAN
22	Jun_18_2012	27518.73	29046.46	26404.74	25961.25	26112.57	26068.75	24775(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2118	10	-2471	-1060	0	51%	0.24	-100.2	6.22%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
23	Jun_15_2012	27453.68	29785.62	26537.76	26695	26370.38	26220.31	26168.75(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1138	-80	-1317	-602	0	51%	0.24	-84.1	6.18%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
24	Jun_14_2012	27388.05	30493.56	26636.88	26922.5	26747.73	26156.39	26112.5(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4516	-170	-5287	-2201	0	54%	0.21	-72.3	6.18%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
25	Jun_13_2012	27330.21	31503.18	27326.3	27275	27229.21	26520.45	26368.75(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6292	-190	-7380	-3027	0	54%		-52.3	6.33%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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