Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $25850.0000 (-4.9%) ($25775.0000 - $28350.0000) on Mon. Jun. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.24% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $25850.0000(-4.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -17.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    SHY(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    PCY(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.12% (StdDev 6.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

Resistance Level   $36296.16
5 Day Moving Average   $30421.25(-15.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31910.35(-18.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36296.16(-28.78%)
To recent high   -46.3%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 15.81% (three month std-dev: 6.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2012	27190.31	36296.16	31910.35	30421.25	30588.28	27834.38	25850(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27370	-610	-32151	-13025	0	57%	0.12	-15.3	6.24%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
2	Jun_1_2012	27156.74	36839.24	33339.16	31490	31856.68	31084.38	27181.25(-19.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17951	-130	-21075	-8578	0	57%	0.21	-6.9	6.23%	0	-1.9	36	NAN
3	May_31_2012	27101.01	37326.15	34726.85	32426.13	32468.4	33342.19	33637.5(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6554	190	7751	2961	0	63%	0.43	2.5	5.76%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
4	May_30_2012	26984.19	37294.96	36005.91	32178.63	32169.47	32628.99	32606.25(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4969	100	5881	2232	0	63%	0.4	2.2	5.78%	0	-1	45	NAN
5	May_29_2012	26876.07	37249.37	37486.28	33097.38	32758.53	31594.61	32831.25(5.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6096	-280	-7145	-2947	0	65%	0.49	4.7	5.8%	0	-0.9	42	NAN

6	May_25_2012	26744.69	37197.56	38515.44	33732.38	33946.38	31709.96	31193.75(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23093	-440	-27149	-10925	0	63%	0.31	5.5	5.87%	0	-1.2	47	NAN
7	May_24_2012	26660.95	37200.08	39404.77	35531.13	35567.75	33922.45	31861.88(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23910	-320	-28119	-11281	0	63%	0.34	14.1	5.9%	0	-1	50	NAN
8	May_23_2012	26570.84	37211.8	40075.71	37366.25	37327.28	36182.81	32400(-12.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14624	-220	-17203	-6886	0	63%	0.36	24.8	5.9%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
9	May_22_2012	26474.86	37192.66	40715.99	40391.25	38988.57	37213.05	37200(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21376	-420	-25165	-10010	0	67%	0.42	43.5	5.64%	0	0	63	NAN
10	May_21_2012	26364.29	37020.59	41034.67	42578.75	41618.26	38471.75	36006.25(-10.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25449	-600	-29975	-11871	0	64%	0.37	61	5.69%	0	-0.2	65	NAN

11	May_18_2012	26267.57	36917.24	41164.13	43983.75	43480.87	40764.09	40187.5(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33197	-470	-39104	-15476	0	67%	0.51	72.4	5.65%	0	0.6	71	NAN
12	May_17_2012	26134.65	36484.94	40746	43785	44177.97	44764.77	41037.5(-13.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6076	120	-7202	-2696	0	67%	0.48	73.7	5.68%	0	0.8	74	NAN
13	May_16_2012	26010.55	35957.01	40247.86	43058.75	43154.57	46197.66	47525(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	32839	500	38574	15634	0	70%	0.85	72.8	5.36%	0	2.1	82	NAN
14	May_15_2012	25791.29	35059.53	38683.45	41073.75	40610	43591.17	48137.5(11.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	33773	480	39681	16048	0	70%	0.91	68.2	5.48%	0	2.7	83	NAN
15	May_14_2012	25558.51	34077.86	36873.21	39421.25	39163.91	40111.49	43031.25(9.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22761	150	26734	10842	0	67%	0.73	72.2	5.31%	0	2.3	69	NAN

16	May_11_2012	25372.32	33410.25	35611.58	38060	38572.23	37628.83	39193.75(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1627	-130	-1949	-659	0	65%	0.56	69.3	5.16%	0	1.7	64	NAN
17	May_10_2012	25232.08	32881.83	34680.63	37290	37929.65	38216.33	37406.25(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8613	100	-10163	-3962	0	65%	0.51	60.7	5.18%	0	1.4	66	NAN
18	May_9_2012	25104.05	32398.21	34024.53	36935	37519.58	39515.63	37600(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21431	420	25183	10174	0	65%	0.53	56.5	5.2%	0	1.7	69	NAN
19	May_8_2012	24972.87	32048.08	33331.72	35815	36277.77	37642.96	39875(10.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27136	300	31900	12842	0	68%	0.5	56.1	5.12%	0	2.8	75	NAN
20	May_7_2012	24849.3	31520.43	32602.18	33922.5	34369.53	35523.54	36225(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12296	270	14448	5838	0	66%	0.44	58.7	5%	0	2.2	73	NAN

21	May_4_2012	24741.16	31243.05	32276.03	32793.75	32982.04	34912.57	35343.75(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	20131	430	23670	9515	0	66%	0.34	61.7	4.96%	0	2.1	66	NAN
22	May_3_2012	24658.15	31034.45	31852.9	31681.25	31899.33	33215.52	35631.25(11.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	24764	310	29124	11682	0	66%	0.4	65	4.99%	0	2.7	71	NAN
23	May_2_2012	24560.5	30765	31301.59	30722.5	30663.85	31051.5	32000(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	5220	80	6134	2476	0	63%	0.33	75.9	4.84%	0	0.9	68	NAN
24	May_1_2012	24479.77	30540.54	31142.51	30488.75	30455.29	30583.13	30412.5(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	653	30	763	321	0	61%	0.3	68.5	4.87%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
25	Apr_30_2012	24406.27	30295.22	31076.2	31090	30841.77	30276.2	30581.25(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3651	-150	-4303	-1693	0	61%		63.3	4.83%	0	0.1	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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