Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $39875.0000 (10.08%) ($38250.0000 - $41000.0000) on Tue. May. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.12% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $39875.0000(10.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 5.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    REMX(-25%)    PCY(-25%)    VWO(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.56% (StdDev 5.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $35815(11.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33331.72(19.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32048.08(24.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   126.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.8% (three month std-dev: 5.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.77%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.14%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.49%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.83%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2012	24972.87	32048.08	33331.72	35815	36277.77	37642.96	39875(10.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27136	300	31900	12842	0	68%	0.5	56.1	5.12%	0	2.8	75	NAN
2	May_7_2012	24849.3	31520.43	32602.18	33922.5	34369.53	35523.54	36225(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12296	270	14448	5838	0	66%	0.44	58.7	5%	0	2.2	73	NAN
3	May_4_2012	24741.16	31243.05	32276.03	32793.75	32982.04	34912.57	35343.75(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	20131	430	23670	9515	0	66%	0.34	61.7	4.96%	0	2.1	66	NAN
4	May_3_2012	24658.15	31034.45	31852.9	31681.25	31899.33	33215.52	35631.25(11.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	24764	310	29124	11682	0	66%	0.4	65	4.99%	0	2.7	71	NAN
5	May_2_2012	24560.5	30765	31301.59	30722.5	30663.85	31051.5	32000(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	5220	80	6134	2476	0	63%	0.33	75.9	4.84%	0	0.9	68	NAN

6	May_1_2012	24479.77	30540.54	31142.51	30488.75	30455.29	30583.13	30412.5(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	653	30	763	321	0	61%	0.3	68.5	4.87%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
7	Apr_30_2012	24406.27	30295.22	31076.2	31090	30841.77	30276.2	30581.25(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3651	-150	-4303	-1693	0	61%	0.41	63.3	4.83%	0	0.1	53	NAN
8	Apr_27_2012	24307.37	30096.74	31068.35	31676.25	31447.86	30327.44	29781.25(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14649	-270	-17245	-6859	0	58%	0.35	67.2	4.84%	0	-0.2	47	NAN
9	Apr_26_2012	24223.45	29977.13	31012.87	32001.25	32429.47	31407.34	30837.5(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9694	-180	-11415	-4530	0	58%	0.47	68.1	4.9%	0	0.4	48	NAN
10	Apr_25_2012	24110.24	29804.91	30737.84	31921.25	32359.15	32568.28	30831.25(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5222	90	-6151	-2436	0	50%	0.47	68.1	4.93%	0	0.5	52	NAN

11	Apr_24_2012	23998	29564.47	30758.05	31835	31897.9	33451.59	33418.75(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13757	350	16175	6503	0	55%	0.53	63.2	5.44%	0	1.6	68	NAN
12	Apr_23_2012	23870.98	29129.56	30394.2	31050	31135.79	32150.02	33512.5(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18652	240	21933	8808	0	55%	0.56	49.8	5.49%	0	1.8	73	NAN
13	Apr_20_2012	23737.97	28747.25	30117.2	30422.5	30133.04	30344.21	31406.25(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2859	20	3351	1381	0	53%	0.55	45.6	5.47%	0	1.2	65	NAN
14	Apr_19_2012	23607.57	28551.36	30116.28	29912.5	29894.33	30121.56	30437.5(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3310	50	3880	1598	0	55%	0.51	45.5	5.46%	0	0.9	61	NAN
15	Apr_18_2012	23486.8	28341.2	30138.45	29376.25	29522.22	29921.87	30400(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2990	110	3503	1449	0	55%	0.38	40	5.51%	0	0.9	60	NAN

16	Apr_17_2012	23397.74	28121.86	29853.52	29516.25	29303.09	29667.11	29493.75(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3263	70	3822	1587	0	55%	0.33	49.1	5.5%	0	0.6	62	NAN
17	Apr_16_2012	23320.39	27967.46	29448.2	29627.5	29509.73	29122.58	30375(5.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	156	-100	164	130	0	55%	0.32	59.6	5.51%	0	1.1	67	NAN
18	Apr_13_2012	23246.37	27742.59	29053.42	29795	29785.16	28939.06	28856.25(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9974	-200	-11755	-4631	0	55%	0.25	74.2	5.52%	0	0.5	59	NAN
19	Apr_12_2012	23187.32	27585.22	28893.54	30366.25	30350.39	29896.88	27756.25(-10.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7597	-110	-8962	-3500	0	55%	0.23	92	5.52%	0	0.1	52	NAN
20	Apr_11_2012	23133.77	27488.29	28868.76	30966.25	30774.22	30631.25	31100(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-966	-50	-1168	-358	0	59%	0.44	108.2	5.34%	0	1.6	63	NAN

21	Apr_10_2012	23032.85	27087.26	28333.98	30205	30696.09	30803.91	30050(-3.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4622	70	5410	2257	0	59%	0.36	98.5	5.33%	0	1.3	62	NAN
22	Apr_9_2012	22951.13	26721.36	27809.93	29176.25	29548.44	30917.19	31212.5(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9024	360	10598	4302	0	59%	0.54	85.3	5.34%	0	2	63	NAN
23	Apr_5_2012	22828.82	26237.83	27269.93	28180	28212.5	30588.28	31712.5(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24822	590	29190	11717	0	59%	0.57	71.6	5.3%	0	2.2	66	NAN
24	Apr_4_2012	22700.37	25723.56	26809.6	27247.5	27072.27	28179.69	30756.25(12.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21953	270	25819	10355	0	59%	0.55	73.9	5.3%	0	2.3	65	NAN
25	Apr_3_2012	22575.37	25292.6	26314.18	26541.25	26417.58	25836.72	27293.75(9.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1811	-170	-2135	-840	0	50%		81.6	5.07%	0	1	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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