Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $26031.2500 (-1.42%) ($25844.5000 - $28325.0000) on Tue. Mar. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.31% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $26031.2500(-1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 13.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    SHY(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    VWO(-25%)    REMX(-25%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.655% (StdDev 5.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25940(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24202.53(7.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21890.63(18.92%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   47.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 13.26% (three month std-dev: 5.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 6.96%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.76%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 7.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.14%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 12.8%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.38%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2012	21817.87	21890.63	24202.53	25940	26011.14	26418.77	26031.25(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6687	120	7823	3277	0	42%	0.25	51.4	5.31%	0	1.4	82	0
2	Mar_19_2012	21763.38	21539.99	23850.16	25345	25529.84	25877.66	26406.25(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	5719	120	6682	2828	0	45%	0.32	43.9	5.48%	0	1.7	87	0
3	Mar_16_2012	21692.93	21249.15	23324.88	24590	24768.16	25603.52	25968.75(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	7328	260	8577	3579	0	45%	0.26	40	5.58%	0	1.9	76	0
4	Mar_15_2012	21637.47	20940.66	22723.48	23705	23877.73	25182.03	25637.5(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13653	400	16023	6542	0	45%	0.2	33.9	5.63%	0	2	77	0
5	Mar_14_2012	21594.11	20724.71	22053.64	22897.5	22955.08	23932.81	25656.25(11.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	14009	310	16446	6697	0	48%	0.18	31.7	5.65%	0	2.4	78	0

6	Mar_13_2012	21554.85	20494.8	21408.65	22245	22125.39	22573.44	23056.25(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4910	130	5744	2409	0	44%	0	33.4	5.57%	0	1.5	71	0
7	Mar_12_2012	21554.65	20378.16	20881.72	22152.5	22052.74	21977.35	22631.25(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1719	-40	1991	901	0	48%	-0.12	40.1	5.58%	0	1.4	64	0
8	Mar_9_2012	21579.52	20276.05	20503.38	21871.25	22183.21	21677.35	21543.75(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2513	-120	-2981	-1108	0	48%	-0.21	43.6	5.71%	0	0.8	51	0
9	Mar_8_2012	21623.99	20192.27	20202.64	21555	22000.35	22128.13	21600(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-1963	100	-2329	-865	0	51%	-0.18	45.1	5.72%	0	0.9	55	0
10	Mar_7_2012	21663.64	20099.18	19837.62	21022.5	21511.21	22689.06	22393.75(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9878	450	11612	4675	0	51%	-0.02	39.3	5.81%	0	1.6	50	0

11	Mar_6_2012	21667.35	19940.43	19409.32	20423.75	20625.06	21872.58	22593.75(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	16070	450	18907	7559	0	49%	-0.02	31.1	5.8%	0	1.9	51	0
12	Mar_5_2012	21671.32	19754.32	19037.43	19430.71	19538.54	20333.36	21225(6.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	10162	300	11967	4745	0	47%	-0.04	12.3	5.8%	0	1.2	50	0
13	Mar_2_2012	21678.94	19632.03	18981.73	18961.96	18819.66	19377.55	19962.5(5.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5720	180	6746	2643	0	48%	-0.16	3.6	5.75%	0	0.3	47	0
14	Mar_1_2012	21714.09	19537.81	18988.52	18665.71	18584.19	18743.72	18937.5(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4364	50	5152	1999	0	48%	-0.17	-9.4	5.84%	0	-0.5	48	0
15	Feb_29_2012	21751.14	19540.45	19266.33	18460.71	18385.18	18261.77	19400(10.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-537	-60	-615	-303	0	44%	-0.17	-19.5	6.05%	0	-0.1	50	0

16	Feb_28_2012	21787.34	19521.98	19477.07	18238.21	18238.5	18424.66	17628.56(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1491	70	-1738	-750	0	40%	-0.25	-45.9	5.91%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	Feb_27_2012	21842.83	19603.23	19831.84	18565	18439.84	18508.59	18881.25(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2165	10	2558	985	0	41%	-0.28	-58.7	5.89%	0	-0.6	52	0
18	Feb_24_2012	21903.57	19589.59	20037.49	19018.75	18696.48	18052.34	18481.25(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4826	-290	-5673	-2286	0	41%	-0.24	-70.9	5.89%	0	-0.9	52	0
19	Feb_23_2012	21956.63	19657.86	20209.08	19377.5	19277.73	18371.09	17912.5(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10927	-340	-12856	-5140	0	43%	-0.33	-83.6	5.92%	0	-1.5	55	0
20	Feb_22_2012	22028.25	19790.17	20437.03	20195	20196.09	19340.63	18287.5(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-8823	-300	-10389	-4125	0	43%	-0.42	-81.4	5.96%	0	-1.3	51	0

21	Feb_21_2012	22121.35	20123.07	20586.14	20888.75	20851.56	20184.38	19262.5(-8.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8070	-230	-9510	-3750	0	43%	-0.41	-42.6	5.94%	0	-0.5	55	0
22	Feb_17_2012	22213.27	20335.55	20599.15	21255	21288.05	21051.56	21150(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3758	-70	-4441	-1708	0	48%	-0.18	-27.6	5.81%	0	0.4	65	0
23	Feb_16_2012	22253.73	20495.56	20378.8	21207.5	21369.69	21518.75	20275(-7.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	625	70	714	356	0	48%	-0.24	-19.8	5.87%	0	-0.1	65	0
24	Feb_15_2012	22306.24	20709.28	20168.81	21150	21220.47	21524.53	22000(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4421	110	5182	2136	0	51%	-0.06	-15	5.79%	0	0.6	63	0
25	Feb_14_2012	22320.1	20764.73	19842.42	20723.75	20728.28	21220.63	21756.25(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4548	170	5338	2179	0	51%		-17	5.79%	0	0.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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