Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $19868.7500 (2.35%) ($18812.5000 - $19968.7500) on Wed. Feb. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.89% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $19868.7500(2.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -10.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    VWO(-25%)    REMX(-25%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.945% (StdDev 5.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

Resistance Level   $21058.93
5 Day Moving Average   $19030.25(4.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19014.12(4.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21058.93(-5.65%)
To recent high   -31.5%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 11.58% (three month std-dev: 5.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.8%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.33%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2012	22361.01	21058.93	19014.12	19030.25	19180.06	19413.25	19868.75(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2781	110	3303	1213	0	50%	0.08	-40.1	5.89%	0	-0.5	32	NAN
2	Feb_7_2012	22343.22	21174.01	19046.97	18825.25	18840.92	19228.09	19412.5(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2813	150	3347	1212	0	48%	-0	-44.2	5.89%	0	-0.7	37	NAN
3	Feb_6_2012	22343.61	21367.25	19575.45	18732.75	18652.85	18946.88	19087.5(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4097	100	4856	1821	0	48%	-0.01	-51.2	5.94%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
4	Feb_3_2012	22344.9	21593.91	20012.63	18710.25	18513.4	18453.75	18850(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	397	-50	501	83	0	47%	-0.05	-58.7	5.94%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
5	Feb_2_2012	22355.92	21810.56	20588.17	18620.25	18572.77	18358.83	17932.5(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2503	-90	-2913	-1273	0	47%	-0.08	-72.2	5.96%	0	-1.7	40	NAN

6	Feb_1_2012	22374.39	22082.66	21285.54	18981.25	18793.16	18573.05	18843.75(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2482	-110	-2894	-1247	0	47%	-0.01	-80.8	5.96%	0	-1.5	41	NAN
7	Jan_31_2012	22375.68	22305.04	21766.17	19301.25	19010.79	18786.72	18950(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6568	-130	-7704	-3159	0	48%	-0.01	-87.5	5.96%	0	-1.7	42	NAN
8	Jan_30_2012	22378.84	22686.29	22252.54	20583.75	20159.64	19013.28	18975(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7881	-460	-9258	-3750	0	48%	0.03	-75.5	6%	0	-2	38	NAN
9	Jan_27_2012	22371.04	23100.31	22653.46	21548.75	21638.94	19234.85	18400(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20041	-770	-23569	-9456	0	48%	0.03	-58.9	6.02%	0	-2.5	35	NAN
10	Jan_26_2012	22364.67	23627.37	23053.01	22853.75	22912.77	21306.01	19737.5(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25344	-480	-29816	-11928	0	50%	0.06	-34.7	5.98%	0	-2.1	42	NAN

11	Jan_25_2012	22351.46	23962.87	23357.93	23903.75	24291.43	24043.02	20443.75(-19.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-4806	-20	-5660	-2243	0	50%	0.09	-21.8	5.97%	0	-1.8	44	NAN
12	Jan_24_2012	22332.06	24213.33	23572.43	24523.75	24621.86	24519.52	25362.5(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1376	-20	1608	680	0	53%	0.14	-16	5.47%	0	0.6	63	NAN
13	Jan_23_2012	22300.49	24217.66	23342.91	24176.25	24295.69	24539.84	23800(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	90	-53	-8	0	52%	0.24	-24.5	5.5%	0	-0.2	37	NAN
14	Jan_20_2012	22247.83	24281.83	23310.4	23935	23998.81	24724.19	24925(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7730	220	9097	3630	0	52%	0.24	-30.6	5.49%	0	0.3	38	NAN
15	Jan_19_2012	22193.68	24279.05	23099.45	23305	23457.02	24051.53	24987.5(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9239	200	10884	4304	0	55%	0.23	-37.4	5.49%	0	0.4	33	NAN

16	Jan_18_2012	22142.58	24407.37	22881.18	22768.75	22763.67	23273.44	23543.75(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4475	160	5286	2040	0	53%	0.17	-34.9	5.63%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
17	Jan_17_2012	22105.6	24520.87	22817.06	22483.75	22457.42	22862.5	23625(4.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5777	120	6823	2639	0	53%	0.22	-28.9	5.63%	0	-0.5	46	NAN
18	Jan_13_2012	22056.7	24699.62	23069.84	22412.5	22191.43	22253.91	22593.75(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	977	-10	1175	381	0	51%	0.06	-16.6	5.64%	0	-1	41	NAN
19	Jan_12_2012	22044.01	24887.93	23505.05	22606.25	22305.89	22052.34	21775(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2170	-120	-2530	-1090	0	51%	-0.02	-0.8	5.64%	0	-1.5	40	NAN
20	Jan_11_2012	22047.94	25034.17	24196.13	22848.75	22653.15	22128.96	22306.25(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4318	-190	-5063	-2083	0	51%	0.06	12.1	5.64%	0	-1.4	43	NAN

21	Jan_10_2012	22035.69	25112.13	24596.29	22993.75	22887.04	22559.44	22118.75(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5993	-110	-7032	-2874	0	49%	0.11	20.3	5.64%	0	-1.6	34	NAN
22	Jan_9_2012	22011.27	25099.61	24927.03	23168.75	23178.77	23177.34	23268.75(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-802	0	-926	-431	0	49%	0.09	25.4	5.67%	0	-1	45	NAN
23	Jan_6_2012	21992.52	25050.88	25187.36	23840	23289.7	23214.64	23562.5(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3561	-90	-4174	-1721	0	49%	0.05	40	5.7%	0	-0.7	42	NAN
24	Jan_5_2012	21982.54	24906.3	25364.7	24586.25	24138.14	23180.19	22987.5(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7445	-330	-8747	-3539	0	47%	0.05	51.5	5.73%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
25	Jan_4_2012	21970.75	24795.75	25600.05	25788.75	25498	23364.76	23031.25(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17758	-620	-20888	-8367	0	49%		58.5	5.84%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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