Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $23800.0000 (-4.51%) ($23468.7500 - $24587.5000) on Mon. Jan. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $23800.0000(-4.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-10%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    SHY(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    VWO(-25%)    REMX(-25%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

Resistance Level   $24217.66
5 Day Moving Average   $24176.25(-1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23342.91(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24217.66(-1.72%)
To recent high   -17.9%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 7.95% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -8.33%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -11.11%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.33%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2012	22300.49	24217.66	23342.91	24176.25	24295.69	24539.84	23800(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	90	-53	-8	0	52%	0.24	-24.5	5.5%	0	-0.2	37	0
2	Jan_20_2012	22247.83	24281.83	23310.4	23935	23998.81	24724.19	24925(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7730	220	9097	3630	0	52%	0.24	-30.6	5.49%	0	0.3	38	0
3	Jan_19_2012	22193.68	24279.05	23099.45	23305	23457.02	24051.53	24987.5(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9239	200	10884	4304	0	55%	0.23	-37.4	5.49%	0	0.4	33	0
4	Jan_18_2012	22142.58	24407.37	22881.18	22768.75	22763.67	23273.44	23543.75(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4475	160	5286	2040	0	53%	0.17	-34.9	5.63%	0	-0.4	41	0
5	Jan_17_2012	22105.6	24520.87	22817.06	22483.75	22457.42	22862.5	23625(4.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5777	120	6823	2639	0	53%	0.22	-28.9	5.63%	0	-0.5	46	0

6	Jan_13_2012	22056.7	24699.62	23069.84	22412.5	22191.43	22253.91	22593.75(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	977	-10	1175	381	0	51%	0.06	-16.6	5.64%	0	-1	41	0
7	Jan_12_2012	22044.01	24887.93	23505.05	22606.25	22305.89	22052.34	21775(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2170	-120	-2530	-1090	0	51%	-0.02	-0.8	5.64%	0	-1.5	40	0
8	Jan_11_2012	22047.94	25034.17	24196.13	22848.75	22653.15	22128.96	22306.25(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4318	-190	-5063	-2083	0	51%	0.06	12.1	5.64%	0	-1.4	43	0
9	Jan_10_2012	22035.69	25112.13	24596.29	22993.75	22887.04	22559.44	22118.75(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5993	-110	-7032	-2874	0	49%	0.11	20.3	5.64%	0	-1.6	34	0
10	Jan_9_2012	22011.27	25099.61	24927.03	23168.75	23178.77	23177.34	23268.75(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-802	0	-926	-431	0	49%	0.09	25.4	5.67%	0	-1	45	0

11	Jan_6_2012	21992.52	25050.88	25187.36	23840	23289.7	23214.64	23562.5(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3561	-90	-4174	-1721	0	49%	0.05	40	5.7%	0	-0.7	42	0
12	Jan_5_2012	21982.54	24906.3	25364.7	24586.25	24138.14	23180.19	22987.5(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7445	-330	-8747	-3539	0	47%	0.05	51.5	5.73%	0	-0.9	44	0
13	Jan_4_2012	21970.75	24795.75	25600.05	25788.75	25498	23364.76	23031.25(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17758	-620	-20888	-8367	0	49%	0.04	58.5	5.84%	0	-0.7	51	0
14	Jan_3_2012	21962.24	24733.43	26105.83	26433.75	26676.95	25096.09	22993.75(-13.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20701	-390	-24359	-9725	0	49%	0.01	60.6	5.9%	0	-0.7	54	0
15	Dec_30_2011	21960.84	24650.67	26431.33	26866.25	27241.25	27631.25	26625(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3405	140	-4020	-1559	0	52%	0.19	57.9	5.65%	0	0.7	68	0

16	Dec_29_2011	21919.58	24280.98	26494.05	26687.5	26954.53	28257.81	27293.75(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13919	370	16355	6610	0	52%	0.21	46.1	5.64%	0	1	67	0
17	Dec_28_2011	21873.85	23867.73	26382.66	26251.87	26225.23	26851.25	29000(10.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12255	160	14392	5843	0	56%	0.21	36.1	5.59%	0	1.7	75	0
18	Dec_27_2011	21826.98	23489.14	25896.95	25453.12	25545.66	25651.25	26256.25(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1063	40	1225	577	0	54%	-0.24	30.3	5.54%	0	1	71	0
19	Dec_23_2011	21879.23	23269.49	25627.81	25804.37	25405.2	25599.22	25156.25(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-769	10	-937	-264	0	56%	-0.05	37.1	5.5%	0	0.7	64	0
20	Dec_22_2011	21889.46	23162.61	25271.15	25941.87	25841.84	25440.08	25731.25(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1672	-120	1932	892	0	59%	0.1	42.9	5.62%	0	0.9	67	0

21	Dec_21_2011	21867.11	22995.75	24898.55	26270.61	25860.59	25211.17	25115.62(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8893	-220	-10503	-4061	0	60%	0.04	54.6	5.91%	0	0.8	71	0
22	Dec_20_2011	21857.68	22809.8	24427.89	26498.74	26208.45	26243.59	25006.25(-10.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2656	-20	-3171	-1109	0	58%	-0	64.1	5.93%	0	0.8	71	0
23	Dec_19_2011	21858.18	22662.66	23966.07	26347.49	26391.65	26510	28012.5(8.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7024	40	8218	3443	0	61%	0.12	71.4	5.83%	0	2.1	65	0
24	Dec_16_2011	21832.99	22311.01	23261.71	25416.24	25358.14	26173.31	25843.75(-5.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2375	220	2755	1234	0	59%	0.06	76.7	5.75%	0	1.6	61	0
25	Dec_15_2011	21819.42	22050.92	22742.16	24464.99	24665.95	26273.31	27374.94(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18539	480	21782	8809	0	59%		71.7	5.72%	0	2.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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