Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $21500.0000 (2.76%) ($20462.5000 - $21736.5600) on Fri. Nov. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.14% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $21500.0000(2.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-10%)    SHY(-12%)    XAR(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    XLK(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.57% (StdDev 5.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $19878.13(8.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19295.24(11.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19882.43(8.14%)
To recent high   -21%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.7% (three month std-dev: 5.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.56%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.94%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.85%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2011	22287.41	19882.43	19295.24	19878.13	19891.15	20745.59	21500(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11085	300	13039	5222	0	55%	-0.31	-57	5.14%	0	0.9	52	NAN
2	Nov_17_2011	22355.72	20022.48	19018.58	19215.63	19263.48	19783.2	20921.88(7.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8306	200	9777	3891	0	55%	-0.34	-49.8	5.15%	0	0.4	55	NAN
3	Nov_16_2011	22432.08	20232.26	18778.66	18945	18830.12	19036.72	19381.25(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2140	60	2530	971	0	53%	-0.46	-43.5	5.05%	0	-0.4	44	NAN
4	Nov_15_2011	22536.81	20512.53	18819.24	18918.75	18892.62	18743.75	18756.25(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1161	-60	1381	502	0	51%	-0.53	-38.7	5.04%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
5	Nov_14_2011	22656.82	20712.13	19014.56	18807.15	18861.37	18623.52	18831.25(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2709	-80	-3170	-1327	0	51%	-0.52	-40.5	5.09%	0	-0.8	37	NAN

6	Nov_11_2011	22775.45	20919.82	19196.61	18599.65	18703.32	19041.48	18187.5(-7.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	39	140	68	-50	0	51%	-0.48	-43.9	5.08%	0	-1.2	30	NAN
7	Nov_10_2011	22885.49	21120.13	19350.96	18758.39	18595.07	19099.22	19568.75(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6499	160	7675	2970	0	52%	-0.39	-48.4	5%	0	-0.7	28	NAN
8	Nov_9_2011	22974.19	21307.27	19443.8	18590.89	18539.99	18365.16	19250(5.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1810	-70	2167	738	0	49%	-0.43	-51.6	5.06%	0	-0.9	24	NAN
9	Nov_8_2011	23073.24	21476.51	19649.64	18737.14	18631.11	18090.92	18198.25(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7879	-220	-9227	-3833	0	48%	-0.56	-55.6	5.1%	0	-1.5	20	NAN
10	Nov_7_2011	23204.32	21723.29	20015.42	19278.74	19157.91	18714.82	17793.75(-6.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8068	-180	-9453	-3913	0	48%	-0.59	-61.3	5.09%	0	-1.9	35	NAN

11	Nov_4_2011	23342.7	21998.87	20538.28	19879.99	19998.93	19171.31	18981.19(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5249	-270	-6141	-2573	0	52%	-0.55	-63.5	5.05%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
12	Nov_3_2011	23471.55	22289.63	21118.09	20012.5	20316.13	19601	18731.25(-6.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11340	-200	-13313	-5421	0	52%	-0.5	-66.8	5.24%	0	-1.9	41	NAN
13	Nov_2_2011	23588.41	22546.61	21810.71	20395	20597.66	20826.56	19981.25(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2553	110	-2981	-1269	0	53%	-0.42	-70.5	5.2%	0	-1.5	40	NAN
14	Nov_1_2011	23689.04	22790.76	22342.18	20693.75	20772.27	21031.25	20906.25(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5435	100	6410	2508	0	53%	-0.43	-63.2	5.19%	0	-1	47	NAN
15	Oct_31_2011	23790.24	23095.04	22542.54	20890	20766.8	20368.75	20800(5.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3695	-150	-4331	-1785	0	53%	-0.39	-52.8	5.19%	0	-1.2	45	NAN

16	Oct_28_2011	23882.73	23330.42	22779.13	21337.5	21273.83	20513.28	19643.75(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9674	-260	-11369	-4589	0	53%	-0.39	-43.3	5.16%	0	-2	40	NAN
17	Oct_27_2011	23976.35	23603.82	23058.31	22412.5	22140.23	21164.84	20643.75(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12377	-340	-14554	-5846	0	54%	-0.39	-29.1	5.13%	0	-1.8	37	NAN
18	Oct_26_2011	24070.54	23835.47	23354.95	23446.25	23176.77	22034.38	21475(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14298	-380	-16822	-6726	0	54%	-0.3	-3.3	5.17%	0	-1.6	45	NAN
19	Oct_25_2011	24143.71	24036.33	23488.3	24232.5	24271.47	23115.63	21887.5(-4.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-12089	-330	-14227	-5676	0	54%	-0.28	33.3	5.16%	0	-1.5	42	NAN
20	Oct_24_2011	24210.95	24125.69	23612.01	24405	24712.09	24319.16	23037.5(-7.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8847	-70	-10408	-4163	0	54%	-0.16	57.7	5.13%	0	-0.8	38	NAN

21	Oct_21_2011	24250.34	24142.47	23616.3	24392.5	24644.91	25427.31	25018.75(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5770	250	6792	2705	0	56%	-0.07	72.3	5.04%	0	0.7	49	NAN
22	Oct_20_2011	24268.4	24085.38	23556.61	23780	24042.75	25105.03	25812.5(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14980	340	17632	7023	0	56%	-0.02	72.4	5.02%	0	1.2	53	NAN
23	Oct_19_2011	24274.46	23884.68	23304.77	23285	23164.7	23862.5	25406.25(11.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8762	200	10323	4079	0	56%	-0	56.2	5.03%	0	0.9	51	NAN
24	Oct_18_2011	24275.02	23575.71	23202.8	22702.5	22905.72	22980.47	22750(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5822	50	6871	2676	0	54%	-0.06	37.4	4.83%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
25	Oct_17_2011	24290.59	23378.66	23616.85	22727.5	22655.33	22466.91	22975(4.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4113	-70	-4822	-1984	0	54%		33.8	4.85%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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