Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 24, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $22156.2500 (4.91%) ($21318.7500 - $22937.5000) on Wed. Aug. 24, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.93% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $22156.2500(4.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    TLT(-13%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-74%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.965% (StdDev 3.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

Resistance Level   $23302.15
5 Day Moving Average   $21413.75(3.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21820.04(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23302.15(-4.92%)
To recent high   -30.2%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 7.91% (three month std-dev: 3.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 8.33%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.63%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.89%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2011	25748.27	23302.15	21820.04	21413.75	21179.34	21415.63	22156.25(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9092	50	10732	4172	0	45%	-0.02	-26.3	3.93%	0	-0.6	35	0
2	Aug_23_2011	25753.12	23408.15	21872.49	21351.25	21222.7	20546.17	21118.75(6.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5995	-240	-7015	-2936	0	43%	-0.15	-24.5	3.92%	0	-1.3	44	0
3	Aug_22_2011	25792.98	23511.66	22186.28	21568.75	21477.13	20943.05	19750(-7.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13546	-190	-15899	-6485	0	39%	-0.21	-23.4	3.82%	0	-2.1	37	0
4	Aug_19_2011	25847.44	23693.06	22864.02	21971.25	21906.78	21899.22	21450(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2871	-10	-3346	-1444	0	42%	-0.13	-19	3.7%	0	-1.4	38	0
5	Aug_18_2011	25881.82	23764.53	23360.22	22292.5	22131.78	22011.22	22593.75(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-720	-60	-821	-418	0	44%	-0.1	-16.8	3.65%	0	-0.8	40	0

6	Aug_17_2011	25908.18	23797.37	23701.22	22290	22393.11	21914.34	21843.75(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6189	-140	-7257	-2985	0	44%	-0.17	-19.8	3.62%	0	-1.3	42	0
7	Aug_16_2011	25952.56	23862.78	23895.41	22483.75	22704.84	22252.34	22206.25(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10174	-110	-11946	-4858	0	44%	-0.16	-19.8	3.63%	0	-1.2	45	0
8	Aug_15_2011	25993.89	23930.88	24112.3	22923.75	23116.48	22871.87	21762.5(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8428	-50	-9898	-4017	0	44%	-0.14	-18.3	3.61%	0	-1.5	50	0
9	Aug_12_2011	26030.75	23992.47	24462.11	23903.75	23828.98	23157.34	23056.25(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7069	-210	-8314	-3335	0	46%	-0.07	-13.9	3.56%	0	-0.7	54	0
10	Aug_11_2011	26050.08	24015.9	24715.82	24611.25	24474.09	23361.09	22581.25(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19569	-340	-23033	-9176	0	49%	-0.09	-10.1	3.55%	0	-1.1	55	0

11	Aug_10_2011	26072.46	24094.53	24936.38	25328.75	25298.55	24500.63	22812.5(-6.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-14791	-220	-17423	-6895	0	49%	-0.15	-3.6	3.65%	0	-1	53	0
12	Aug_9_2011	26111.3	24147.61	25109.9	25470.13	25607.22	25587.09	24406.25(-8.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2661	10	-3158	-1171	0	51%	-0.09	-10.8	3.57%	0	0.2	60	0
13	Aug_8_2011	26135.98	24188.88	24983.97	25425.13	25134.21	26096.47	26662.5(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8656	230	10156	4156	0	55%	-0.06	-16.5	3.44%	0	1.7	67	0
14	Aug_5_2011	26152.18	24179.21	24602.83	25103.88	24752.38	25627.34	26593.75(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20339	210	23903	9646	0	58%	-0.1	-29.7	3.44%	0	1.7	70	0
15	Aug_4_2011	26178.9	24147.86	24187.24	24888.88	24437.68	24171.95	26168.75(11.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3039	-130	3555	1492	0	58%	-0.14	-39.8	3.56%	0	1.4	63	0

16	Aug_3_2011	26215	24139.89	23859.81	24555.13	24507.6	23877.42	23519.38(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13000	-190	-15310	-6068	0	56%	-0.19	-51.4	3.27%	0	-0.4	48	0
17	Aug_2_2011	26265.31	24284.97	23803.3	24695	24799.36	24703.41	24181.25(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3727	-10	-4401	-1704	0	59%	-0.12	-54	3.35%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	Aug_1_2011	26296.69	24426.7	23716.11	24427.5	24567.64	25137.78	25056.25(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7258	180	8530	3442	0	61%	-0.08	-66.4	3.41%	0	0.4	46	0
19	Jul_29_2011	26317.86	24604.69	23464.75	23987.5	24003.44	24895.31	25518.75(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16217	260	19084	7616	0	61%	-0.1	-65.5	3.43%	0	0.5	40	0
20	Jul_28_2011	26344.71	24718.3	23223.75	23380	23319.61	23997.5	24500(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14795	200	17425	6906	0	59%	-0.07	-70.3	3.42%	0	-0.1	39	0

21	Jul_27_2011	26363.14	24900.08	23149.63	23086.25	22810.63	23111.56	24218.75(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6704	60	7914	3073	0	56%	-0.06	-69.5	3.42%	0	-0.3	37	0
22	Jul_26_2011	26379.66	25156.52	23078.89	22806.25	22692.34	22641.72	22843.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	993	-30	1205	358	0	54%	-0.1	-65.6	3.39%	0	-1	27	0
23	Jul_25_2011	26405.56	25532.46	23315.43	22901.25	22775.94	22509.69	22856.25(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3943	-100	-4600	-1972	0	56%	-0.08	-61.3	3.41%	0	-1	25	0
24	Jul_22_2011	26427.88	25909.22	23706	22851.25	22910.16	22742.97	22481.25(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-3804	-40	-4433	-1917	0	56%	-0.11	-61	3.46%	0	-1.3	18	0
25	Jul_21_2011	26457.66	26244.31	24096.06	23026.25	22922.27	23042.19	23031.25(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1851	20	-2134	-1002	0	56%		-65.3	3.47%	0	-1.2	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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