Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $24218.7500 (6.02%) ($22343.7500 - $24261.2500) on Wed. Jul. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $24218.7500(6.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    TLT(-13%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.5%

Resistance Level   $24900.08
5 Day Moving Average   $23086.25(4.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23149.63(4.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24900.08(-2.74%)
To recent high   -23.7%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.79% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.99%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.87%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.42%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2011	26363.14	24900.08	23149.63	23086.25	22810.63	23111.56	24218.75(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6704	60	7914	3073	0	56%	-0.06	-69.5	3.42%	0	-0.3	37	0
2	Jul_26_2011	26379.66	25156.52	23078.89	22806.25	22692.34	22641.72	22843.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	993	-30	1205	358	0	54%	-0.1	-65.6	3.39%	0	-1	27	0
3	Jul_25_2011	26405.56	25532.46	23315.43	22901.25	22775.94	22509.69	22856.25(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3943	-100	-4600	-1972	0	56%	-0.08	-61.3	3.41%	0	-1	25	0
4	Jul_22_2011	26427.88	25909.22	23706	22851.25	22910.16	22742.97	22481.25(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-3804	-40	-4433	-1917	0	56%	-0.11	-61	3.46%	0	-1.3	18	0
5	Jul_21_2011	26457.66	26244.31	24096.06	23026.25	22922.27	23042.19	23031.25(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1851	20	-2134	-1002	0	56%	-0.06	-65.3	3.47%	0	-1.2	26	0

6	Jul_20_2011	26474.43	26519.64	24432.72	23218.75	23109.92	23077.34	22818.75(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2673	-20	3190	1123	0	56%	-0.08	-69.3	3.48%	0	-1.4	24	0
7	Jul_19_2011	26494.52	26841.37	24810.93	23393.75	23197.77	22802.34	23318.75(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6231	-140	-7282	-3078	0	56%	-0.09	-72.9	3.47%	0	-1.4	22	0
8	Jul_18_2011	26517.48	27233.46	25205.62	23811.25	23471.99	23142.5	22606.25(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-12016	-140	-14087	-5804	0	56%	-0.15	-68.9	3.47%	0	-1.9	16	0
9	Jul_15_2011	26556.07	27683.92	25856.77	24703.75	24347.77	23593.2	23356.25(-2.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-8294	-260	-9713	-4035	0	56%	-0.16	-60.8	3.45%	0	-1.8	17	0
10	Jul_14_2011	26598.92	28108.34	26356.07	25331.25	25115.98	23801.48	23993.75(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21291	-390	-25008	-10138	0	56%	-0.07	-51.8	3.43%	0	-1.8	30	0

11	Jul_13_2011	26618.54	28437.49	26814.41	25830	25805.86	25102.34	23693.75(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20538	-190	-24127	-9769	0	56%	-0.12	-50.1	3.45%	0	-2.2	33	0
12	Jul_12_2011	26651.45	28770.93	27430.56	26411.25	26365.42	26430.47	25406.25(-6.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2065	10	-2400	-1060	0	60%	-0.05	-47.9	3.34%	0	-1.9	36	0
13	Jul_11_2011	26664.29	29056.16	27948.05	26792.5	26500.19	26509.38	27068.75(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	958	-30	1154	369	0	66%	0.02	-40	3.26%	0	-1.2	33	0
14	Jul_8_2011	26658.29	29208.33	28285.05	27213.75	26722.06	26300.38	26493.75(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7802	-160	-9154	-3745	0	63%	-0.02	-26.9	3.32%	0	-1.7	29	0
15	Jul_7_2011	26664.35	29347.47	28559.62	27567.5	27416.59	26491	26487.5(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12209	-250	-14338	-5820	0	63%	-0.04	-17	3.36%	0	-1.9	28	0

16	Jul_6_2011	26676.01	29535.56	28774.67	27966.25	27933.59	27143.75	26600(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19045	-200	-22381	-9036	0	63%	-0.05	1.1	3.36%	0	-2.2	38	0
17	Jul_5_2011	26689.93	29663.35	29044.85	28596.25	28441.41	28342.19	27312.5(-6.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9718	-40	-11412	-4635	0	58%	-0.19	29.3	3.34%	0	-2	42	0
18	Jul_1_2011	26740.03	29744.73	29431.48	29261.25	29075	28723.44	29175(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-978	-100	-1137	-501	0	61%	-0.01	56.1	3.44%	0	-0.5	43	0
19	Jun_30_2011	26743.48	29650.98	29646.57	29541.25	29509.38	28540.63	28262.5(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14040	-230	-16509	-6634	0	59%	-0.03	58.8	3.4%	0	-1	45	0
20	Jun_29_2011	26750.81	29601.03	29990.99	29705	29903.52	29426.56	28481.25(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14597	-90	-17169	-6879	0	59%	0.01	58.1	3.44%	0	-0.8	51	0

21	Jun_28_2011	26747.11	29520.46	30189	29678.75	30119.73	30478.13	29750(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4259	130	5014	1995	0	63%	0.01	49.6	3.39%	0	0.1	50	0
22	Jun_27_2011	26744.08	29325.42	30216.69	29540	29716.21	30380.47	30637.5(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9451	170	11121	4440	0	63%	0.05	39.3	3.39%	0	0.8	59	0
23	Jun_24_2011	26731.45	29087.45	30233.75	29647.5	29491.21	29761.33	30575(5.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6452	50	7588	3043	0	63%	0.06	33.3	3.4%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Jun_23_2011	26715.19	28886.39	30171.15	29831.25	29813.09	29051.95	29081.25(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5642	-180	-6647	-2628	0	57%	-0.06	32.2	3.35%	0	0.1	62	0
25	Jun_22_2011	26732.41	28768.55	30180.58	30362.5	30272.27	29221.09	28350(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21768	-250	-25627	-10191	0	57%		35.5	3.45%	0	-0.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.