Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $22856.2500 (1.67%) ($21805.7500 - $22940.5000) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.41% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $22856.2500(1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    TLT(-13%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.705% (StdDev 3.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

Resistance Level   $25532.46
5 Day Moving Average   $22901.25(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23315.43(-1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25532.46(-10.48%)
To recent high   -28%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 10.19% (three month std-dev: 3.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.94%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -9.88%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.88%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2011	26405.56	25532.46	23315.43	22901.25	22775.94	22509.69	22856.25(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3943	-100	-4600	-1972	0	56%	-0.08	-61.3	3.41%	0	-1	25	NAN
2	Jul_22_2011	26427.88	25909.22	23706	22851.25	22910.16	22742.97	22481.25(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-3804	-40	-4433	-1917	0	56%	-0.11	-61	3.46%	0	-1.3	18	NAN
3	Jul_21_2011	26457.66	26244.31	24096.06	23026.25	22922.27	23042.19	23031.25(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1851	20	-2134	-1002	0	56%	-0.06	-65.3	3.47%	0	-1.2	26	NAN
4	Jul_20_2011	26474.43	26519.64	24432.72	23218.75	23109.92	23077.34	22818.75(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2673	-20	3190	1123	0	56%	-0.08	-69.3	3.48%	0	-1.4	24	NAN
5	Jul_19_2011	26494.52	26841.37	24810.93	23393.75	23197.77	22802.34	23318.75(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6231	-140	-7282	-3078	0	56%	-0.09	-72.9	3.47%	0	-1.4	22	NAN

6	Jul_18_2011	26517.48	27233.46	25205.62	23811.25	23471.99	23142.5	22606.25(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-12016	-140	-14087	-5804	0	56%	-0.15	-68.9	3.47%	0	-1.9	16	NAN
7	Jul_15_2011	26556.07	27683.92	25856.77	24703.75	24347.77	23593.2	23356.25(-2.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-8294	-260	-9713	-4035	0	56%	-0.16	-60.8	3.45%	0	-1.8	17	NAN
8	Jul_14_2011	26598.92	28108.34	26356.07	25331.25	25115.98	23801.48	23993.75(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21291	-390	-25008	-10138	0	56%	-0.07	-51.8	3.43%	0	-1.8	30	NAN
9	Jul_13_2011	26618.54	28437.49	26814.41	25830	25805.86	25102.34	23693.75(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20538	-190	-24127	-9769	0	56%	-0.12	-50.1	3.45%	0	-2.2	33	NAN
10	Jul_12_2011	26651.45	28770.93	27430.56	26411.25	26365.42	26430.47	25406.25(-6.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2065	10	-2400	-1060	0	60%	-0.05	-47.9	3.34%	0	-1.9	36	NAN

11	Jul_11_2011	26664.29	29056.16	27948.05	26792.5	26500.19	26509.38	27068.75(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	958	-30	1154	369	0	66%	0.02	-40	3.26%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
12	Jul_8_2011	26658.29	29208.33	28285.05	27213.75	26722.06	26300.38	26493.75(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7802	-160	-9154	-3745	0	63%	-0.02	-26.9	3.32%	0	-1.7	29	NAN
13	Jul_7_2011	26664.35	29347.47	28559.62	27567.5	27416.59	26491	26487.5(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12209	-250	-14338	-5820	0	63%	-0.04	-17	3.36%	0	-1.9	28	NAN
14	Jul_6_2011	26676.01	29535.56	28774.67	27966.25	27933.59	27143.75	26600(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19045	-200	-22381	-9036	0	63%	-0.05	1.1	3.36%	0	-2.2	38	NAN
15	Jul_5_2011	26689.93	29663.35	29044.85	28596.25	28441.41	28342.19	27312.5(-6.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9718	-40	-11412	-4635	0	58%	-0.19	29.3	3.34%	0	-2	42	NAN

16	Jul_1_2011	26740.03	29744.73	29431.48	29261.25	29075	28723.44	29175(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-978	-100	-1137	-501	0	61%	-0.01	56.1	3.44%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
17	Jun_30_2011	26743.48	29650.98	29646.57	29541.25	29509.38	28540.63	28262.5(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14040	-230	-16509	-6634	0	59%	-0.03	58.8	3.4%	0	-1	45	NAN
18	Jun_29_2011	26750.81	29601.03	29990.99	29705	29903.52	29426.56	28481.25(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14597	-90	-17169	-6879	0	59%	0.01	58.1	3.44%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
19	Jun_28_2011	26747.11	29520.46	30189	29678.75	30119.73	30478.13	29750(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4259	130	5014	1995	0	63%	0.01	49.6	3.39%	0	0.1	50	NAN
20	Jun_27_2011	26744.08	29325.42	30216.69	29540	29716.21	30380.47	30637.5(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9451	170	11121	4440	0	63%	0.05	39.3	3.39%	0	0.8	59	NAN

21	Jun_24_2011	26731.45	29087.45	30233.75	29647.5	29491.21	29761.33	30575(5.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6452	50	7588	3043	0	63%	0.06	33.3	3.4%	0	0.8	60	NAN
22	Jun_23_2011	26715.19	28886.39	30171.15	29831.25	29813.09	29051.95	29081.25(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5642	-180	-6647	-2628	0	57%	-0.06	32.2	3.35%	0	0.1	62	NAN
23	Jun_22_2011	26732.41	28768.55	30180.58	30362.5	30272.27	29221.09	28350(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21768	-250	-25627	-10191	0	57%	-0.07	35.5	3.45%	0	-0.2	61	NAN
24	Jun_21_2011	26751.47	28707.45	30366.77	30752.5	30963.28	30574.22	29056.25(-6.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9666	-70	-11399	-4465	0	54%	-0.11	36.9	3.44%	0	0.2	65	NAN
25	Jun_20_2011	26782.09	28664.32	30364.73	30930	31021.3	31323.44	31175(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1635	80	1887	879	0	58%		37.7	3.39%	0	1.3	79	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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