Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 28, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $29750.0000 (-2.9%) ($29556.2500 - $30837.5000) on Tue. Jun. 28, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.39% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $29750.0000(-2.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.695% (StdDev 3.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $29678.75(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30189(-1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29520.46(0.78%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   36.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.71% (three month std-dev: 3.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2011	26747.11	29520.46	30189	29678.75	30119.73	30478.13	29750(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4259	130	5014	1995	0	63%	0.01	49.6	3.39%	0	0.1	50	NAN
2	Jun_27_2011	26744.08	29325.42	30216.69	29540	29716.21	30380.47	30637.5(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9451	170	11121	4440	0	63%	0.05	39.3	3.39%	0	0.8	59	NAN
3	Jun_24_2011	26731.45	29087.45	30233.75	29647.5	29491.21	29761.33	30575(5.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6452	50	7588	3043	0	63%	0.06	33.3	3.4%	0	0.8	60	NAN
4	Jun_23_2011	26715.19	28886.39	30171.15	29831.25	29813.09	29051.95	29081.25(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5642	-180	-6647	-2628	0	57%	-0.06	32.2	3.35%	0	0.1	62	NAN
5	Jun_22_2011	26732.41	28768.55	30180.58	30362.5	30272.27	29221.09	28350(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21768	-250	-25627	-10191	0	57%	-0.07	35.5	3.45%	0	-0.2	61	NAN

6	Jun_21_2011	26751.47	28707.45	30366.77	30752.5	30963.28	30574.22	29056.25(-6.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9666	-70	-11399	-4465	0	54%	-0.11	36.9	3.44%	0	0.2	65	NAN
7	Jun_20_2011	26782.09	28664.32	30364.73	30930	31021.3	31323.44	31175(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1635	80	1887	879	0	58%	-0.02	37.7	3.39%	0	1.3	79	NAN
8	Jun_17_2011	26786.49	28481.8	30108.68	30880	30759.97	31352.34	31493.75(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9602	120	11254	4645	0	58%	-0.03	35	3.41%	0	1.6	79	NAN
9	Jun_16_2011	26794.84	28287.98	29666.39	30572.5	30536.73	30719.16	31737.5(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9502	40	11138	4595	0	59%	0.04	30.3	3.42%	0	1.9	73	NAN
10	Jun_15_2011	26784.32	28090.06	29174.93	30007.5	30187.52	30167.59	30300(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-663	10	-817	-201	0	59%	-0.12	23	3.41%	0	1.4	70	NAN

11	Jun_14_2011	26815.5	27987.45	28798.28	29941.25	29969.34	30354.31	29943.75(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2652	90	3084	1357	0	59%	-0.11	28.4	3.45%	0	1.3	65	NAN
12	Jun_13_2011	26845.8	27928.94	28367.42	29696.25	29859.97	30207.44	30925(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11823	100	13879	5654	0	59%	-0.05	33.3	3.42%	0	2.1	60	NAN
13	Jun_10_2011	26859.32	27828.37	27834.74	29220	29317.33	29584.38	29956.25(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4707	70	5516	2281	0	60%	-0.06	33.1	3.44%	0	1.6	60	NAN
14	Jun_9_2011	26875.84	27760.34	27471.91	28616.25	28806	29512.5	28912.5(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9807	190	11524	4654	0	59%	-0.07	26.4	3.51%	0	0.9	54	NAN
15	Jun_8_2011	26894.78	27732.37	27222.73	28195	28229.05	29050.28	29968.75(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17259	210	20298	8140	0	60%	-0.01	27.7	3.49%	0	1.8	58	NAN

16	Jun_7_2011	26897.26	27567.8	26884.83	27483.75	27454.05	28099.5	28718.75(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13038	160	15343	6123	0	59%	0.07	17.4	3.46%	0	1	48	NAN
17	Jun_6_2011	26878.49	27455.31	26797.44	26832.5	26838.95	27407.81	28543.75(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11662	150	13732	5450	0	59%	-0.1	10.5	3.46%	0	0.9	43	NAN
18	Jun_3_2011	26906.32	27396.38	26686.87	26256.25	26255.36	26808.59	26937.5(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8891	150	10482	4119	0	57%	-0.12	15.9	3.39%	0	-0.4	29	NAN
19	Jun_2_2011	26938.22	27432.36	26771.47	26162.89	25968.64	26270.09	26806.25(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7085	60	8360	3260	0	57%	-0.05	30.9	3.41%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
20	Jun_1_2011	26952	27388.79	26896.07	26105.39	25965.13	25702.13	26412.5(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-839	-90	-961	-474	0	57%	-0.06	38.4	3.4%	0	-0.8	34	NAN

21	May_31_2011	26969.01	27369.35	27102.18	26204.14	26132.03	25667.19	25462.5(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10171	-130	-11943	-4854	0	55%	-0.23	45.5	3.43%	0	-1.6	45	NAN
22	May_27_2011	27032.28	27334.03	27470.21	26752.89	26561.25	26228.13	25662.5(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8687	-110	-10207	-4128	0	55%	-0.14	45.8	3.42%	0	-1	49	NAN
23	May_26_2011	27070.42	27219.99	27850.35	27169.14	27109.3	26596.88	26470.69(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6156	-140	-7236	-2915	0	55%	-0.06	49.8	3.42%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
24	May_25_2011	27085.64	27089.72	28106.5	27461.25	27437.67	26894.38	26518.75(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11718	-140	-13785	-5518	0	53%	-0.03	51.5	3.45%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
25	May_24_2011	27093.23	26943.87	28327.25	27795	27809.94	27621.72	26906.25(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6027	-50	-7098	-2815	0	55%		55	3.49%	0	-0	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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