Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 8, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $29968.7500 (4.35%) ($28975.0000 - $30593.7500) on Wed. Jun. 8, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.49% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $29968.7500(4.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.745% (StdDev 3.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28195(6.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27222.73(10.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27732.37(8.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   37.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 4.51% (three month std-dev: 3.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.96%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.01%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2011	26894.78	27732.37	27222.73	28195	28229.05	29050.28	29968.75(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17259	210	20298	8140	0	60%	-0.01	27.7	3.49%	0	1.8	58	0
2	Jun_7_2011	26897.26	27567.8	26884.83	27483.75	27454.05	28099.5	28718.75(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13038	160	15343	6123	0	59%	0.07	17.4	3.46%	0	1	48	0
3	Jun_6_2011	26878.49	27455.31	26797.44	26832.5	26838.95	27407.81	28543.75(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11662	150	13732	5450	0	59%	-0.1	10.5	3.46%	0	0.9	43	0
4	Jun_3_2011	26906.32	27396.38	26686.87	26256.25	26255.36	26808.59	26937.5(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8891	150	10482	4119	0	57%	-0.12	15.9	3.39%	0	-0.4	29	0
5	Jun_2_2011	26938.22	27432.36	26771.47	26162.89	25968.64	26270.09	26806.25(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7085	60	8360	3260	0	57%	-0.05	30.9	3.41%	0	-0.6	33	0

6	Jun_1_2011	26952	27388.79	26896.07	26105.39	25965.13	25702.13	26412.5(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-839	-90	-961	-474	0	57%	-0.06	38.4	3.4%	0	-0.8	34	0
7	May_31_2011	26969.01	27369.35	27102.18	26204.14	26132.03	25667.19	25462.5(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10171	-130	-11943	-4854	0	55%	-0.23	45.5	3.43%	0	-1.6	45	0
8	May_27_2011	27032.28	27334.03	27470.21	26752.89	26561.25	26228.13	25662.5(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8687	-110	-10207	-4128	0	55%	-0.14	45.8	3.42%	0	-1	49	0
9	May_26_2011	27070.42	27219.99	27850.35	27169.14	27109.3	26596.88	26470.69(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6156	-140	-7236	-2915	0	55%	-0.06	49.8	3.42%	0	-0.4	46	0
10	May_25_2011	27085.64	27089.72	28106.5	27461.25	27437.67	26894.38	26518.75(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11718	-140	-13785	-5518	0	53%	-0.03	51.5	3.45%	0	-0.3	46	0

11	May_24_2011	27093.23	26943.87	28327.25	27795	27809.94	27621.72	26906.25(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6027	-50	-7098	-2815	0	55%	0.04	55	3.49%	0	-0	61	0
12	May_23_2011	27082.07	26826.8	28353.08	28127.5	28036.19	27980.97	28206.25(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2198	-20	-2598	-997	0	56%	0.11	58.7	3.52%	0	0.6	67	0
13	May_20_2011	27051.77	26604.18	28200.93	28312.5	28311.97	27998.16	27743.75(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3216	-80	-3802	-1457	0	56%	0.08	61.8	3.53%	0	0.5	73	0
14	May_19_2011	27031.36	26355.04	28187.51	28648.75	28603.13	28091.41	27931.25(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8389	-130	-9900	-3855	0	56%	0.1	61.4	3.56%	0	0.7	79	0
15	May_18_2011	27005.09	26110.71	28164.34	28855	28886.86	28625.78	28187.5(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7628	-60	-9015	-3465	0	56%	0.1	60.9	3.58%	0	0.9	74	0

16	May_17_2011	26977.86	25864.68	27936.04	28931.25	29147.41	29114.84	28568.75(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1953	10	2249	1065	0	56%	0.06	61.3	3.59%	0	1.1	77	0
17	May_16_2011	26961.41	25623.45	27665.11	28585	28823.97	29147.94	29131.25(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4113	100	4790	2082	0	56%	0.08	61	3.59%	0	1.5	70	0
18	May_13_2011	26939.04	25327.82	27186.91	28055	28198.66	29179.97	29425(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12408	260	14552	5976	0	54%	0.11	61.3	3.59%	0	1.8	73	0
19	May_12_2011	26910.11	25006.22	26530.34	27667.5	27591.48	28500	28962.5(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18881	220	22169	9016	0	54%	0.07	63.3	3.61%	0	1.9	76	0
20	May_11_2011	26890.14	24733.04	25972.24	27398.75	27062.19	27217.34	28568.75(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7580	0	8875	3696	0	54%	0.08	70.8	3.64%	0	2.1	72	0

21	May_10_2011	26868.42	24471.75	25423.49	26818.75	26877.42	26682.97	26837.5(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1260	-40	-1521	-478	0	51%	0.02	74.2	3.54%	0	1.5	66	0
22	May_9_2011	26863.65	24270.8	25162.11	26597.5	26683.98	26907.03	26481.25(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	870	70	986	523	0	51%	-0.01	67.5	3.55%	0	1.5	61	0
23	May_6_2011	26866.88	24033.89	24871.52	26141.25	26293.75	27071.88	27487.5(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13410	220	15743	6412	0	51%	0.03	48.9	3.53%	0	2.3	67	0
24	May_5_2011	26859.98	23780.73	24361.56	25185	25462.11	26460.94	27618.75(7.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	18704	310	21983	8865	0	51%	0.06	28.2	3.56%	0	3	68	0
25	May_4_2011	26843.55	23509.93	23862.51	24338.75	24431.25	25515.63	25668.75(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	18070	320	21249	8533	0	47%		0.7	3.45%	0	2.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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