Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $29131.2500 (-1%) ($28068.7500 - $29781.2500) on Mon. May. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.59% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $29131.2500(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.795% (StdDev 3.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $28585(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27665.11(5.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25623.45(13.69%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   33.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 9.13% (three month std-dev: 3.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2011	26961.41	25623.45	27665.11	28585	28823.97	29147.94	29131.25(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4113	100	4790	2082	0	56%	0.08	61	3.59%	0	1.5	70	NAN
2	May_13_2011	26939.04	25327.82	27186.91	28055	28198.66	29179.97	29425(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12408	260	14552	5976	0	54%	0.11	61.3	3.59%	0	1.8	73	NAN
3	May_12_2011	26910.11	25006.22	26530.34	27667.5	27591.48	28500	28962.5(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18881	220	22169	9016	0	54%	0.07	63.3	3.61%	0	1.9	76	NAN
4	May_11_2011	26890.14	24733.04	25972.24	27398.75	27062.19	27217.34	28568.75(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7580	0	8875	3696	0	54%	0.08	70.8	3.64%	0	2.1	72	NAN
5	May_10_2011	26868.42	24471.75	25423.49	26818.75	26877.42	26682.97	26837.5(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1260	-40	-1521	-478	0	51%	0.02	74.2	3.54%	0	1.5	66	NAN

6	May_9_2011	26863.65	24270.8	25162.11	26597.5	26683.98	26907.03	26481.25(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	870	70	986	523	0	51%	-0.01	67.5	3.55%	0	1.5	61	NAN
7	May_6_2011	26866.88	24033.89	24871.52	26141.25	26293.75	27071.88	27487.5(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13410	220	15743	6412	0	51%	0.03	48.9	3.53%	0	2.3	67	NAN
8	May_5_2011	26859.98	23780.73	24361.56	25185	25462.11	26460.94	27618.75(7.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	18704	310	21983	8865	0	51%	0.06	28.2	3.56%	0	3	68	NAN
9	May_4_2011	26843.55	23509.93	23862.51	24338.75	24431.25	25515.63	25668.75(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	18070	320	21249	8533	0	47%	0.02	0.7	3.45%	0	2.3	58	NAN
10	May_3_2011	26837.62	23349.72	23602.62	23832.5	23742.97	24463.28	25731.25(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16511	200	19422	7779	0	45%	0.02	-35.1	3.45%	0	2.9	59	NAN

11	May_2_2011	26831.11	23291.47	23388.38	23547.37	23370.93	23346.88	24200(6.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3218	-30	3784	1519	0	42%	-0.05	-57.9	3.42%	0	1.2	58	NAN
12	Apr_29_2011	26845.23	23321.07	23300.61	23427.37	23480.27	23022.65	22706.25(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4755	-130	-5597	-2227	0	35%	-0.12	-58.5	3.34%	0	-0.8	59	NAN
13	Apr_28_2011	26876.35	23422.49	23365.61	23383.62	23483	23394.99	23387.5(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5806	-10	-6834	-2720	0	35%	-0.1	-57.9	3.35%	0	-0	55	NAN
14	Apr_27_2011	26903.54	23503.09	23407.89	23284.87	23341.6	23937.89	23137.5(-4.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6730	190	7912	3184	0	39%	-0.15	-54.5	3.35%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
15	Apr_26_2011	26942.77	23644.13	23464.59	23304.87	23069.49	23571.02	24305.62(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11437	120	13447	5407	0	37%	-0.1	-48.4	3.38%	0	0.6	61	NAN

16	Apr_25_2011	26970.53	23724.47	23324.01	23220	22930.86	22745.31	23600(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	514	-90	601	251	0	37%	-0.13	-47.4	3.49%	0	-0.1	42	NAN
17	Apr_21_2011	27006.38	23805.83	23151.41	23185	23156.64	22567.97	22487.5(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8482	-180	-9975	-4004	0	35%	-0.18	-56.8	3.42%	0	-1	35	NAN
18	Apr_20_2011	27054.97	23931.23	23185.05	23343.75	23379.32	23116.41	22893.75(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9367	-70	-11014	-4427	0	35%	-0.17	-69.9	3.43%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
19	Apr_19_2011	27100.2	24027.49	23158.2	23537.5	23589.83	23745.31	23237.5(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1255	50	1485	563	0	35%	-0.16	-77.6	3.45%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
20	Apr_18_2011	27142.65	24188.12	23101.24	23630	23590.61	23642.24	23881.25(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3308	10	3907	1511	0	33%	-0.13	-77	3.45%	0	-0.2	36	NAN

21	Apr_15_2011	27178.89	24323.93	23186.49	23443.75	23488.27	23434.35	23425(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	351	-10	433	106	0	33%	-0.15	-71.5	3.45%	0	-0.5	33	NAN
22	Apr_14_2011	27221.07	24550.59	23331.04	23108.75	23265.09	23538.99	23281.25(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2943	100	3486	1312	0	36%	-0.16	-64.8	3.48%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
23	Apr_13_2011	27265.84	24831.01	23471.13	22992.5	22855.75	23542.19	23862.5(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8506	190	10033	3925	0	39%	-0.14	-57.9	3.51%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
24	Apr_12_2011	27304.96	25104.37	23581.72	22725.75	22601.02	22991.19	23700(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11557	100	13624	5355	0	39%	-0.15	-53	3.62%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
25	Apr_11_2011	27346.88	25333.8	23805.04	22512	22327.47	22169.31	22950(5.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2945	-70	-3433	-1479	0	38%		-51.1	3.59%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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