Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $29425.0000 (1.6%) ($28250.0000 - $30302.2500) on Fri. May. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.59% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $29425.0000(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.795% (StdDev 3.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $28055(4.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27186.91(8.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25327.82(16.18%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   35.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.78% (three month std-dev: 3.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(29%) Average negative next day return: -2.72%(71%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.75%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2011	26939.04	25327.82	27186.91	28055	28198.66	29179.97	29425(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12408	260	14552	5976	0	54%	0.11	61.3	3.59%	0	1.8	73	0
2	May_12_2011	26910.11	25006.22	26530.34	27667.5	27591.48	28500	28962.5(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18881	220	22169	9016	0	54%	0.07	63.3	3.61%	0	1.9	76	0
3	May_11_2011	26890.14	24733.04	25972.24	27398.75	27062.19	27217.34	28568.75(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7580	0	8875	3696	0	54%	0.08	70.8	3.64%	0	2.1	72	0
4	May_10_2011	26868.42	24471.75	25423.49	26818.75	26877.42	26682.97	26837.5(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1260	-40	-1521	-478	0	51%	0.02	74.2	3.54%	0	1.5	66	0
5	May_9_2011	26863.65	24270.8	25162.11	26597.5	26683.98	26907.03	26481.25(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	870	70	986	523	0	51%	-0.01	67.5	3.55%	0	1.5	61	0

6	May_6_2011	26866.88	24033.89	24871.52	26141.25	26293.75	27071.88	27487.5(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13410	220	15743	6412	0	51%	0.03	48.9	3.53%	0	2.3	67	0
7	May_5_2011	26859.98	23780.73	24361.56	25185	25462.11	26460.94	27618.75(7.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	18704	310	21983	8865	0	51%	0.06	28.2	3.56%	0	3	68	0
8	May_4_2011	26843.55	23509.93	23862.51	24338.75	24431.25	25515.63	25668.75(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	18070	320	21249	8533	0	47%	0.02	0.7	3.45%	0	2.3	58	0
9	May_3_2011	26837.62	23349.72	23602.62	23832.5	23742.97	24463.28	25731.25(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16511	200	19422	7779	0	45%	0.02	-35.1	3.45%	0	2.9	59	0
10	May_2_2011	26831.11	23291.47	23388.38	23547.37	23370.93	23346.88	24200(6.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3218	-30	3784	1519	0	42%	-0.05	-57.9	3.42%	0	1.2	58	0

11	Apr_29_2011	26845.23	23321.07	23300.61	23427.37	23480.27	23022.65	22706.25(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4755	-130	-5597	-2227	0	35%	-0.12	-58.5	3.34%	0	-0.8	59	0
12	Apr_28_2011	26876.35	23422.49	23365.61	23383.62	23483	23394.99	23387.5(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5806	-10	-6834	-2720	0	35%	-0.1	-57.9	3.35%	0	-0	55	0
13	Apr_27_2011	26903.54	23503.09	23407.89	23284.87	23341.6	23937.89	23137.5(-4.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6730	190	7912	3184	0	39%	-0.15	-54.5	3.35%	0	-0.4	55	0
14	Apr_26_2011	26942.77	23644.13	23464.59	23304.87	23069.49	23571.02	24305.62(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11437	120	13447	5407	0	37%	-0.1	-48.4	3.38%	0	0.6	61	0
15	Apr_25_2011	26970.53	23724.47	23324.01	23220	22930.86	22745.31	23600(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	514	-90	601	251	0	37%	-0.13	-47.4	3.49%	0	-0.1	42	0

16	Apr_21_2011	27006.38	23805.83	23151.41	23185	23156.64	22567.97	22487.5(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8482	-180	-9975	-4004	0	35%	-0.18	-56.8	3.42%	0	-1	35	0
17	Apr_20_2011	27054.97	23931.23	23185.05	23343.75	23379.32	23116.41	22893.75(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9367	-70	-11014	-4427	0	35%	-0.17	-69.9	3.43%	0	-0.8	39	0
18	Apr_19_2011	27100.2	24027.49	23158.2	23537.5	23589.83	23745.31	23237.5(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1255	50	1485	563	0	35%	-0.16	-77.6	3.45%	0	-0.6	39	0
19	Apr_18_2011	27142.65	24188.12	23101.24	23630	23590.61	23642.24	23881.25(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3308	10	3907	1511	0	33%	-0.13	-77	3.45%	0	-0.2	36	0
20	Apr_15_2011	27178.89	24323.93	23186.49	23443.75	23488.27	23434.35	23425(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	351	-10	433	106	0	33%	-0.15	-71.5	3.45%	0	-0.5	33	0

21	Apr_14_2011	27221.07	24550.59	23331.04	23108.75	23265.09	23538.99	23281.25(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2943	100	3486	1312	0	36%	-0.16	-64.8	3.48%	0	-0.7	39	0
22	Apr_13_2011	27265.84	24831.01	23471.13	22992.5	22855.75	23542.19	23862.5(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8506	190	10033	3925	0	39%	-0.14	-57.9	3.51%	0	-0.5	45	0
23	Apr_12_2011	27304.96	25104.37	23581.72	22725.75	22601.02	22991.19	23700(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11557	100	13624	5355	0	39%	-0.15	-53	3.62%	0	-0.6	45	0
24	Apr_11_2011	27346.88	25333.8	23805.04	22512	22327.47	22169.31	22950(5.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2945	-70	-3433	-1479	0	38%	-0.19	-51.1	3.59%	0	-1.1	32	0
25	Apr_8_2011	27398.6	25554.29	24123.54	22927	22667.81	22210.86	21750(-4.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-8712	-180	-10221	-4186	0	35%		-44.5	3.52%	0	-1.8	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.