Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 14, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $23281.2500 (-2.44%) ($23036.8800 - $23918.7500) on Thu. Apr. 14, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.48% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $23281.2500(-2.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.74% (StdDev 3.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $24550.59
5 Day Moving Average   $23108.75(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23331.04(-0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24550.59(-5.17%)
To recent high   -30.2%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 7.69% (three month std-dev: 3.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2011	27221.07	24550.59	23331.04	23108.75	23265.09	23538.99	23281.25(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2943	100	3486	1312	0	36%	-0.16	-64.8	3.48%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
2	Apr_13_2011	27265.84	24831.01	23471.13	22992.5	22855.75	23542.19	23862.5(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8506	190	10033	3925	0	39%	-0.14	-57.9	3.51%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
3	Apr_12_2011	27304.96	25104.37	23581.72	22725.75	22601.02	22991.19	23700(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11557	100	13624	5355	0	39%	-0.15	-53	3.62%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
4	Apr_11_2011	27346.88	25333.8	23805.04	22512	22327.47	22169.31	22950(5.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2945	-70	-3433	-1479	0	38%	-0.19	-51.1	3.59%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
5	Apr_8_2011	27398.6	25554.29	24123.54	22927	22667.81	22210.86	21750(-4.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-8712	-180	-10221	-4186	0	35%	-0.24	-44.5	3.52%	0	-1.8	23	NAN

6	Apr_7_2011	27465.85	25838.53	24504.4	23594.5	23407.23	22485.62	22700(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12254	-300	-14390	-5847	0	37%	-0.21	-35	3.51%	0	-1.6	21	NAN
7	Apr_6_2011	27523.27	26118.32	24748.46	24018.25	24024.46	23124.77	22528.75(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-18793	-260	-22080	-8933	0	39%	-0.22	-25.8	3.51%	0	-1.9	18	NAN
8	Apr_5_2011	27584.18	26328.17	25000.88	24547.88	24599.58	24328.84	22631.25(-9.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-9997	-70	-11729	-4800	0	41%	-0.22	-16	3.58%	0	-2.2	17	NAN
9	Apr_4_2011	27645.32	26513.4	25412.89	25260.38	25005.16	24924.16	25025(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1885	-50	-2188	-976	0	47%	-0.12	-2	3.39%	0	-1	33	NAN
10	Apr_1_2011	27678.08	26546.42	25583.93	25506.63	25341.46	24870.31	25087.5(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4411	-150	-5161	-2159	0	48%	-0.12	2.2	3.45%	0	-1	41	NAN

11	Mar_31_2011	27710.87	26561.04	25880.34	25564.13	25575.06	25086.17	24818.75(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9604	-130	-11273	-4596	0	48%	-0.13	-0.7	3.48%	0	-1.2	41	NAN
12	Mar_30_2011	27747.95	26606.57	26300.55	25590.38	25671.93	25812.61	25176.88(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1728	50	-2009	-885	0	48%	-0.12	-6.7	3.48%	0	-1	38	NAN
13	Mar_29_2011	27781.34	26600	26734.77	25510	25486.27	26063.94	26193.75(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7627	160	8992	3530	0	49%	-0.08	-11.8	3.45%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
14	Mar_28_2011	27802.23	26541.45	26951.76	25595	25339.84	25531.25	26256.25(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6051	20	7133	2803	0	47%	-0.07	-16.5	3.45%	0	-0.2	54	NAN
15	Mar_25_2011	27822.84	26513.59	27059.13	25708.75	25557.04	24908.59	25375(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6643	-200	-7805	-3158	0	46%	-0.12	-17.3	3.47%	0	-0.8	54	NAN

16	Mar_24_2011	27855.92	26571.16	27256.22	26283.75	26058.6	25148.44	24950(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19415	-270	-22839	-9141	0	46%	-0.14	-9.1	3.49%	0	-1.1	54	NAN
17	Mar_23_2011	27895.73	26705.32	27596.61	27136.25	26951.68	26205.48	24775(-6.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15946	-210	-18772	-7468	0	46%	-0.16	6.8	3.51%	0	-1.3	51	NAN
18	Mar_22_2011	27939.07	26777.28	27797.5	28122.5	27873.55	26968.76	26618.75(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13283	-250	-15654	-6171	0	50%	-0.07	20.5	3.41%	0	-0.1	63	NAN
19	Mar_21_2011	27957.67	26791.86	27752.86	28488.75	28436.83	27697.88	26825(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17249	-190	-20326	-8016	0	50%	-0.06	20.8	3.41%	0	0	63	NAN
20	Mar_18_2011	27973.85	26775.8	27642.27	28575	28946.2	28778.34	28250(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3137	-0	-3727	-1368	0	52%	0.01	11.8	3.33%	0	1	64	NAN

21	Mar_17_2011	27969.85	26706.6	27338.37	28351.25	28698.05	29175.78	29212.5(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	3505	150	4091	1745	0	52%	0.07	-0.2	3.33%	0	1.8	63	NAN
22	Mar_16_2011	27951.57	26607.1	26951.63	28138.75	28347.27	29114.06	29706.25(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13877	210	16299	6609	0	53%	0.09	-9.5	3.32%	0	2.4	57	NAN
23	Mar_15_2011	27925.38	26494	26435.85	27458.75	28034.77	28220.31	28450(4.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14321	110	16831	6789	0	53%	0.03	-28.7	3.3%	0	1.7	61	NAN
24	Mar_14_2011	27917.43	26497.85	26059.96	26936.25	27251.06	27580.47	27256.25(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-645	120	-766	-282	0	51%	-0.04	-41.3	3.28%	0	0.6	51	NAN
25	Mar_11_2011	27927.61	26607.79	25880.22	26561.25	26887.78	27849.22	27131.25(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18678	290	21973	8793	0	50%		-41.3	3.27%	0	0.4	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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