Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $29212.5000 (-1.66%) ($28918.7500 - $29756.2500) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.33% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $29212.5000(-1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-13%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.665% (StdDev 3.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28351.25(3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27338.37(6.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26706.6(9.38%)
To recent high   -12.4%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.21% (three month std-dev: 3.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2011	27969.85	26706.6	27338.37	28351.25	28698.05	29175.78	29212.5(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	3505	150	4091	1745	0	52%	0.07	-0.2	3.33%	0	1.8	63	NAN
2	Mar_16_2011	27951.57	26607.1	26951.63	28138.75	28347.27	29114.06	29706.25(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13877	210	16299	6609	0	53%	0.09	-9.5	3.32%	0	2.4	57	NAN
3	Mar_15_2011	27925.38	26494	26435.85	27458.75	28034.77	28220.31	28450(4.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14321	110	16831	6789	0	53%	0.03	-28.7	3.3%	0	1.7	61	NAN
4	Mar_14_2011	27917.43	26497.85	26059.96	26936.25	27251.06	27580.47	27256.25(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-645	120	-766	-282	0	51%	-0.04	-41.3	3.28%	0	0.6	51	NAN
5	Mar_11_2011	27927.61	26607.79	25880.22	26561.25	26887.78	27849.22	27131.25(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18678	290	21973	8793	0	50%	-0.04	-41.3	3.27%	0	0.4	53	NAN

6	Mar_10_2011	27940.05	26709.09	25784.56	26143.75	26039.73	26921.65	28150(7.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18408	230	21661	8647	0	52%	0.01	-44	3.26%	0	1	53	NAN
7	Mar_9_2011	27936.72	26731.09	25678.39	25593.75	25346.16	25926.34	26306.25(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11394	130	13417	5325	0	47%	-0.09	-57.3	3.14%	0	-0.3	43	NAN
8	Mar_8_2011	27963.01	26817.84	25629.8	25267.5	25223.62	25157.81	25837.5(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7768	-20	9159	3595	0	47%	-0.12	-67.9	3.13%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
9	Mar_7_2011	27997.86	26991.43	25723.23	25057.5	24921.66	24765.98	25381.25(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7996	-60	-9381	-3842	0	47%	-0.16	-75.5	3.15%	0	-1	32	NAN
10	Mar_4_2011	28041.47	27190.13	25831.32	25095	25034.13	25289.42	25043.75(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	1138	60	1371	439	0	47%	-0.18	-79.9	3.17%	0	-1.3	27	NAN

11	Mar_3_2011	28092.28	27391.14	26033.16	25363.75	25242	25077.34	25400(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	1491	-60	1788	600	0	47%	-0.16	-87.1	3.19%	0	-1.2	31	NAN
12	Mar_2_2011	28138.7	27654.44	26247.99	25795	25548.25	24778.84	24675(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12321	-240	-14463	-5894	0	47%	-0.22	-77.6	3.2%	0	-1.7	30	NAN
13	Mar_1_2011	28199.46	27936.55	26578.81	26043.25	26043.95	25406.66	24787.5(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14499	-170	-17028	-6912	0	47%	-0.22	-86.1	3.23%	0	-1.9	37	NAN
14	Feb_28_2011	28260.39	28297.68	27000.52	26469.5	26357.89	26317.66	25568.75(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5296	-20	-6204	-2571	0	47%	-0.17	-80.3	3.23%	0	-1.6	34	NAN
15	Feb_25_2011	28309.33	28599.09	27422.81	26653.25	26419.38	26681.25	26387.5(-4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4235	40	5006	1922	0	47%	-0.13	-79.5	3.23%	0	-1.3	37	NAN

16	Feb_24_2011	28344.92	28889.75	27728.48	26792	26351.91	26398.13	27556.25(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2010	-40	2386	880	0	50%	-0.05	-72.8	3.21%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
17	Feb_23_2011	28359.8	29046.59	27862.14	26804.5	26497.62	26157.5	25916.25(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5408	-120	-6337	-2622	0	46%	-0.17	-73.4	3.12%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
18	Feb_22_2011	28406.79	29415.27	28105.04	27211.25	26908.68	26305.7	26918.75(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11302	-190	-13271	-5395	0	48%	-0.1	-59	3.1%	0	-1.4	34	NAN
19	Feb_18_2011	28435.97	29712.26	28360.6	27631.25	27392.27	26837.73	26487.5(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14595	-170	-17145	-6944	0	48%	-0.14	-48.2	3.13%	0	-1.7	26	NAN
20	Feb_17_2011	28474.94	30006.98	28665.33	28312.5	28056.22	27511.66	27081.25(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10578	-160	-12422	-5045	0	48%	-0.1	-36.9	3.14%	0	-1.7	30	NAN

21	Feb_16_2011	28503.38	30241.55	28872.17	28798.75	28629.97	27946.81	27618.75(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12559	-180	-14752	-5979	0	48%	-0.06	-23.4	3.16%	0	-1.6	30	NAN
22	Feb_15_2011	28521.81	30412.53	29184.02	29071.25	29093.28	28600.78	27950(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10477	-120	-12305	-4991	0	48%	-0.04	-12.4	3.19%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
23	Feb_14_2011	28533.98	30541.86	29416.1	29105	29214.38	29313.13	29018.75(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2145	30	-2498	-1085	0	50%	0.04	-9.6	3.17%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
24	Feb_11_2011	28523.44	30658.97	29698.95	29191.75	29023.75	29585.78	29893.75(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6969	120	8225	3201	0	50%	0.11	-2.4	3.17%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
25	Feb_10_2011	28492.99	30674.21	29849.85	29093	28938.44	29115.63	29512.5(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9930	30	11710	4588	0	50%		-2.2	3.2%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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