Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $27081.2500 (-1.95%) ($27043.7500 - $27500.0000) on Thu. Feb. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.14% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $27081.2500(-1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-13%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.57% (StdDev 3.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $30006.98
5 Day Moving Average   $28312.5(-4.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28665.33(-5.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30006.98(-9.75%)
To recent high   -18.8%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.9% (three month std-dev: 3.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(86%) Average negative next day return: -4.66%(14%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.87%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -8.69%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.28%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.86%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2011	28474.94	30006.98	28665.33	28312.5	28056.22	27511.66	27081.25(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10578	-160	-12422	-5045	0	48%	-0.1	-36.9	3.14%	0	-1.7	30	0
2	Feb_16_2011	28503.38	30241.55	28872.17	28798.75	28629.97	27946.81	27618.75(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12559	-180	-14752	-5979	0	48%	-0.06	-23.4	3.16%	0	-1.6	30	0
3	Feb_15_2011	28521.81	30412.53	29184.02	29071.25	29093.28	28600.78	27950(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10477	-120	-12305	-4991	0	48%	-0.04	-12.4	3.19%	0	-1.6	41	0
4	Feb_14_2011	28533.98	30541.86	29416.1	29105	29214.38	29313.13	29018.75(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2145	30	-2498	-1085	0	50%	0.04	-9.6	3.17%	0	-1.1	35	0
5	Feb_11_2011	28523.44	30658.97	29698.95	29191.75	29023.75	29585.78	29893.75(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6969	120	8225	3201	0	50%	0.11	-2.4	3.17%	0	-0.5	39	0

6	Feb_10_2011	28492.99	30674.21	29849.85	29093	28938.44	29115.63	29512.5(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9930	30	11710	4588	0	50%	0.08	-2.2	3.2%	0	-0.8	41	0
7	Feb_9_2011	28469.82	30626.33	30110.88	28986.75	28779.45	28461.72	28981.25(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6515	-100	-7637	-3150	0	50%	0.04	-3.5	3.23%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	Feb_8_2011	28457.92	30603.71	30292.88	29344.25	29101.72	28761.25	28118.75(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8758	-110	-10278	-4197	0	50%	-0.03	5.3	3.24%	0	-1.6	43	0
9	Feb_7_2011	28466	30680.45	30814.13	29764.25	29650.94	29097.19	29452.5(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7904	-140	-9281	-3771	0	53%	0.08	24.4	3.19%	0	-0.8	50	0
10	Feb_4_2011	28441.94	30692.05	31157.42	30285	30061.72	29442.19	29400(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15825	-170	-18608	-7476	0	53%	0.08	48	3.23%	0	-0.9	45	0

11	Feb_3_2011	28417.98	30705.99	31454.49	30726.25	30793.36	30204.69	28981.25(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10219	-130	-12020	-4815	0	53%	0.05	69	3.27%	0	-1.2	50	0
12	Feb_2_2011	28403.54	30678.97	31743.94	31392.5	31307.81	30681.25	30768.75(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11751	-150	-13835	-5500	0	58%	0.22	87.7	3.15%	0	0.1	62	0
13	Feb_1_2011	28341.3	30520.32	31766.09	31380	31592.58	31382.03	30218.75(-5.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9852	-30	-11605	-4593	0	58%	0.18	85.2	3.19%	0	-0.2	62	0
14	Jan_31_2011	28290.56	30325.53	31799.75	32007.5	31904.69	31934.38	32056.25(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1457	-0	-1738	-614	0	63%	0.37	81.2	3.06%	0	0.9	62	0
15	Jan_28_2011	28185.96	30000.04	31720.37	32178.75	32300.39	31803.13	31606.25(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2239	-100	-2663	-965	0	63%	0.35	73	3.1%	0	0.7	60	0

16	Jan_27_2011	28088.23	29718.55	31580.38	32307.5	32455.47	31875.01	32312.5(5.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13017	-110	-15347	-6027	0	63%	0.44	68.7	3.1%	0	1.1	62	0
17	Jan_26_2011	27963.99	29377.06	31187.69	32160	32503.91	32797.66	30706.25(-7.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3119	100	-3703	-1368	0	59%	0.3	63	3.05%	0	0.5	64	0
18	Jan_25_2011	27880.89	29128.67	30958.56	32172.5	32483.2	33035.94	33356.25(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20878	150	24521	9947	0	69%	0.62	59.7	2.69%	0	1.7	78	0
19	Jan_24_2011	27709.79	28793.84	30530.77	31543.75	31662.11	32210.16	32912.5(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	9635	130	11295	4656	0	69%	0.61	57	2.73%	0	1.7	81	0
20	Jan_21_2011	27541.96	28465.13	30161.09	31210	31101.17	31930.47	32250(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	14646	180	17184	7030	0	69%	0.57	56.6	2.77%	0	1.7	81	0

21	Jan_20_2011	27385.02	28188.1	29856.84	30766.25	30876.17	31114.06	31575(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19438	60	22819	9295	0	69%	0.53	57.5	2.8%	0	1.7	76	0
22	Jan_19_2011	27240.54	27920.66	29492.46	30080	30151.56	30271.88	30768.75(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-810	40	-999	-241	0	69%	0.46	55.6	2.83%	0	1.5	76	0
23	Jan_18_2011	27114.53	27691.48	29147.43	29538.75	29636.32	30638.28	30212.5(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13435	250	15762	6455	0	69%	0.42	53.7	2.87%	0	1.4	73	0
24	Jan_14_2011	26999.79	27509.65	28726.39	29340	29140.62	30031.24	31243.75(4.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24754	190	29081	11773	0	73%	0.61	58.3	2.82%	0	2.2	67	0
25	Jan_13_2011	26836.56	27269.51	28128.27	28973.75	28735.93	28634.37	30031.25(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5252	-50	6143	2578	0	71%		65.3	2.8%	0	1.9	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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