Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 10, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $29512.5000 (1.83%) ($29231.2500 - $30250.0000) on Thu. Feb. 10, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.2% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $29512.5000(1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-13%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.6% (StdDev 3.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $30674.21
5 Day Moving Average   $29093(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29849.85(-1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30674.21(-3.79%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 4.54% (three month std-dev: 3.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2011	28492.99	30674.21	29849.85	29093	28938.44	29115.63	29512.5(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9930	30	11710	4588	0	50%	0.08	-2.2	3.2%	0	-0.8	41	0
2	Feb_9_2011	28469.82	30626.33	30110.88	28986.75	28779.45	28461.72	28981.25(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6515	-100	-7637	-3150	0	50%	0.04	-3.5	3.23%	0	-1.1	42	0
3	Feb_8_2011	28457.92	30603.71	30292.88	29344.25	29101.72	28761.25	28118.75(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8758	-110	-10278	-4197	0	50%	-0.03	5.3	3.24%	0	-1.6	43	0
4	Feb_7_2011	28466	30680.45	30814.13	29764.25	29650.94	29097.19	29452.5(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7904	-140	-9281	-3771	0	53%	0.08	24.4	3.19%	0	-0.8	50	0
5	Feb_4_2011	28441.94	30692.05	31157.42	30285	30061.72	29442.19	29400(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15825	-170	-18608	-7476	0	53%	0.08	48	3.23%	0	-0.9	45	0

6	Feb_3_2011	28417.98	30705.99	31454.49	30726.25	30793.36	30204.69	28981.25(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10219	-130	-12020	-4815	0	53%	0.05	69	3.27%	0	-1.2	50	0
7	Feb_2_2011	28403.54	30678.97	31743.94	31392.5	31307.81	30681.25	30768.75(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11751	-150	-13835	-5500	0	58%	0.22	87.7	3.15%	0	0.1	62	0
8	Feb_1_2011	28341.3	30520.32	31766.09	31380	31592.58	31382.03	30218.75(-5.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9852	-30	-11605	-4593	0	58%	0.18	85.2	3.19%	0	-0.2	62	0
9	Jan_31_2011	28290.56	30325.53	31799.75	32007.5	31904.69	31934.38	32056.25(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1457	-0	-1738	-614	0	63%	0.37	81.2	3.06%	0	0.9	62	0
10	Jan_28_2011	28185.96	30000.04	31720.37	32178.75	32300.39	31803.13	31606.25(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2239	-100	-2663	-965	0	63%	0.35	73	3.1%	0	0.7	60	0

11	Jan_27_2011	28088.23	29718.55	31580.38	32307.5	32455.47	31875.01	32312.5(5.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13017	-110	-15347	-6027	0	63%	0.44	68.7	3.1%	0	1.1	62	0
12	Jan_26_2011	27963.99	29377.06	31187.69	32160	32503.91	32797.66	30706.25(-7.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3119	100	-3703	-1368	0	59%	0.3	63	3.05%	0	0.5	64	0
13	Jan_25_2011	27880.89	29128.67	30958.56	32172.5	32483.2	33035.94	33356.25(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20878	150	24521	9947	0	69%	0.62	59.7	2.69%	0	1.7	78	0
14	Jan_24_2011	27709.79	28793.84	30530.77	31543.75	31662.11	32210.16	32912.5(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	9635	130	11295	4656	0	69%	0.61	57	2.73%	0	1.7	81	0
15	Jan_21_2011	27541.96	28465.13	30161.09	31210	31101.17	31930.47	32250(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	14646	180	17184	7030	0	69%	0.57	56.6	2.77%	0	1.7	81	0

16	Jan_20_2011	27385.02	28188.1	29856.84	30766.25	30876.17	31114.06	31575(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19438	60	22819	9295	0	69%	0.53	57.5	2.8%	0	1.7	76	0
17	Jan_19_2011	27240.54	27920.66	29492.46	30080	30151.56	30271.88	30768.75(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-810	40	-999	-241	0	69%	0.46	55.6	2.83%	0	1.5	76	0
18	Jan_18_2011	27114.53	27691.48	29147.43	29538.75	29636.32	30638.28	30212.5(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13435	250	15762	6455	0	69%	0.42	53.7	2.87%	0	1.4	73	0
19	Jan_14_2011	26999.79	27509.65	28726.39	29340	29140.62	30031.24	31243.75(4.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24754	190	29081	11773	0	73%	0.61	58.3	2.82%	0	2.2	67	0
20	Jan_13_2011	26836.56	27269.51	28128.27	28973.75	28735.93	28634.37	30031.25(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5252	-50	6143	2578	0	71%	0.48	65.3	2.8%	0	1.9	65	0

21	Jan_12_2011	26708.78	27059.06	27698.48	28847.5	28803.52	28250	28143.75(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11010	-140	-12988	-5076	0	66%	0.22	70	2.56%	0	0.8	56	0
22	Jan_11_2011	26648.98	26910.04	27435.91	28811.25	28932.72	28837.5	28062.5(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7749	-10	-9149	-3550	0	66%	0.23	0	2.61%	0	0.9	59	0
23	Jan_10_2011	26587.53	26764.15	27191.02	28651.25	28863.19	29357.03	29218.75(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11661	140	13689	5578	0	73%	0.45	0	2.5%	0	1.8	66	0
24	Jan_7_2011	26467.93	26573.09	26940.42	27970	28272.55	29027.94	29412.5(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21023	220	24712	9954	0	73%	0.53	0	2.54%	0	2.3	63	0
25	Jan_6_2011	26327.71	26376.19	26632.71	27135	27279.97	28369.34	29400(5.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	22198	300	26108	10469	0	73%		0	2.6%	0	2.9	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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