Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Duke Energy Corporation)
DUK latest price $63.8798 (-0.51%) ($63.7033 - $64.8295) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $63.8798(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUK declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(84%)    XLP(62%)    VYM(57%)    IVE(55%)    SPY(49%)
Factors Impacting DUK price   DUK will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-3%)    TBT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $64.42
5 Day Moving Average   $63.5(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.21(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.42(-0.84%)
To recent high   -14.1%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $46.952b

Duke Energy Corp. engages in distribution of natural gas and energy related services. It operates through the following segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment conducts operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Duke Energy Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, Duke Energy Florida, Duke Energy Indiana and Duke Energy Ohio. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment focuses on natural gas operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Piedmont and Duke Energy Ohio. The Commercial Renewables segment acquires, develops, builds, operates, and owns wind and solar renewable generation throughout the continental United States. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, NC.

$. DUK price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.21%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.58%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.96%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2015	68.31	64.42	63.21	63.5	63.65	63.89	63.88(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	30	27	-44	4.43	43%	-0.03	-60.5	1.28%	0	-0.4	37	0
2	Mar_18_2015	68.33	64.55	63.31	63.38	63.33	63.47	64.21(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	10	15	-60	5.75	45%	-0.04	-63.4	1.28%	0	-0.2	38	0
3	Mar_17_2015	68.36	64.73	63.34	63.02	63.17	63.4	63.1(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	30	13	-86	2.57	43%	-0.04	-73.1	1.29%	0	-1	29	0
4	Mar_16_2015	68.39	64.91	63.53	62.96	63.03	63.18	63.63(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	20	18	-101	3.24	43%	-0.04	-80.5	1.29%	0	-0.8	28	0
5	Mar_13_2015	68.42	65.08	63.63	62.8	62.82	62.93	62.7(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	10	-1	-130	3.09	39%	-0.04	-88.3	1.28%	0	-1.4	26	0

6	Mar_12_2015	68.45	65.35	63.95	62.86	62.87	62.88	63.27(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	0	-6	-132	3.5	39%	-0.04	-97.4	1.29%	0	-1.2	33	0
7	Mar_11_2015	68.48	65.62	64.22	63.25	63.01	62.71	62.43(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-57	-40	-31	-133	4.94	37%	-0.04	-95.3	1.28%	0	-1.8	24	0
8	Mar_10_2015	68.51	66	64.62	63.72	63.6	62.85	62.78(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-64	-90	-41	-131	5.27	37%	-0.04	-90.9	1.28%	0	-1.7	20	0
9	Mar_9_2015	68.54	66.31	65.05	64.19	64.11	63.31	62.83(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-76	-90	-61	-120	3.3	37%	-0.03	-97.8	1.28%	0	-1.9	32	0
10	Mar_6_2015	68.56	66.63	65.44	64.58	64.57	64.35	63(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-20	-46	-103	6.39	38%	-0.03	-107.1	1.28%	0	-2.1	32	0

11	Mar_5_2015	68.58	67.08	65.78	65.18	64.98	64.92	65.2(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-20	-4	-81	2.56	40%	0	-94.6	1.22%	0	-1	34	0
12	Mar_4_2015	68.58	67.39	65.91	65.34	65.19	64.79	64.78(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-50	-28	-98	2.77	40%	0	-89.4	1.24%	0	-1.3	29	0
13	Mar_3_2015	68.58	67.75	66.23	65.67	65.59	65.04	65.14(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-60	-43	-106	3.69	40%	0.01	-83.2	1.24%	0	-1.2	26	0
14	Mar_2_2015	68.57	68.11	66.4	66.06	66.06	65.59	64.76(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-57	-50	-41	-104	5.03	40%	0.03	-77.5	1.24%	0	-1.5	33	0
15	Feb_27_2015	68.55	68.5	66.65	66.43	66.45	66.14	66.01(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-30	-20	-97	2.47	46%	0.04	-75.9	1.23%	0	-1.1	35	0

16	Feb_26_2015	68.52	68.9	66.85	66.46	66.57	66.54	66.02(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	0	-11	-119	2.55	46%	0.03	-68.3	1.24%	0	-1.1	26	0
17	Feb_25_2015	68.5	69.25	67.12	66.56	66.55	66.76	66.4(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	20	-5	-132	3.25	46%	0.07	-67.9	1.24%	0	-1.1	31	0
18	Feb_24_2015	68.45	69.62	67.47	66.89	66.71	66.6	67.11(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-20	10	-130	3.77	46%	0.07	-61.9	1.23%	0	-0.9	30	0
19	Feb_23_2015	68.4	69.94	67.63	66.81	66.85	66.33	66.61(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-50	-25	-170	3.94	46%	0.07	-60.7	1.24%	0	-1.2	28	0
20	Feb_20_2015	68.35	70.31	67.89	66.91	66.98	66.81	66.15(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-79	-10	-40	-197	4.42	46%	0.07	-58	1.23%	0	-1.5	25	0

21	Feb_19_2015	68.3	70.7	68.47	67.31	67.28	67.38	66.54(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-52	10	-8	-185	5.47	46%	0.06	-52.8	1.23%	0	-1.6	22	0
22	Feb_18_2015	68.26	71.07	68.97	67.76	67.54	67.15	68.05(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-65	-50	-23	-191	4.84	49%	0.1	-46.7	1.2%	0	-1.2	32	0
23	Feb_17_2015	68.19	71.33	69.37	68.16	68.02	67.18	66.72(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-96	-90	-59	-207	6.29	48%	0.19	-40.2	1.17%	0	-1.9	24	0
24	Feb_13_2015	68.06	71.65	69.95	68.59	68.64	67.93	67.1(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-95	-70	-60	-200	4.68	47%	0.09	-35.9	1.18%	0	-2.1	26	0
25	Feb_12_2015	68	71.93	70.5	69	69.04	68.86	68.12(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-89	-20	-54	-193	4.84	46%		-31.8	1.17%	0	-2	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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