Trading Signals: DTE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: DTE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(DTE Energy Company)
DTE latest price $43.9500 (1.71%) ($43.0700 - $44.0600) on Fri. Dec. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $43.9500(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DTE advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DTE advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DTE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(79%)    XLP(58%)    SPY(55%)    IWM(48%)    JNK(48%)
Factors Impacting DTE price   DTE will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(5%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.03(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.31(3.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.23(6.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.1%
Market Cap   $8.467b

DTE Energy Co. is a diversified energy company, which engages in the provision of electricity and natural gas sales, distribution and storage services. It operates through the following segments: Electric, Gas, Non-Utility Operations and Corporate & Other. The Electric segment is engaged in the generation, purchase, distribution and sale of electricity to residential, commercial and industrial customers in southeastern Michigan. The Gas segment is engaged in the purchase, storage, transportation, distribution and sale of natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial customers throughout Michigan and the sale of storage and transportation capacity. The Non-Utility Operations segment engages in gas storage and pipelines, power and industrial projects, and energy trading. The Corporate & Other includes various holding company activities, holds certain non-utility debt, and holds energy-related investments. The company was founded in January 1995 and is headquartered in Detroit, MI.

$. DTE price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.91%(35%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.9%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.9%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2009	36.81	41.23	42.31	43.03	42.93	43.32	43.95(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	60	38	185	1.17	65%	0.27	77.2	1.28%	0	2.1	85	0
2	Dec_10_2009	36.71	41	41.9	42.68	42.65	42.85	43.21(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	30	25	162	0.9	64%	0.3	80	1.27%	0	1.8	81	0
3	Dec_9_2009	36.6	40.81	41.63	42.46	42.45	42.54	42.75(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	10	13	151	1.08	64%	0.25	89.1	1.27%	0	1.7	72	0
4	Dec_8_2009	36.51	40.63	41.38	42.28	42.32	42.46	42.61(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	30	22	147	1.06	64%	0.27	97	1.27%	0	1.9	71	0
5	Dec_7_2009	36.41	40.46	41.13	41.96	42.06	42.37	42.64(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	60	37	134	1.43	64%	0.28	105.7	1.27%	0	2.2	72	0

6	Dec_4_2009	36.31	40.24	40.83	41.46	41.62	42.18	42.17(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	110	48	108	1.59	64%	0.28	102.1	1.27%	0	2	73	0
7	Dec_3_2009	36.21	40.06	40.59	40.99	41.06	41.75	42.12(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	59	120	51	84	1.37	64%	0.28	94.7	1.28%	0	2.3	74	0
8	Dec_2_2009	36.11	39.84	40.39	40.68	40.51	41.07	41.88(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	80	45	71	2.22	64%	0.28	87.6	1.28%	0	2.3	72	0
9	Dec_1_2009	36.01	39.62	40.2	40.36	40.28	40.36	41(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	10	26	53	1.33	61%	0.25	77.3	1.27%	0	1.6	69	0
10	Nov_30_2009	35.92	39.43	40.11	40.19	40.15	39.95	40.11(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-40	-7	41	1.02	59%	0.28	63.5	1.25%	0	0.7	64	0

11	Nov_27_2009	35.82	39.28	40.08	40.1	40.18	40.2	39.83(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	10	-5	52	0.46	59%	0.36	51.4	1.25%	0	0.5	71	0
12	Nov_25_2009	35.69	39.21	40.05	40.11	40.12	40.35	40.59(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	40	14	73	1.31	62%	0.25	50.3	1.22%	0	1.2	78	0
13	Nov_24_2009	35.6	39.07	39.94	40.04	39.98	40.16	40.27(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	30	10	89	1.13	62%	0.23	46.6	1.22%	0	1.1	81	0
14	Nov_23_2009	35.52	38.95	39.84	40.03	40	39.9	40.14(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-20	2	107	0.8	62%	0.14	43.9	1.22%	0	1.1	82	0
15	Nov_20_2009	35.47	38.82	39.75	40.03	40.05	39.81	39.68(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-40	-14	129	1.64	62%	0.25	43.8	1.22%	0	0.8	83	0

16	Nov_19_2009	35.38	38.73	39.63	40.04	40.13	40.1	39.85(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	0	-3	153	1.26	65%	0.2	50.9	1.22%	0	1.1	86	0
17	Nov_18_2009	35.31	38.66	39.51	39.96	40.06	40.3	40.27(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	50	17	159	1.7	65%	0.26	61.7	1.23%	0	1.6	64	0
18	Nov_17_2009	35.22	38.56	39.26	39.81	39.86	40.16	40.21(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	60	26	157	1.17	65%	0.2	75.4	1.23%	0	1.8	70	0
19	Nov_16_2009	35.15	38.48	39	39.63	39.67	39.81	40.2(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	30	24	143	1.35	65%	0.26	92	1.23%	0	2	66	0
20	Nov_13_2009	35.06	38.35	38.69	39.42	39.46	39.56	39.68(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	20	17	123	1.5	63%	0.23	100.4	1.23%	0	1.5	66	0

21	Nov_12_2009	34.98	38.2	38.42	39.16	39.27	39.52	39.45(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	50	21	98	1.77	63%	0.23	96.6	1.23%	0	1.4	61	0
22	Nov_11_2009	34.9	38.04	38.31	38.97	38.99	39.36	39.51(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	70	36	91	1.01	63%	0.26	94.3	1.23%	0	1.6	54	0
23	Nov_10_2009	34.81	37.87	38.11	38.62	38.66	39.03	39.29(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	70	39	56	1.07	63%	0.23	85.8	1.23%	0	1.4	53	0
24	Nov_9_2009	34.73	37.69	37.97	38.28	38.32	38.62	39.19(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	60	41	25	1.72	63%	0.23	78.8	1.23%	0	1.5	52	0
25	Nov_6_2009	34.65	37.51	37.79	37.85	37.92	38.3	38.34(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	80	31	-15	1.12	61%		69.1	1.22%	0	0.8	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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