Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 1, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN)
DSLV latest price $65.1700 (-1.17%) ($64.8000 - $66.2780) on Thu. Oct. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.99% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $65.1700(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DSLV advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DSLV declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DSLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(29%)    VIXM(3%)    PEJ(2%)    XHB(-0%)    XLF(0%)
Factors Impacting DSLV price   DSLV will decline at least -1.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
SLV(-63%)    GLD(-51%)    SIL(-48%)    GDX(-46%)    GDXJ(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.495% (StdDev 2.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.14(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.78(2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.63(0.84%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   73.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DSLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DSLV price fluctuates within 3.28% (three month std-dev: 2.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2014	48.62	64.63	63.78	64.14			65.17(-1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	4	-20	0.03	70%	0.25	34.1	2.99%	0	0.3	36	0
2	Oct_22_2014	48.5	64.53	63.64	63.77			65.94(6.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.04	70%	0.27	46.5	2.98%	0	0.6	47	0
3	Oct_21_2014	48.37	64.31	63.38	63.2			62.04(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-3	-58	0.03	67%	0.17	52.9	2.91%	0	-1	42	0
4	Oct_20_2014	48.29	64.26	63.77	63.49			62.84(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-0	-59	0.03	67%	0.19	70.3	2.9%	0	-0.6	40	0
5	Oct_17_2014	48.2	64.17	63.93	63.53			64.73(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	2	-56	0.02	66%	0.29	80.8	2.9%	0	0.2	54	0

6	Oct_16_2014	48.06	63.92	64.46	63.35			63.32(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0.04	66%	0.23	71.6	3.02%	0	-0.2	55	0
7	Oct_15_2014	47.95	63.5	64.86	63.48			63.09(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0.06	68%	0.25	65.5	3.03%	0	-0.1	53	0
8	Oct_14_2014	47.83	63.09	65.17	63.6			63.46(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-10000	-5	-9	0.01	70%	0.34	62.2	3.04%	0	0.1	57	0
9	Oct_13_2014	47.67	62.58	65.62	64.11			63.05(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-3	21	0.02	70%	0.32	63.3	3.13%	0	0.1	58	0
10	Oct_10_2014	47.52	62.11	65.73	64.38			63.85(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-14	31	0.03	67%	0.34	64	3.12%	0	0.3	60	0

11	Oct_9_2014	47.36	61.59	65.61	65.78			63.97(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-6	65	0.1	67%	0.34	73	3.19%	0	0.4	62	0
12	Oct_8_2014	47.2	61.03	65.55	66.46			63.65(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-5	105	0.06	67%	0.32	75.1	3.2%	0	0.4	70	0
13	Oct_7_2014	47.05	60.38	65.39	66.94			66.01(2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	-4	141	0.05	69%	0.36	75.2	3.15%	0	0.9	75	0
14	Oct_6_2014	46.88	59.56	64.87	67.36			64.41(-9.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	47	-10000	2	182	0.09	69%	0.34	77.2	3.15%	0	0.7	76	0
15	Oct_3_2014	46.72	58.85	64.51	67.19			70.85(5.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	-10000	18	233	0.05	76%	0.49	77.5	2.91%	0	1.8	88	0

16	Oct_2_2014	46.49	57.7	63.33	65.43			67.4(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	-10000	10	228	0.06	75%	0.48	76.6	2.87%	0	1.5	86	0
17	Oct_1_2014	46.27	56.78	62.02	64.53			66.03(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	-10000	10	224	0.09	75%	0.41	77.5	2.88%	0	1.5	86	0
18	Sep_30_2014	46.08	55.88	60.83	63.61			68.1(7.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	71	-10000	17	233	0.1	78%	0.44	77.7	2.84%	0	2	94	0
19	Sep_29_2014	45.88	54.86	59.23	62.07			63.55(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	62	-10000	8	223	0.04	75%	0.28	79.6	2.74%	0	1.6	93	0
20	Sep_26_2014	45.75	53.99	58.14	61.43			62.09(-1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	62	-10000	7	228	0.03	75%	0.26	78.6	2.74%	0	1.5	90	0

21	Sep_25_2014	45.63	53.17	57.21	60.88			62.9(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	79	-10000	22	249	0.07	75%	0.29	77.5	2.73%	0	1.9	94	0
22	Sep_24_2014	45.5	52.33	56.11	59.08			61.39(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	-10000	19	223	0.06	75%	0.31	73.1	2.74%	0	1.9	88	0
23	Sep_23_2014	45.36	51.57	54.94	57.57			60.4(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	-10000	21	200	0.05	75%	0.29	70.6	2.74%	0	2	88	0
24	Sep_22_2014	45.23	50.88	53.82	55.94			60.36(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	58	-10000	21	168	0.08	75%	0.27	69.1	2.75%	0	2.4	87	0
25	Sep_19_2014	45.11	50.15	52.71	54.37			59.37(10.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	50	-10000	18	146	0.14	64%		69.8	2.76%	0	2.8	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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