Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 28, 2020

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $75.1000 (-4.39%) ($73.1500 - $78.6800) on Tue. Jan. 28, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.05% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $75.1000(-4.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 24.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    VXX(5%)    UUP(4%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -3.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-24%)    XOP(-23%)    XLE(-22%)    USO(-20%)    XME(-18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.025% (StdDev 6.05%)
Hourly BBV -0.2 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.15(5.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.93(19.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.13(36.22%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   78%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 19.64% (three month std-dev: 6.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 4.18%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.78%(60%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 4.98%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.06%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 12.45%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.94%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2020	63.66	55.13	62.93	71.15	72.75	76.65	75.1(-4.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	105	440	53	260	0.51	53%	0.17	66.1	6.05%	-0.2	1.8	91	-0.7
2	Jan_27_2020	63.55	53.71	60.5	68.15	69.45	73.98	78.55(10.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	137	510	92	270	0.51	53%	0.02	62.9	6.03%	1.4	2.5	91	-1.9
3	Jan_24_2020	63.54	51.99	57.42	63.37	64.58	68.86	71.05(6.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	115	520	77	229	0.82	50%	-0.08	55.8	5.95%	1	2.4	85	0
4	Jan_23_2020	63.59	50.68	55	59.54	60.18	64.92	66.97(4.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	108	580	79	193	0.76	48%	-0.27	44.9	5.9%	0.8	2.5	76	1.2
5	Jan_22_2020	63.76	49.59	52.93	56.38	56.05	60.31	64.09(6.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	95	510	74	159	0.6	48%	-0.42	27.8	5.92%	0.4	2.7	76	1.1

6	Jan_21_2020	64.03	48.79	50.71	53.49	53.2	55.45	60.07(9.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	66	280	53	106	0.58	46%	-0.4	2.5	5.89%	0.6	2.8	66	1.4
7	Jan_17_2020	64.29	48.19	49	51.71	51.26	51.8	54.67(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	50	18	64	0.55	42%	-0.42	-26.4	5.79%	0.5	2.2	61	1.9
8	Jan_16_2020	64.56	47.96	47.98	50.58	50.72	50.96	51.88(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	40	11	45	0.59	42%	-0.6	-68.4	5.75%	1.2	1.6	62	2.2
9	Jan_15_2020	64.95	47.94	47.45	49.71	50.22	50.73	51.18(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	100	12	36	0.45	42%	-0.75	-100.2	5.76%	0.9	1.3	60	2
10	Jan_14_2020	65.44	48.15	46.93	48.89	49.5	50.49	49.63(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	180	25	31	0.52	42%	-0.71	-119.9	5.75%	-0.4	0.6	57	2.3

11	Jan_13_2020	65.91	48.69	46.79	47.4	48.18	49.71	51.18(4.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	270	32	13	0.61	42%	-0.71	-113.9	5.78%	1.2	0.8	51	2.5
12	Jan_10_2020	66.38	48.98	46.46	45.86	46.33	48.51	49.01(3.03%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	360	29	-8	0.55	42%	-0.54	-106.6	5.81%	0.6	0	49	1.4
13	Jan_9_2020	66.74	49.74	46.16	45	45.03	46.65	47.57(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	250	28	-29	0.82	42%	-0.49	-106.7	5.8%	0.5	-0.4	41	1.4
14	Jan_8_2020	67.07	50.53	46.05	44.9	43.94	44.14	47.05(11.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-30	6	-50	1.11	42%	-0.52	-96.2	5.8%	1.6	-0.6	38	0.7
15	Jan_7_2020	67.42	51.43	45.99	44.77	44.24	43.41	42.2(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-35	-170	-19	-82	0.63	37%	-0.56	-93.3	5.71%	-1.9	-1.3	17	0.6

16	Jan_6_2020	67.8	52.66	46.77	46.07	45.48	43.74	43.47(-2.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-42	-310	-25	-91	0.68	37%	-0.7	-90.2	5.73%	-1.3	-1.3	14	0.6
17	Jan_3_2020	68.28	54.21	47.38	47.1	46.61	45.08	44.73(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-260	-25	-96	0.61	37%	-0.83	-82.2	5.73%	-0.9	-1.2	27	0.5
18	Jan_2_2020	68.85	55.61	48.02	47.42	47.45	47.23	47.03(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-30	-7	-111	0.53	37%	-0.98	-72.3	5.72%	0.4	-1	23	1.3
19	Dec_31_2019	69.53	57.25	48.52	47.34	47.36	48.15	46.41(-4.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	120	6	-124	0.67	42%	-0.59	-56.7	5.82%	-1.3	-1	24	0.9
20	Dec_30_2019	69.94	58.79	49.5	47.38	46.87	47.67	48.73(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	90	7	-133	0.54	42%	-0.5	-52.6	5.98%	1.5	-0.9	25	0.4

21	Dec_27_2019	70.29	60.22	50.71	47.61	46.91	46.57	48.61(4.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-90	-0	-141	0.62	42%	-0.45	-48.8	5.98%	0.5	-1	24	0.9
22	Dec_26_2019	70.61	61.42	51.63	47.78	47.5	46.08	46.3(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-60	-230	-22	-172	0.38	42%	-0.83	-49.9	5.95%	0.3	-1.3	15	1.2
23	Dec_24_2019	71.2	62.85	53.54	48.75	48.57	47.26	46.65(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-200	-29	-175	0.45	42%	-0.52	-50.8	5.95%	-3	-1.4	19	1.3
24	Dec_23_2019	71.57	64.06	55.32	49.89	49.97	48.92	46.63(-6.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-66	-140	-28	-181	0.69	42%	-0.39	-51.9	6.04%	-2.2	-1.6	16	1.2
25	Dec_20_2019	71.85	65.36	57.27	51.91	51.41	49.87	49.88(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-72	-240	-35	-183	0.64	44%		-48.7	5.98%	0.2	-1.6	23	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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