Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $118.3800 (3.81%) ($115.0000 - $119.6700) on Mon. Aug. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.41% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $118.3800(3.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(4%)    SHY(2%)    BND(1%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -2.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-27%)    OIH(-27%)    XLE(-25%)    USO(-23%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.705% (StdDev 5.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.48(3.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.26(8.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.52(17.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   55.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 10.9% (three month std-dev: 5.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.44%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.46%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 5.08%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.09%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 8.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.49%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2017	89.37	100.52	109.26	114.48	114.37	116.23	118.38(3.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	110	27	113	0.06	58%	0.6	56.1	5.41%	0	1.6	77	0
2	Aug_18_2017	88.84	99.25	107.44	112.26	112.43	115.29	114.04(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	180	47	123	0.09	55%	0.51	54.9	5.5%	0	1.5	77	0
3	Aug_17_2017	88.39	98.2	105.66	110.18	109.78	112.51	118.21(4.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	71	160	51	129	0.09	55%	0.58	52.3	5.47%	0	2.1	83	0
4	Aug_16_2017	87.88	96.77	104.04	107.4	107.08	109.57	113.13(4.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	67	150	45	134	0.09	55%	0.46	46.5	5.47%	0	1.9	82	0
5	Aug_15_2017	87.48	95.39	102.04	104.77	104.77	107.06	108.63(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	150	41	127	0.08	55%	0.33	35.1	5.46%	0	1.7	75	0

6	Aug_14_2017	87.19	94.72	100.08	103.28	102.36	104.59	107.29(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	130	30	119	0.09	55%	0.3	31.6	5.47%	0	1.7	74	0
7	Aug_11_2017	86.93	93.96	98.04	101.92	101.29	102.49	103.63(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	60	34	107	0.08	55%	0.25	23.8	5.46%	0	1.5	59	0
8	Aug_10_2017	86.71	93.4	96.14	100.38	100.09	100.12	104.33(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10	3	75	0.12	53%	0.28	9.5	5.45%	0	1.8	59	0
9	Aug_9_2017	86.47	92.89	94.09	100.19	99.67	100.1	99.96(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	10	7	68	0.09	53%	0.26	2.4	5.51%	0	1.2	59	0
10	Aug_8_2017	86.25	92.73	92.7	98.84	99.35	100.05	101.17(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	60	28	69	0.11	53%	0.33	-3.4	5.52%	0	1.5	65	0

11	Aug_7_2017	85.97	92.5	91.15	96.31	97.24	99.25	100.5(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	170	32	41	0.11	53%	0.32	-8.1	5.56%	0	1.4	52	0
12	Aug_4_2017	85.7	92.42	90.39	93.51	94.31	98.64	95.96(-7.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	350	56	33	0.15	52%	0.27	-16.3	5.73%	0	0.6	53	0
13	Aug_3_2017	85.47	92.82	90.13	91.11	91.08	95.23	103.38(10.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	68	320	81	28	0.18	54%	0.39	-18.6	5.78%	0	1.6	58	0
14	Aug_2_2017	85.14	92.75	88.75	87.17	87.25	89.99	93.17(5.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	27	220	42	-18	0.19	51%	0.18	-34.2	5.63%	0	0.1	47	0
15	Aug_1_2017	84.99	92.93	88.05	85.75	85.48	86.94	88.54(2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	110	28	-45	0.12	51%	0.15	-42.9	5.6%	0	-0.7	39	0

16	Jul_31_2017	84.86	92.97	88.81	85.28	84.67	84.52	86.5(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-30	-4	-62	0.21	51%	0.12	-54.7	5.64%	0	-1	37	0
17	Jul_28_2017	84.76	93.42	89.5	86.87	84.99	84.01	83.96(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-150	-30	-71	0.29	51%	0.09	-55.9	5.63%	0	-1.5	31	0
18	Jul_27_2017	84.68	94.05	90.48	88.97	87.68	84.82	83.67(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-270	-27	-69	0.21	53%	0.06	-63.1	5.64%	0	-1.8	27	0
19	Jul_26_2017	84.63	94.93	91.72	90.49	89.64	85.97	86.08(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-310	-45	-76	0.28	53%	0.21	-70.6	5.66%	0	-1.6	30	0
20	Jul_25_2017	84.45	95.76	92.94	90.58	90.48	90.53	86.17(-8.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	0	-38	-72	0.37	51%	0.24	-73.8	5.66%	0	-1.8	42	0

21	Jul_24_2017	84.25	96.61	94.17	92.75	91.49	93.31	94.46(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	100	26	-26	0.07	54%	0.32	-64.8	5.6%	0	-0.4	59	0
22	Jul_21_2017	83.98	97.03	94.72	92.56	91.64	90.43	94.46(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-120	8	-29	0.17	54%	0.33	-60.3	5.61%	0	-0.5	52	0
23	Jul_20_2017	83.7	97.86	95.74	92.36	91.61	89.67	91.29(5.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-170	-40	-40	0.23	54%	0.35	-45.1	5.6%	0	-1.1	49	0
24	Jul_19_2017	83.41	98.92	97.02	93.24	93.13	92.86	86.5(-10.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-20	-23	-25	0.29	56%	0.22	-25.6	5.56%	0	-1.9	40	0
25	Jul_18_2017	83.23	99.78	98.23	95.59	94.61	93.55	97.04(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-110	-1	-7	0.11	60%		-4.2	5.46%	0	-0.5	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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