Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $113.2100 (10.31%) ($100.5400 - $115.3800) on Wed. Jun. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.43% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $113.2100(10.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(4%)    SHY(2%)    BND(1%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -2.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-27%)    OIH(-27%)    XLE(-25%)    USO(-23%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.715% (StdDev 5.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.03(9.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.35(15.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.19(18.93%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   75.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 8.31% (three month std-dev: 5.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.23%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.05%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 6.6%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.37%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 10.5%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -6%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2017	76.2	95.19	98.35	103.03	102.65	106.41	113.21(10.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	74	250	74	75	0.2	59%	0.74	85.4	5.43%	0	2.3	63	0
2	Jun_20_2017	75.64	93.34	97	99.28	100.19	101.4	102.63(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	110	58	52	0.17	56%	0.6	73.2	5.35%	0	1.2	56	0
3	Jun_19_2017	75.19	92.06	95.79	95.51	96.59	98.89	99.17(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	200	21	12	0.06	56%	0.62	56.3	5.34%	0	0.9	57	0
4	Jun_16_2017	74.73	90.87	95.64	93.83	93.9	98.97	98.54(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	380	63	32	0.06	56%	0.63	46.3	5.34%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Jun_15_2017	74.26	89.98	95.46	92.58	91.41	94.28	101.58(7.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	180	50	32	0.12	54%	0.68	45.3	5.32%	0	1.3	62	0

6	Jun_14_2017	73.76	88.88	94.44	93.13	91.17	88.83	94.46(12.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-11	-240	-21	21	0.15	53%	0.56	52.2	5.39%	0	0.6	64	0
7	Jun_13_2017	73.35	88.03	94.53	94.62	94.33	88.55	83.79(-7.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-41	-440	-67	39	0.12	50%	0.37	55.1	5.19%	0	-0.5	61	0
8	Jun_12_2017	73.08	87.67	95.48	95.99	96.65	93.51	90.79(-1.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-42	-210	-78	67	0.09	52%	0.51	57	5.1%	0	0.3	66	0
9	Jun_9_2017	72.71	86.98	95.04	97.5	97.95	100.1	92.29(-11.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	170	-2	126	0.15	52%	0.51	59.1	5.1%	0	0.6	69	0
10	Jun_8_2017	72.34	86.15	94.48	98.48	98.23	99.78	104.33(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	90	100	61	178	0.09	59%	0.7	54.1	4.88%	0	1.9	70	0

11	Jun_7_2017	71.84	84.6	91.99	95.98	96.66	95.8	101.92(12.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-40	3	132	0.2	60%	0.66	46.1	5.11%	0	1.9	69	0
12	Jun_6_2017	71.37	83.4	89.47	94.67	95.64	96.68	90.63(-7.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	110	-11	127	0.1	57%	0.28	45.7	4.91%	0	0.9	66	0
13	Jun_5_2017	71.17	82.68	88.14	94.89	95.9	97.51	98.33(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	85	150	57	167	0.07	59%	0.59	45.1	4.81%	0	2	76	0
14	Jun_2_2017	70.75	81.68	85.76	92.16	93.62	94.59	97.17(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	120	31	134	0.13	61%	0.6	39.4	4.81%	0	2.2	73	0
15	Jun_1_2017	70.33	81.2	84.01	89.83	90.81	94.29	91.83(-3.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	300	46	130	0.13	57%	0.53	42.1	4.83%	0	1.6	71	0

16	May_31_2017	69.96	80.64	82.76	87.29	88.12	92.64	95.38(3.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	111	390	101	140	0.13	58%	0.56	39.2	4.85%	0	2.5	77	0
17	May_30_2017	69.57	79.88	80.81	83.51	83.63	87.34	91.75(8.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	80	310	75	94	0.1	60%	0.75	34	4.83%	0	2.4	63	0
18	May_26_2017	69.05	79.23	79.03	80.41	80.42	83.59	84.67(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	64	280	65	61	0.08	55%	0.48	22.6	4.83%	0	1.4	61	0
19	May_25_2017	68.72	78.98	78.14	78.38	77.78	79.92	85.54(8.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	38	170	41	28	0.3	55%	0.51	9.8	4.87%	0	1.7	56	0
20	May_24_2017	68.37	78.58	77.06	77.41	76.43	77.25	79.13(3.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	40	11	-14	0.09	52%	0.41	0	4.81%	0	0.2	37	0

21	May_23_2017	68.09	78.36	76.57	77.58	77.22	75.64	76.46(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-160	-3	-29	0.07	52%	0.12	-6.2	4.84%	0	-0.5	46	0
22	May_22_2017	68.01	78.24	76.85	77.65	77.74	75.62	76.25(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-190	-33	-45	0.09	55%	0.34	-7.5	4.84%	0	-0.5	46	0
23	May_19_2017	67.78	78.34	76.88	77.36	78.01	78.8	74.5(-7.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	100	-7	-42	0.22	55%	0.31	-1.7	4.94%	0	-1	46	0
24	May_18_2017	67.57	78.61	77.42	77.7	77.06	79.87	80.71(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	25	230	41	-22	0.1	58%	0.45	9.4	4.87%	0	0.6	52	0
25	May_17_2017	67.27	78.58	78.22	76.63	75.76	77.22	79.96(4.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	29	100	43	-14	0.12	58%		17.3	4.91%	0	0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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