Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $82.0800 (2.11%) ($77.1300 - $84.1200) on Tue. May. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.6% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $82.0800(2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(4%)    SHY(2%)    BND(1%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -2.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    XLE(-26%)    USO(-23%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.3% (StdDev 4.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.06(3.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.76(4.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.9(11.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   45.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 8.12% (three month std-dev: 4.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.94%(23%) Average negative next day return: -1.99%(77%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 5.83%(8%) Average negative next three day return: -1.94%(92%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.43%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2017	64.35	73.9	78.76	79.06	79.65	80.93	82.08(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	130	37	89	0.13	64%	0.53	43.6	4.6%	0	1.4	78	INF
2	May_1_2017	64.01	73.18	78.02	77.29	77.73	79.6	80.38(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	190	24	85	0.08	64%	0.5	26.7	4.61%	0	1.2	76	INF
3	Apr_28_2017	63.69	72.51	77.15	76.84	76.45	78.36	80.25(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	160	29	91	0.08	66%	0.52	13.7	4.65%	0	1.4	68	INF
4	Apr_27_2017	63.36	71.95	76.38	76.69	76.28	75.87	78.21(5.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-50	9	93	0.22	66%	0.48	3.5	4.68%	0	1.2	68	INF
5	Apr_26_2017	63.06	71.42	75.37	77.14	76.69	74.55	74.38(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-210	-40	79	0.19	65%	0.38	-5	4.66%	0	0.6	58	INF

6	Apr_25_2017	62.82	71.37	74.49	78.42	78.22	76.7	73.25(-6.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-140	-27	101	0.11	65%	0.37	-2.1	4.66%	0	0.4	64	INF
7	Apr_24_2017	62.59	71.67	73.73	78.7	78.63	78.82	78.13(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	10	4	116	0.16	68%	0.4	4.8	4.59%	0	1.2	63	INF
8	Apr_21_2017	62.34	71.75	72.7	77.35	77.63	79.75	79.5(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	200	35	117	0.19	68%	0.45	4.1	4.61%	0	1.3	66	INF
9	Apr_20_2017	62.06	71.76	71.38	75.94	75.64	78.44	80.46(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	74	250	62	109	0.11	68%	0.45	3.5	4.64%	0	1.5	62	INF
10	Apr_19_2017	61.78	71.68	70.2	73.35	73.24	75.5	80.75(8.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	73	210	68	88	0.31	68%	-0.03	-1.6	4.65%	0	1.5	64	INF

11	Apr_18_2017	61.8	71.48	68.54	70.08	70.28	72.83	74.67(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	260	47	30	0.19	66%	-0.05	-17.1	4.55%	0	0.5	50	INF
12	Apr_17_2017	61.83	71.4	67.81	68.06	68.14	70.98	71.38(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	36	300	52	-11	0.16	65%	0.02	-28.1	4.52%	0	-0	39	INF
13	Apr_13_2017	61.82	71.51	67.36	67.34	66.46	67.74	72.46(7.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	17	100	39	-48	0.29	65%	0.08	-34.7	4.56%	0	0.2	38	INF
14	Apr_12_2017	61.77	71.55	67	66.18	65.76	65.31	67.5(4.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-70	-4	-99	0.23	63%	-0.03	-42.5	4.47%	0	-0.7	31	INF
15	Apr_11_2017	61.79	71.77	67.04	66.6	66.16	65.18	64.38(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-120	-14	-121	0.24	61%	-0.06	-45.3	4.44%	0	-1.3	28	INF

16	Apr_10_2017	61.83	72.49	67.98	66.72	66.35	66.22	64.58(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-30	-18	-128	0.22	61%	-0.26	-40.2	4.46%	0	-1.4	32	INF
17	Apr_7_2017	61.99	73.07	69.47	67.43	66.72	67.15	67.79(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	10	6	-102	0.2	66%	-0.21	-31.8	4.49%	0	-1	45	INF
18	Apr_6_2017	62.12	73.55	70.76	67.33	67.03	66.48	66.67(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-70	-5	-95	0.18	66%	-0.22	-25.7	4.52%	0	-1.3	43	INF
19	Apr_5_2017	62.26	74.06	72.21	67.93	67.47	66.29	69.58(7.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-140	-16	-83	0.49	66%	-0.14	-15.7	4.49%	0	-0.9	47	INF
20	Apr_4_2017	62.35	74.49	73.28	67.63	68.01	67.59	65(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-30	-31	-79	0.25	64%	-0.4	-3.7	4.41%	0	-1.9	44	INF

21	Apr_3_2017	62.6	74.49	74.7	69.45	69.09	68.64	68.13(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-60	-28	-62	0.29	67%	-0.41	7.4	4.37%	0	-1.4	38	INF
22	Mar_31_2017	62.86	74.79	75.34	71.89	71.24	68.43	67.25(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-300	-54	-52	0.27	67%	-0.36	21.6	4.4%	0	-1.5	42	INF
23	Mar_30_2017	63.09	74.9	76.12	74.77	74.74	69.53	69.71(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-77	-490	-88	-43	0.27	67%	-0.32	38.8	4.41%	0	-1.1	43	INF
24	Mar_29_2017	63.29	74.84	76.6	77.17	78.07	74.05	68.08(-8.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-80	-330	-98	-27	0.3	67%	-0.57	51.1	4.41%	0	-1.3	42	INF
25	Mar_28_2017	63.65	74.68	77.08	79.69	80.58	79.96	74.08(-7.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-24	-20	-36	13	0.28	73%		64.4	4.27%	0	-0.1	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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