Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $81.7100 (1.24%) ($78.7900 - $82.5400) on Thu. Mar. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.18% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $81.7100(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(4%)    IPO(3%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -2.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    XLE(-26%)    USO(-23%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.09% (StdDev 4.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.69(5.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.53(6.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.06(11.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   61.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 7.51% (three month std-dev: 4.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 2.14%(39%) Average negative next day return: -1.97%(61%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 4.87%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -4.48%(70%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 6.68%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.41%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2017	64.5	73.06	76.53	77.69	78.15	80.8	81.71(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	260	56	81	0.13	80%	-0.43	73.9	4.18%	0	1.6	69	0
2	Mar_22_2017	64.78	72.19	75.93	76.04	76.11	78.23	80.71(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	200	60	82	0.22	80%	-0.37	73.8	4.18%	0	1.6	69	0
3	Mar_21_2017	65.02	71.37	75.59	76.04	74.01	75.51	78.58(6.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	140	22	76	0.21	80%	-0.4	68.4	4.18%	0	1.3	72	0
4	Mar_20_2017	65.28	70.42	74.69	74.15	73.46	73.99	73.56(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	20	6	75	0.19	78%	-0.38	72.2	4.11%	0	0.6	58	0
5	Mar_17_2017	65.53	69.85	74.07	74.53	74.7	72.51	73.88(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-200	-15	73	0.09	78%	-0.3	76	4.08%	0	0.7	61	0

6	Mar_16_2017	65.73	69.22	73.53	75.19	75.45	72.92	73.46(3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-28	-220	-59	65	0.08	78%	-0.32	79.1	4.12%	0	0.7	58	0
7	Mar_15_2017	65.94	68.47	72.97	75.77	76.49	76.88	71.29(-9.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	60	-31	92	0.21	78%	-0.33	74.2	4.11%	0	0.5	61	0
8	Mar_14_2017	66.16	67.79	72.24	77.13	77.69	77.98	78.58(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	50	48	148	0.26	90%	-0.17	72.3	3.91%	0	1.6	69	0
9	Mar_13_2017	66.27	66.77	71.17	75.26	76.26	76.1	75.46(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	30	12	126	0.11	89%	-0.15	66.8	4.12%	0	1.4	72	0
10	Mar_10_2017	66.37	65.85	70.28	73.47	74.12	77.4	77.17(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	340	41	129	0.18	89%	-0.11	59.6	4.12%	0	1.8	69	0

11	Mar_9_2017	66.44	64.91	69.32	71.6	71.92	76.42	76.33(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	113	450	101	147	0.32	89%	-0.12	55.3	4.15%	0	2	70	0
12	Mar_8_2017	66.52	64.17	68.09	69.79	69.04	70.84	78.13(12.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	93	150	79	134	0.27	89%	-0.18	54.6	4.13%	0	2.7	75	0
13	Mar_7_2017	66.64	63.33	66.64	66.72	66.93	67.42	69.21(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	60	10	91	0.09	87%	-0.31	53.1	3.86%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Mar_6_2017	66.85	62.8	65.69	66.55	66.14	67.23	66.5(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	100	9	94	0.1	86%	-0.31	54.5	3.84%	0	1	64	0
15	Mar_3_2017	67.06	62.3	65.23	66.58	66.35	66.43	67.83(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-0	17	112	0.08	86%	-0.27	56.5	3.83%	0	1.4	68	0

16	Mar_2_2017	67.24	61.84	64.54	66.66	66.37	65.05	67.29(7.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-150	-14	108	0.18	86%	-0.24	68.7	3.86%	0	1.4	63	0
17	Mar_1_2017	67.4	61.46	63.62	66.1	66.71	66.28	62.75(-8.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-20	-19	92	0.26	84%	-0.28	78.9	3.76%	0	0.4	51	0
18	Feb_28_2017	67.59	61.27	63.11	66.45	66.41	67.69	68.38(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	130	22	70	0.16	61%	-0.15	88.8	5.69%	0	2	58	0
19	Feb_27_2017	67.69	60.76	62.11	64.64	65	67.14	66.63(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	250	33	56	0.12	61%	-0.27	85.7	5.83%	0	1.8	63	0
20	Feb_24_2017	67.87	60.13	61.14	63.64	63.05	65.14	68.25(5.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	200	35	50	0.16	61%	-0.18	76.2	5.84%	0	2.5	68	0

21	Feb_23_2017	67.99	59.33	60.15	62.15	61.64	62.87	64.5(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	30	120	29	34	0.28	61%	-0.22	61.3	5.84%	0	1.7	59	0
22	Feb_22_2017	68.14	58.75	59.89	60.81	60.61	60.96	64.5(8.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	30	20	21	0.24	61%	-0.32	44.7	5.85%	0	1.9	56	0
23	Feb_21_2017	68.36	58.23	59.66	59.29	59.39	60.41	59.33(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	130	4	7	0.24	49%	-0.57	31.1	5.74%	0	0.4	52	0
24	Feb_17_2017	68.75	58.1	59.61	59.14	59	60.26	61.63(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	140	25	14	0.16	49%	-0.39	28.4	5.9%	0	1.2	56	0
25	Feb_16_2017	69.02	57.77	59.09	58.23	58.18	58.38	60.79(5.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	20	10	3	0.24	49%		17.6	5.9%	0	1.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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